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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Como vs Lecce

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time3:1HT 3–1

Match Timeline

13'
L. Coulibaly⚽
Normal Goal → L. Banda
18'
A. Douvikas⚽
Normal Goal → J. Rodriguez
35'
J. Rodriguez⚽
Normal Goal → M. Perrone
44'
M. O. Kempf⚽
Normal Goal → L. Da Cunha
46'
M. O. Kempf🔄
Substitution 1 → Diego Carlos
46'
C. Ndaba🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Pierotti
59'
W. Cheddira🔄
Substitution 2 → N. Stulic
59'
O. Gandelman🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Ngom
64'
M. Perrone🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Roberto
64'
M. Vojvoda🔄
Substitution 3 → N. Paz
70'
Lameck Banda🟨
Yellow Card
73'
L. Banda🔄
Substitution 4 → R. Sottil
77'
A. Douvikas🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Morata
84'
J. Rodriguez🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Diao
84'
Tiago Gabriel🔄
Substitution 5 → G. Jean

Match Statistics

7Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal1
12Total Shots5
2Blocked Shots2
12Shots insidebox1
0Shots outsidebox4
15Fouls12
5Corner Kicks1
1Offsides2
69Ball Possession31
0Yellow Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
605Total passes271
527Passes accurate198
87Passes %73
2.77expected_goals0.24
0goals_prevented0

Tipster preview

PajimonWon

Como vs Lecce: The Lekker Home Win

The pickComo win

Chance
75%
Odds
1.42
Model EV
+6.5%

Howzit my bru! Grab a cold one and pull up a chair because this Saturday afternoon fixture in Serie A has got me fired up like a proper braai on a Saturday afternoon. We've got Como hosting Lecce, and if the numbers are anything to go by, this could be a lekker day for the home…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Como

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Lecce

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Per game

Como at home vs Lecce away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+182Como
Venue edge
+121Como
Rating period
Match snapshot
Como versus Lecce: long term Elo, before the match
ComoHomeRatingLecceAway
Strength
1,678Overall1,497
1,587Match venue1,466
1,587At home1,462
1,593Away1,466
Attack & defence
1,572Attack1,383
1,675Defence1,595
1,533Home attack1,376
1,550Away attack1,391
1,601Home defence1,544
1,628Away defence1,593
Match profile
1,503Goal environment1,430
1,513Home goals1,493
1,490Away goals1,437
1,545Possession1,472
Specialist ratings
1,528Set-piece attack1,493
1,528Set-piece defence1,493
1,520Close games1,501
1,728Winning margin1,496

Match venue compares Como at home with Lecce away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ComoComo1:1

Starting XI

1J. ButezG
18A. MorenoD
33L. Da CunhaM
17J. RodriguezM
11A. DouvikasF
2M. O. KempfD
23M. PerroneM
6M. CaqueretM
14J. RamonD
31M. VojvodaM
77I. Van der BremptD

LecceLecce1:1

Starting XI

30W. FalconeG
3C. NdabaD
25A. GalloM
16O. GandelmanF
99W. CheddiraF
44Tiago GabrielD
19L. BandaM
5J. SiebertD
29L. CoulibalyM
20Y. RamadaniM
17D. VeigaM