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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Cagliari vs Genoa

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time3:3HT 2–2

Match Timeline

9'
Brooke Norton-Cuffy🟨
Yellow Card
18'
Vitinha⚽
Normal Goal → L. Colombo
33'
G. Borrelli⚽
Normal Goal → M. Palestra
41'
L. Ostigard⚽
Normal Goal → M. Thorsby
43'
S. Esposito⚽
Normal Goal → A. Deiola
44'
Alessandro Deiola🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Matteo Prati🟨
Yellow Card
57'
M. Felici🔄
Substitution 1 → R. Idrissi
57'
M. Prati🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Adopo
60'
G. Borrelli⚽
Normal Goal → G. Zappa
68'
Albert Grønbæk🟨
Yellow Card
68'
M. Thorsby🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Gronbaek
71'
G. Borrelli🔄
Substitution 3 → L. Pavoletti
71'
S. Esposito🔄
Substitution 4 → Z. Luvumbo
76'
A. Deiola🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Gaetano
78'
Vitinha🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Ekuban
78'
A. Marcandalli🔄
Substitution 3 → V. Carboni
82'
Sebastiano Luperto🟨
Yellow Card
83'
A. Martin⚽
Normal Goal
86'
Yerry Mina🟨
Yellow Card
88'
R. Malinovskyi🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Masini
88'
L. Colombo🔄
Substitution 5 → M. E. Ellertsson
90+3'
Brooke Norton-Cuffy🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Brooke Norton-Cuffy🟥
Red Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal4
11Total Shots13
2Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox10
3Shots outsidebox3
22Fouls16
6Corner Kicks2
0Offsides4
50Ball Possession50
4Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves2
340Total passes360
253Passes accurate302
74Passes %84
0.9expected_goals1.58
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

Mr SimpleWon

Bottom of the Table Battle: Who'll Blink First?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
55%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+15.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this scrap at the bottom of Serie A. Cagliari versus Genoa - two sides who've been finding life tough this season, and something's got to give. Cagliari are sitting in 14th with 10 points, and honestly, their recent form hasn't been…

The Big "O"Won

Bottom-Half Battle Set For Goal Fest

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
52%
Odds
2.62
Model EV
+36.2%

Get ready for some serious goal action as two Serie A strugglers collide in what promises to be anything but a boring affair! The Big O is rubbing his hands together with glee for this one - when desperate teams meet, the nets bulge! Cagliari, sitting 14th with just 10 points…

Umery UnderdogLost

Genoa Ready to Bark Louder Than Expected

The pickGenoa win

Chance
38%
Odds
2.75
Model EV
+4.5%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! Two teams fighting near the bottom, but I've got my eye on the little puppy from Genoa who might just surprise everyone. While Cagliari sits 14th with 10 points, Genoa is down in 18th with just 7 points, making them the clear underdogs…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Cagliari

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Genoa

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Per game

Cagliari at home vs Genoa away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+21Genoa
Venue edge
+20Genoa
Rating period
Match snapshot
Cagliari versus Genoa: long term Elo, before the match
CagliariHomeRatingGenoaAway
Strength
1,484Overall1,504
1,478Match venue1,498
1,478At home1,498
1,435Away1,498
Attack & defence
1,461Attack1,452
1,545Defence1,568
1,485Home attack1,440
1,400Away attack1,443
1,514Home defence1,559
1,536Away defence1,581
Match profile
1,725Goal environment1,535
1,728Home goals1,558
1,497Away goals1,477
1,488Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,452Set-piece attack1,515
1,454Set-piece defence1,515
1,463Close games1,478
1,496Winning margin1,508

Match venue compares Cagliari at home with Genoa away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CagliariCagliari1:1

Starting XI

1E. CaprileG
6S. LupertoD
2M. PalestraM
29G. BorrelliF
26Y. MinaD
90M. FolorunshoM
94S. EspositoF
28G. ZappaD
16M. PratiM
14A. DeiolaM
17M. FeliciM

GenoaGenoa1:1

Starting XI

1N. LealiG
22J. VasquezD
3A. MartinM
9VitinhaF
5L. OstigardD
2M. ThorsbyM
29L. ColomboF
27A. MarcandalliD
32M. FrendrupM
17R. MalinovskyiM
15B. Norton-CuffyM