Sun, 30 Nov 2025, 14:05
Full Time
1:0
HT: 0 - 0

Match Timeline

45+2'
André🟨
Yellow Card
54'
E. BuendiaπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ O. Watkins
58'
David Mâller Wolfe🟨
Yellow Card
67'
B. Kamara⚽
Normal Goal β†’ J. McGinn
69'
J. BellegardeπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ T. Chirewa
75'
Y. TielemansπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ R. Barkley
75'
D. MalenπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ A. Onana
76'
Yerson Mosquera🟨
Yellow Card
77'
D. M. WolfeπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ H. Bueno
77'
Y. MosqueraπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ M. Mane
79'
Jhon Arias
Card upgrade
80'
Jhon Arias🟨
Yellow Card
87'
J. AriasπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ T. Arokodare
88'
B. KamaraπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ L. Bogarde
88'
Unknown PlayerπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ J. Sancho

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal2
16Total Shots9
4Blocked Shots3
10Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls21
7Corner Kicks3
0Offsides2
53Ball Possession47
0Yellow Cards4
4Goalkeeper Saves5
459Total passes409
399Passes accurate356
87Passes %87
1expected_goals0.49
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Aston VillaAston Villa1:1

Starting XI

23E. MartinezG
12L. DigneD
8Y. TielemansM
10E. BuendiaM
17D. MalenF
14P. TorresD
44B. KamaraM
27M. RogersM
4E. KonsaD
7J. McGinnM
2M. CashD

WolvesWolves1:1

Starting XI

31S. JohnstoneG
24TotiD
6D. M. WolfeM
27J. BellegardeF
12E. AgbadouD
8Joao GomesM
9J. S. LarsenF
15Y. MosqueraD
7AndreM
10J. AriasF
38J. TchatchouaM

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Aston Villa
Aston Villa
Form: W-W-W-W-L
Wolves
Wolves
Form: L-L-L-L-L
Record
8 W
0 D
2 L
β€’
1 W
2 D
7 L
Goals Per Game
1.9
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
0.9
Conceded
vs
2.2
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.3
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:1.5
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:0.3
Conceded
Home:2.2
Away:2.3

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1706
Good
1461
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1804
↑ Momentum (+98)
1426
↓ Momentum (-35)
Expected Outcome
62%
Home Win
23%
Draw
15%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1606
Attack
1483
1637
Defence
1473
Recent Form
1618
Attack
1492
1682
Defence
1436
Post-Match Changes
+5
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Villa to Feast on Struggling Wolves
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+12.5%

Ag man, this one looks like a proper braai where one team brought the meat and the other forgot the fire! Aston Villa are cooking with gas right now, sitting pretty in 4th place with 21 points, while Wolves are having a nightmare season stuck at the bottom with just 2 points from 12 games. That's worse than forgetting your beer at the shop, boet! Villa's home form is absolutely lekker - they're winning 83.33% of their home games and scoring 2 goals per game while only letting in 0.33. They've been smashing teams lately, putting 4 past Bournemouth, keeping clean sheets against Manchester City, and beating Tottenham away. That's the kind of form that makes you want to fire up the BBQ and celebrate! Wolves, on the other hand, are struggling more than a vegetarian at a braai. Away from home, they've got a big fat zero in the win column, scoring only 0.25 goals per game while conceding 2.25. They've failed to score in their last three away matches, getting blanked by Crystal Palace, Chelsea, and Fulham. That's not just bad, that's seriously kak! The head-to-head shows Wolves actually have a decent record overall, but Villa does better at home against them. Still, when you look at the current form gap, it's like comparing a proper steak to a burnt worsie. Villa are flying high while Wolves can't buy a win. Villa's attack is firing at home with 2 goals per game, and their defense is tighter than a new pair of boots. Wolves are averaging less than a quarter of a goal away from home - that's not just bad, that's almost statistically impossible to maintain! They're conceding over 2 goals per game on their travels too. With Villa's home dominance and Wolves' away misery, this looks like a straightforward result. The goal expectancy has Villa scoring over 2 goals while Wolves barely register. Sometimes the stats just scream at you, and this is one of those times!

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Villa's Goal Fest Expected Against Struggling Wolves
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+4.4%
Confidence:75

Oh baby, The Big O is getting excited about this one! We've got a classic setup for goals galore at Villa Park, and I'm here for every single one of them. Let's talk about Aston Villa's home form - it's absolutely electric! They're scoring 2.00 goals per game on their own patch and have been absolutely ruthless recently. Remember that 4-0 demolition of Bournemouth? Or the 3-1 victory over Fulham? That's the kind of explosive football that gets my heart pumping! Their shot accuracy at home sits at a juicy 47.2%, meaning when they pull the trigger, they're hitting the target. Now, onto Wolves - and folks, this is where things get really interesting for us goal lovers. Away from home, they're about as solid as a chocolate teapot! They're conceding 2.25 goals per game on the road and have managed a pathetic 0.25 goals scored away from home. Zero wins in four away matches tells you everything you need to know about their traveling troubles. The recent results paint a beautiful picture for Over backers. Wolves have been shipping goals for fun: 0-2 vs Crystal Palace, 0-3 vs Chelsea, 0-3 vs Fulham. They're basically rolling out the red carpet for opposition attacks. Meanwhile, Villa's been finding the net consistently, with seven wins in their last ten games. The goal expectancy numbers are singing my tune - Villa expected to score 2.12 goals at home against a Wolves side that's leaking goals everywhere. When you combine Villa's attacking firepower with Wolves' defensive generosity, you've got a recipe for goal-fest action! Sure, the head-to-head shows some tight encounters, but form matters more than history, and right now, these two teams are heading in completely opposite directions. Villa's climbing the table while Wolves are rock bottom with just 2 points from 12 games. The Big O sees value here, and when I see value in an Over market, I get very, very interested!

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Villa's Home Fortress vs Struggling Wolves
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+12.5%
Confidence:75

This Premier League clash presents a stark contrast in form and fortunes. Aston Villa sit comfortably in 4th place with 21 points, while Wolves languish at the bottom of the table with a mere 2 points from 12 matches. The statistical disparity between these sides is particularly pronounced when considering venue factors. Villa's home form has been exceptional this season, boasting an 83.33% win rate at their own ground. They've been defensively solid at home, conceding just 0.33 goals per game while scoring 2.00 goals per game. Recent results demonstrate their quality, including impressive victories over Bournemouth (4-0), Maccabi Tel Aviv (2-0), and a crucial 1-0 win against Manchester City. Their defensive organization at home is highlighted by 4 clean sheets in their last 10 matches overall. Wolves, by contrast, are experiencing a disastrous campaign. Their away form is particularly alarming, with a 0% win rate on the road and an average of just 0.25 goals scored per away game. They've been shipping goals at an alarming rate, conceding 2.25 per game away from home. Recent results paint a grim picture: 0-2 defeats to Crystal Palace and Chelsea, plus a 0-3 loss at Fulham. Their sole clean sheet in the last 10 games came in a League Cup victory over Everton. While the head-to-head record shows Wolves have historically competed well against Villa (4 wins to 2 in 9 meetings), current form overrides historical considerations. Villa's recent home performances against quality opposition demonstrate their ability to control games and limit scoring opportunities. The statistical mismatch is overwhelming - Villa's home defensive record (0.33 goals conceded per game) versus Wolves' away attacking output (0.25 goals scored per game) suggests a low-scoring affair dominated by the home side. The goal expectancy data further supports this assessment, with Villa projected to score 2.12 goals compared to Wolves' 0.29. Given Villa's strong home form and Wolves' abysmal away record, this represents one of the clearer betting opportunities in recent fixtures.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Villa's Wisdom vs Wolves' Struggles
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+17.0%

Hmmm, much to ponder in this contest of light and shadow. The force flows strongly through Aston Villa, sitting fourth in the realm with 21 points from 12 battles. Their home fortress stands mighty - 83.33% victory rate upon their own soil, where they strike with 2.00 goals per game while conceding merely 0.33. Recent victories speak volumes: 4-0 against Bournemouth, 2-0 over Maccabi Tel Aviv, and a noble 1-0 triumph against Manchester City. But Wolves... ah, the dark side has consumed them. Rock bottom of the table they dwell, with but 2 points from 12 encounters. Zero victories have they claimed this season. Away from their den, they are but shadows - 0% win rate, scoring a mere 0.25 goals per game while leaking 2.25. Recent journeys show their pain: 0-2 to Crystal Palace, 0-3 to Chelsea, 0-3 to Fulham. The force of attacking prowess has abandoned them completely. Head-to-head history tells of past balance, but the present moment reveals truth. Villa's home record against Wolves stands at 2-2-1, yet current form suggests the scales have tipped dramatically. The goal expectancy speaks clearly - Villa 2.12, Wolves 0.29. Such numbers rarely deceive. In football, as in life, momentum carries great weight. Villa rides the wave with 70% win rate in their last 10 contests. Wolves stumble with but 10% success in the same period. The path forward becomes clear when one listens to what the data whispers. Key Points: - Villa's imperious home form: 83.33% win rate, 2.00 goals scored per game - Wolves' abysmal away record: 0% win rate, only 0.25 goals scored per game - Villa's solid home defense: 0.33 goals conceded per game - Wolves' leaky away defense: 2.25 goals conceded per game - Goal expectancy heavily favors Villa (2.12) over Wolves (0.29) - Villa's recent impressive victories include 4-0 vs Bournemouth and 1-0 vs Manchester City The wise bettor sees beyond the odds to the truth within the numbers. Villa shall score, of this there is little doubt. Wolves, however, appear destined to remain goalless once more upon their travels. The force of probability guides us toward Both Teams to Score - No.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Villa's Home Fortress vs Wolves' Travel Woes
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:2.00
Expected Value:+30.0%

The numbers paint a stark picture for this Premier League clash. Aston Villa sit pretty in 4th place with 21 points, boasting an impressive 70% win rate over their last 10 games. More tellingly, their home form is exceptional - an 83.33% win rate with 2.00 goals scored per game while conceding just 0.33. Recent results demonstrate this dominance, including a 4-0 demolition of Bournemouth and a crucial 1-0 victory over Manchester City. Contrast this with Wolves, who are rock bottom of the table with a measly 2 points from 12 games. Their away form is particularly catastrophic - a 0% win rate, averaging only 0.25 goals scored while shipping 2.25 per game on their travels. Their recent defensive record reads like a horror story: 0-2 vs Crystal Palace, 0-3 vs Chelsea, 0-3 vs Fulham. They've managed just one clean sheet in their last 10 matches. The head-to-head record shows historical competitiveness (Villa 2W, 3D, 4L), but current form tells a different story. Villa's defensive solidity at home (40% clean sheets overall) against Wolves' attacking impotence away creates a mathematical mismatch. The shot statistics reinforce this narrative - Villa average 12.44 shots per game with 39% accuracy, while Wolves manage just 10.60 shots with a paltry 29.6% accuracy. The goal expectancy data (Home 2.12, Away 0.29) further confirms what the form suggests: this should be a comfortable home victory with minimal goal threat from the visitors. Wolves simply aren't creating or converting chances on the road, while Villa's defensive record at home is among the league's best.

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πŸ“ Match Preview

Villa to wallop woeful Wolves at home
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:1.50
Expected Value:+12.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. It's a tale of two teams going in completely opposite directions, innit? Aston Villa are sitting pretty in 4th place with 21 points, playing some proper decent stuff. Meanwhile, Wolves are rock bottom of the table with a measly 2 points from 12 games - they haven't even won a single Premier League match this season! Villa's recent form has been top-notch. Seven wins from their last ten games, including some proper tasty results like that 4-0 hammering of Bournemouth and a brilliant 1-0 win over Manchester City at home. They're scoring goals for fun at Villa Park too - 2 per game on average and barely letting any in (just 0.33 per game). Their home record is absolutely mint: 83% win rate and they haven't lost at home in ages. Wolves, on the other hand, are in absolute shambles. One win in ten games, and that was in the League Cup against Everton. In the league, they're getting battered week in, week out. Look at their recent results: 0-2 against Palace, 3-0 against Chelsea, 3-0 against Fulham. Away from home? It's even worse - they've not won a single away game all season and are scoring just 0.25 goals per game on their travels. That's one goal every four matches, mate! The head-to-head might show Wolves have historically had the edge, but that counts for nothing when you look at the current form. Villa are flying and Wolves are free-falling. When you look at the numbers, Villa are expected to score over 2 goals while Wolves are lucky to get a sniff at 0.29. The odds of 1.50 for a home win might not look massive, but sometimes the best bets are the obvious ones. This looks about as straightforward as they come in the Premier League.

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