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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Fiorentina vs Pisa

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:0HT 1–0

Match Timeline

13'
M. Kean⚽
Normal Goal
37'
Antonio Caracciolo🟨
Yellow Card
46'
S. Iling Junior🔄
Substitution 1 → H. Meister
46'
F. Loyola🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Durosinmi
46'
F. Stojilkovic🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Aebischer
47'
Dodô🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Marius Marin🟨
Yellow Card
67'
I. Toure🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Cuadrado
76'
S. Moreo🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Piccinini
78'
Dodo🔄
Substitution 1 → P. Comuzzo
78'
M. Solomon🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Fazzini
79'
Juan Cuadrado🟨
Yellow Card
85'
M. Kean🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Piccoli
88'
N. Fagioli🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Fabbian
90+2'
Jacopo Fazzini🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
Giovanni Fabbian🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal5
15Total Shots7
4Blocked Shots1
3Shots insidebox5
12Shots outsidebox2
8Fouls19
4Corner Kicks3
0Offsides2
56Ball Possession44
3Yellow Cards3
1Goalkeeper Saves4
537Total passes401
484Passes accurate349
90Passes %87
1.73expected_goals0.26
1goals_prevented1

Tipster previews (6)

Value VinnyLost

BTTS Value in Serie A Basement Battle

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
72%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+26.0%

When the odds compilers set the line at 1.67 for a Fiorentina home win, they clearly glanced at the table, saw 18th versus 19th, and assumed a gulf in class. But Value Vinnie digs deeper—and the mathematics scream that the real edge lies in the goals market, not the match…

Mr SimpleLost

Fiorentina vs Pisa: BTTS Value in Relegation Scrap

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.75
Model EV
+13.8%

Alright, settle in with your pint, because we've got a proper relegation scrap on our hands! Fiorentina versus Pisa is your classic six-pointer – 18th against 19th in Serie A – and while neither of these lot are setting the world alight, there's definitely a few quid to be made…

The Big "O"Lost

Fiorentina vs Pisa: The Big O Expects a Goal Fest

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

The Big O is back, and let me tell you, I've been absolutely gagging for some action after that dreadful 0-0 borefest these two served up back in September. Talk about a disappointment – no goals, no excitement, and certainly no satisfaction. But fear not, my friends, because…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

The Force Awakens: Fiorentina vs Pisa Preview

The pickFiorentina win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

In the depths of struggle, clarity often emerges. Two sides locked in the lower realms of Serie A meet, yet their paths diverge like light and shadow. Fiorentina, wounded but awakening. Pisa, adrift in a sea of draws and defeats. The table lies, young padawan - look deeper, we…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Fiorentina

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Pisa

0W 5D 5L0.50 pts/game

Per game

Fiorentina at home vs Pisa away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+111Fiorentina
Venue edge
+128Fiorentina
Rating period
Match snapshot
Fiorentina versus Pisa: long term Elo, before the match
FiorentinaHomeRatingPisaAway
Strength
1,565Overall1,453
1,612Match venue1,484
1,612At home1,454
1,526Away1,484
Attack & defence
1,543Attack1,454
1,543Defence1,505
1,564Home attack1,417
1,503Away attack1,513
1,565Home defence1,527
1,551Away defence1,479
Match profile
1,868Goal environment1,492
1,697Home goals1,458
1,672Away goals1,533
1,511Possession1,463
Specialist ratings
1,495Set-piece attack1,490
1,496Set-piece defence1,489
1,522Close games1,474
1,582Winning margin1,446

Match venue compares Fiorentina at home with Pisa away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FiorentinaFiorentina1:1

Starting XI

43David De GeaG
65Fabiano ParisiD
4Marco BrescianiniM
19Manor SolomonF
6Luca RanieriD
44Nicolò FagioliM
20Moise KeanF
5Marin PongračićD
27Cher NdourM
17Jack HarrisonF
2DodôD

PisaPisa1:1

Starting XI

12NícolasG
2Rosen BozhinovD
3Samuele AngoriM
19Samuel Iling JuniorF
81Filip StojilkovićF
4Antonio CaraccioloD
6Marius MarinM
32Stefano MoreoF
5Simone CanestrelliD
35Felipe LoyolaM
15Idrissa TouréM