Aston Villa vs Wolves Prediction

Villa to wallop woeful Wolves at home

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one. It's a tale of two teams going in completely opposite directions, innit? Aston Villa are sitting pretty in 4th place with 21 points, playing some proper decent stuff. Meanwhile, Wolves are rock bottom of the table with a measly 2 points from 12 games - they haven't even won a single Premier League match this season!

Villa's recent form has been top-notch. Seven wins from their last ten games, including some proper tasty results like that 4-0 hammering of Bournemouth and a brilliant 1-0 win over Manchester City at home. They're scoring goals for fun at Villa Park too - 2 per game on average and barely letting any in (just 0.33 per game). Their home record is absolutely mint: 83% win rate and they haven't lost at home in ages.

Wolves, on the other hand, are in absolute shambles. One win in ten games, and that was in the League Cup against Everton. In the league, they're getting battered week in, week out. Look at their recent results: 0-2 against Palace, 3-0 against Chelsea, 3-0 against Fulham. Away from home? It's even worse - they've not won a single away game all season and are scoring just 0.25 goals per game on their travels. That's one goal every four matches, mate!

The head-to-head might show Wolves have historically had the edge, but that counts for nothing when you look at the current form. Villa are flying and Wolves are free-falling.

When you look at the numbers, Villa are expected to score over 2 goals while Wolves are lucky to get a sniff at 0.29. The odds of 1.50 for a home win might not look massive, but sometimes the best bets are the obvious ones. This looks about as straightforward as they come in the Premier League.

Match time
Recommended Bet
HOME WIN
Odds
1.50
+EV
+12.5%
Estimated Chance75%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN