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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Inter vs Napoli

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time2:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

9'
F. Dimarco⚽
Normal Goal → M. Thuram
26'
S. McTominay⚽
Normal Goal → E. Elmas
62'
P. Zielinski🔄
Substitution 1 → H. Mkhitaryan
69'
Henrikh Mkhitaryan
Penalty confirmed
73'
H. Calhanoglu
Penalty
78'
S. Beukema🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Lang
81'
S. McTominay⚽
Normal Goal → N. Lang
83'
M. Thuram🔄
Substitution 2 → F. Esposito
88'
H. Calhanoglu🔄
Substitution 3 → P. Sucic
88'
L. Martinez🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Bonny
88'
F. Dimarco🔄
Substitution 5 → Carlos Augusto
90+2'
Juan Jesus🟨
Yellow Card
90+4'
M. Politano🔄
Substitution 2 → P. Mazzocchi

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal3
13Total Shots7
5Blocked Shots1
10Shots insidebox5
3Shots outsidebox2
12Fouls11
4Corner Kicks1
2Offsides1
50Ball Possession50
0Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
485Total passes489
418Passes accurate407
86Passes %83
1.45expected_goals0.74
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (4)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

At the Summit, a Clash of Titans

The pickInter win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+13.8%

Much to consider, there is. When first meets third, when 42 points face 38, a battle for supremacy it becomes. Inter, atop the mountain, they sit. Napoli, close behind, they chase. At the San Siro, this clash will echo. Strong, Inter has been. Seven wins in their last ten…

Mr SimpleWon

Inter vs Napoli: Goals Galore at the San Siro?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
58%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+13.1%

Right then, let's talk about the big one. Inter hosting Napoli, top versus third, with just four points between 'em. This is the sort of match that gets the blood pumping, and the stats tell a proper story. Inter are sitting pretty at the summit, and they've been absolutely…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Inter

7W 1D 2L2.20 pts/game

Napoli

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Inter at home vs Napoli away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+64Inter
Venue edge
+84Inter
Rating period
Match snapshot
Inter versus Napoli: long term Elo, before the match
InterHomeRatingNapoliAway
Strength
1,824Overall1,760
1,786Match venue1,702
1,786At home1,740
1,773Away1,702
Attack & defence
1,686Attack1,589
1,704Defence1,689
1,692Home attack1,621
1,640Away attack1,539
1,673Home defence1,637
1,699Away defence1,701
Match profile
2,083Goal environment2,172
1,865Home goals1,985
1,718Away goals1,687
1,529Possession1,522
Specialist ratings
1,582Set-piece attack1,569
1,579Set-piece defence1,567
1,656Close games1,642
1,872Winning margin1,794

Match venue compares Inter at home with Napoli away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

InterInter1:1

Starting XI

1Yann SommerG
95Alessandro BastoniD
32Federico DimarcoM
10Lautaro MartínezF
25Manuel AkanjiD
7Piotr ZielińskiM
9Marcus ThuramF
31Yann BisseckD
20Hakan ÇalhanoğluM
23Nicolò BarellaM
11Luís HenriqueM

NapoliNapoli1:1

Starting XI

32Vanja Milinković-SavićG
5Juan JesusD
37Leonardo SpinazzolaM
20Eljif ElmasF
19Rasmus HøjlundF
13Amir RrahmaniD
8Scott McTominayM
21Matteo PolitanoF
31Sam BeukemaD
68Stanislav LobotkaM
22Giovanni Di LorenzoM