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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Fiorentina vs Inter

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

1'
F. Esposito⚽
Normal Goal → N. Barella
42'
Federico Dimarco🟨
Yellow Card
44'
Carlos Augusto🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Carlos Augusto🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Acerbi
55'
Marco Brescianini🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Cher Ndour🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Nicolò Barella🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Moise Kean🟨
Yellow Card
68'
M. Thuram🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Bonny
69'
F. Parisi🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Harrison
69'
H. Calhanoglu🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Frattesi
77'
C. Ndour⚽
Normal Goal
83'
N. Barella🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Sucic
86'
M. Kean🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Piccoli
86'
D. Dumfries🔄
Substitution 5 → Luis Henrique
90+1'
N. Fagioli🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Fabbian
90+1'
A. Gudmundsson🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Comuzzo

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal3
16Total Shots12
3Blocked Shots5
9Shots insidebox11
7Shots outsidebox1
16Fouls12
3Corner Kicks5
5Offsides1
40Ball Possession60
3Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves5
383Total passes577
320Passes accurate497
84Passes %86
2.31expected_goals1.32
0goals_prevented0

Tipster preview

PajimonLost

Fiorentina vs Inter Betting Preview

The pickInter win

Chance
70%
Odds
1.60
Model EV
+12.0%

Goeie more, mense! Welcome to another Serie A showdown where the stakes are high and the beer is cold. We're looking at Fiorentina versus Inter, kicking off on 2026-03-22 at 19:45. As your tipster Pajimon, I love a good win, just like I love a proper braai. No politics here…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Fiorentina

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Inter

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Per game

Fiorentina at home vs Inter away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+266Inter
Venue edge
+157Inter
Rating period
Match snapshot
Fiorentina versus Inter: long term Elo, before the match
FiorentinaHomeRatingInterAway
Strength
1,569Overall1,835
1,616Match venue1,773
1,616At home1,798
1,524Away1,773
Attack & defence
1,526Attack1,678
1,547Defence1,709
1,540Home attack1,699
1,506Away attack1,627
1,586Home defence1,656
1,534Away defence1,720
Match profile
1,865Goal environment2,095
1,683Home goals1,882
1,682Away goals1,713
1,513Possession1,544
Specialist ratings
1,502Set-piece attack1,610
1,502Set-piece defence1,607
1,536Close games1,667
1,580Winning margin1,881

Match venue compares Fiorentina at home with Inter away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FiorentinaFiorentina1:1

Starting XI

43David De GeaG
21Robin GosensD
44Nicolò FagioliM
10Albert GuðmundssonM
20Moise KeanF
6Luca RanieriD
27Cher NdourM
5Marin PongračićD
4Marco BrescianiniM
2DodôD
65Fabiano ParisiM

InterInter1:1

Starting XI

1Yann SommerG
30Carlos AugustoD
32Federico DimarcoM
94Francesco Pio EspositoF
25Manuel AkanjiD
7Piotr ZielińskiM
9Marcus ThuramF
31Yann BisseckD
20Hakan ÇalhanoğluM
23Nicolò BarellaM
2Denzel DumfriesM