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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Lecce vs Como

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time0:3HT 0–1

Match Timeline

20'
N. Paz⚽
Normal Goal → M. Vojvoda
22'
Riccardo Sottil🟨
Yellow Card
34'
Ivan Smolčić🟨
Yellow Card
46'
I. Smolcic🔄
Substitution 1 → I. Van der Brempt
54'
Jean Butez🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Diego Carlos🟨
Yellow Card
66'
J. Ramon⚽
Normal Goal → M. Vojvoda
69'
Y. Maleh🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Ndri
69'
N. Stulic🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Camarda
71'
Máximo Perrone🟨
Yellow Card
75'
A. Douvikas⚽
Normal Goal → N. Paz
78'
Diego Carlos🔄
Substitution 2 → M. O. Kempf
78'
J. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Kuhn
79'
S. Pierotti🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Sala
79'
R. Sottil🔄
Substitution 4 → T. J. Helgason
81'
Ylber Ramadani🟨
Yellow Card
84'
M. Vojvoda🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Baturina
90+1'
N. Paz🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Le Borgne
90+3'
Y. Ramadani🔄
Substitution 5 → O. Gorter

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal3
11Total Shots12
2Blocked Shots3
6Shots insidebox9
5Shots outsidebox3
10Fouls24
4Corner Kicks6
2Offsides2
38Ball Possession62
2Yellow Cards4
3Goalkeeper Saves5
281Total passes462
207Passes accurate395
74Passes %85
0.76expected_goals1.63
1goals_prevented1

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Lecce vs Como: A Braai-Worthy Bet on a Low-Scorer

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+13.6%

Listen up, mates. We've got a classic Serie A mid-table tussle here, and my braai is already fired up for this one. On paper, it looks straightforward: 7th-placed Como traveling to face 14th-placed Lecce. The bookies have Como as clear favorites at 1.80, and I can see why. But…

Mr CertaintyWon

Defensive Stalemate Expected as Lecce Hosts Como

The pickBTTS No

Chance
75%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+27.5%

The Serie A clash between Lecce and Como on December 27th presents a fascinating battle between a resilient home side and an upwardly mobile visitor. The league table tells a clear story: Como sit comfortably in 7th place with 24 points, while Lecce languish in 14th with just…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Defensive Solitude, a Clash of Low Scoring

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+16.9%

Much to consider, there is. In the quiet of the winter break, two paths cross. Lecce, 14th in the table with 16 points, meets Como, sitting comfortably in 7th with 24. On the surface, a simple tale of a struggler versus a contender. But deeper, we must look. Strong in defence…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Lecce

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Como

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Lecce at home vs Como away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+133Como
Venue edge
+61Como
Rating period
Match snapshot
Lecce versus Como: long term Elo, before the match
LecceHomeRatingComoAway
Strength
1,499Overall1,632
1,473Match venue1,534
1,473At home1,588
1,460Away1,534
Attack & defence
1,388Attack1,524
1,583Defence1,636
1,383Home attack1,541
1,391Away attack1,484
1,563Home defence1,588
1,561Away defence1,581
Match profile
1,455Goal environment1,498
1,500Home goals1,510
1,455Away goals1,488
1,486Possession1,527
Specialist ratings
1,506Set-piece attack1,502
1,505Set-piece defence1,503
1,520Close games1,508
1,491Winning margin1,668

Match venue compares Lecce at home with Como away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LecceLecce1:1

Starting XI

30W. FalconeG
25A. GalloD
20Y. RamadaniM
23R. SottilM
9N. StulicF
44Tiago GabrielD
93Y. MalehM
5J. SiebertD
77M. KabaM
17D. VeigaD
50S. PierottiM

ComoComo1:1

Starting XI

1J. ButezG
18A. MorenoD
33L. Da CunhaM
17J. RodriguezM
11A. DouvikasF
34Diego CarlosD
23M. PerroneM
10N. PazM
14J. RamonD
31M. VojvodaM
28I. SmolcicD