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Match analysis

ItalySerie A

Lazio vs Parma

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Serie A fixture.

Full time1:1HT 0–1

Match Timeline

15'
E. Delprato⚽
Normal Goal
27'
Gabriel Strefezza🟨
Yellow Card
32'
Mateo Pellegrino🟨
Yellow Card
57'
A. Marusic🔄
Substitution 1 → M. Lazzari
58'
G. Isaksen🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Cancellieri
58'
Pedro🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Noslin
65'
D. Maldini🔄
Substitution 4 → B. Dia
71'
H. Nicolussi Caviglia🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Estevez
77'
T. Noslin⚽
Normal Goal → K. Taylor
80'
A. Bernabe🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Ordonez
81'
G. Strefezza🔄
Substitution 3 → G. Oristanio
85'
Zion Suzuki
Penalty cancelled
87'
Tijjani Noslin🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
M. Keita🔄
Substitution 4 → O. Sorensen
90+2'
S. Britschgi🔄
Substitution 5 → F. Carboni

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal1
7Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots2
5Shots insidebox4
2Shots outsidebox3
12Fouls8
7Corner Kicks2
0Offsides1
61Ball Possession39
1Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
576Total passes381
534Passes accurate323
93Passes %85
0.4expected_goals0.44
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

OracleLost

Lazio vs Parma: Serie A Preview & Prediction

The pickLazio win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

In the grand tapestry of football, patterns emerge from the chaos. When Lazio welcomes Parma to the Stadio Olimpico, the threads of history and current form weave a clear narrative. The home side stands tall, while the visitors falter on the road. Lazio's recent performance at…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Lazio vs Parma - Serie A Preview

The pickLazio win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. In the world of football, certainty is a myth, but patterns, they reveal much. Lazio at home, strong they are. Parma away, weak they are. The match, it is a test of wills and skill. Lazio's recent form is a…

PajimonLost

Lazio vs Parma: Serie A Preview & Bet

The pickLazio win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

Baai dag, bettors! Pajimon here, ready to find the meat in this fixture. We have Lazio hosting Parma in Serie A on 2026-04-04. The stakes are high, and the stats scream value. Let's dig into the data without the fluff. Lazio is sitting pretty at 8th place with 43 points, while…

Value VinnyLost

Lazio vs Parma: Value Vinny's Preview

The pickLazio win

Chance
60%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+8.0%

Odds don't lie — but bookies do. Today we're looking at Lazio hosting Parma in Serie A. The math is simple: value exists when the probability you calculate exceeds the implied probability in the odds. Let's break down the signals. Lazio holds a massive psychological and…

Mr SimpleLost

Lazio vs Parma: Home Win Value

The pickLazio win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

Right then, let's get straight to the point. Lazio are hosting Parma in Serie A, and looking at the numbers, the home side has a distinct advantage. It's a match where history and current form point in one direction. Lazio have been in decent form, picking up points…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Lazio

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Parma

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Per game

Lazio at home vs Parma away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Serie A

Overall edge
+128Lazio
Venue edge
+138Lazio
Rating period
Match snapshot
Lazio versus Parma: long term Elo, before the match
LazioHomeRatingParmaAway
Strength
1,656Overall1,528
1,639Match venue1,501
1,639At home1,451
1,631Away1,501
Attack & defence
1,501Attack1,418
1,644Defence1,572
1,547Home attack1,437
1,479Away attack1,435
1,596Home defence1,515
1,659Away defence1,547
Match profile
2,088Goal environment1,690
1,870Home goals1,487
1,718Away goals1,703
1,499Possession1,482
Specialist ratings
1,465Set-piece attack1,489
1,466Set-piece defence1,488
1,633Close games1,565
1,662Winning margin1,509

Match venue compares Lazio at home with Parma away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

LazioLazio1:1

Starting XI

40Edoardo MottaG
17Nuno TavaresD
24Kenneth TaylorM
9PedroF
25Oliver ProvstgaardD
32Danilo CataldiM
27Daniel MaldiniF
13Alessio RomagnoliD
7Fisayo Dele-BashiruM
18Gustav IsaksenF
77Adam MarušićD

ParmaParma1:1

Starting XI

31Zion SuzukiG
5Lautaro ValentiD
14Emanuele ValeriM
7Gabriel StrefezzaF
39Alessandro CircatiD
16Mandela KeitaM
9Mateo PellegrinoF
15Enrico DelpratoD
41Hans Nicolussi CavigliaM
10Adrián BernabéM
27Sascha BritschgiM