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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Hellas Verona vs Parma

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

8'
Enrico Del Prato🟨
Yellow Card
9'
Gift Orban⚽
Goal cancelled
18'
M. Pellegrino⚽
Normal Goal
39'
Mateo Pellegrino🟨
Yellow Card
42'
Giovane🟨
Yellow Card
46'
J. Akpa Akpro🔄
Substitution 1 → Al Musrati
48'
Sascha Britschgi🟨
Yellow Card
54'
A. Bernede🔄
Substitution 2 → D. Mosquera
55'
Mutassim Al-Musrati🟨
Yellow Card
64'
V. Nelsson🔄
Substitution 3 → U. Nunez
64'
G. Orban🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Sarr
65'
Giovane⚽
Normal Goal → D. Mosquera
70'
Unai Núñez🟨
Yellow Card
77'
P. Cutrone🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Benedyczak
77'
S. Britschgi🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Valeri
80'
M. Pellegrino⚽
Normal Goal
85'
A. Bernabe🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Estevez
88'
A. Bella-Kotchap🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Harroui
89'
Martin Frese🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal3
10Total Shots15
5Blocked Shots5
5Shots insidebox7
5Shots outsidebox8
24Fouls6
4Corner Kicks4
5Offsides1
59Ball Possession41
4Yellow Cards3
5Goalkeeper Saves1
467Total passes331
377Passes accurate244
81Passes %74
0.61expected_goals1.37
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Bottom of the Table Battle: Verona vs Parma

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
72%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+10.2%

Ag man, this is going to be one of those matches where you'd rather be watching the grass grow! Two teams at the wrong end of the table who seem to have forgotten how to win. Verona are sitting dead last without a single win all season - ja, you heard that right, NADA wins!…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Battle of Serie A's Bottom Dwellers

The pickDraw

Chance
35%
Odds
3.10
Model EV
+8.5%

In the depths of Serie A's table, two struggling sides meet. Verona, winless in 11 matches with but 6 points to their name, hosts Parma who have found victory only once this season. A battle of desperation, this is. Recent form reveals the path of both teams. Verona has mastered…

Mr SimpleLost

Bottom-Table Battle: Verona vs Parma Preview

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.53
Model EV
+4.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this scrap at the bottom of Serie A. Verona, sitting in 19th place, are the only team in the entire league without a win this season - that's got to hurt, hasn't it? They've got six draws to their name though, so they're not complete…

Umery UnderdogWon

Parma to Pounce on Winless Verona

The pickParma win

Chance
33%
Odds
3.30
Model EV
+8.9%

Oh, what a delightful battle of the underdogs we have here! While both teams are struggling in the Serie A basement, my heart goes out to these little puppies fighting for their lives. But today, I'm sniffing out some special value with the visitors from Parma! Let's look at the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Hellas Verona

0W 6D 4L0.60 pts/game

Parma

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Hellas Verona at home vs Parma away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+9Parma
Venue edge
+47Hellas Verona
Rating period
Match snapshot
Hellas Verona versus Parma: long term Elo, before the match
Hellas VeronaHomeRatingParmaAway
Strength
1,474Overall1,483
1,474Match venue1,427
1,474At home1,461
1,454Away1,427
Attack & defence
1,410Attack1,459
1,540Defence1,542
1,445Home attack1,478
1,404Away attack1,439
1,500Home defence1,513
1,551Away defence1,496
Match profile
1,782Goal environment1,722
1,683Home goals1,502
1,598Away goals1,720
1,477Possession1,483
Specialist ratings
1,477Set-piece attack1,468
1,478Set-piece defence1,469
1,498Close games1,465
1,466Winning margin1,487

Match venue compares Hellas Verona at home with Parma away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1:1

Starting XI

1Lorenzo MontipòG
3Martin FreseD
12Domagoj BradarićM
16Gift OrbanF
15Victor NelssonD
24Antoine BernedeM
17GiovaneF
37Armel Bella-KotchapD
63Roberto GagliardiniM
11Jean-Daniel Akpa AkproM
7Rafik BelghaliM

ParmaParma1:1

Starting XI

40Edoardo CorviG
5Lautaro ValentiD
18Mathias Fjørtoft LøvikM
9Mateo PellegrinoF
37Mariano TroiloD
22Oliver SørensenM
32Patrick CutroneF
15Enrico Del PratoD
16Mandela KeitaM
10Adrián BernabéM
27Sascha BritschgiM