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Match analysis

EnglandPremier League

Wolves vs Manchester United

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premier League fixture.

Match Timeline

25'
B. Fernandes⚽
Normal Goal → M. Cunha
38'
Bryan Mbeumo🟨
Yellow Card
44'
Jørgen Strand Larsen🟨
Yellow Card
45'
J. Bellegarde⚽
Normal Goal → D. M. Wolfe
46'
Ladislav Krejčí🟨
Yellow Card
51'
B. Mbeumo⚽
Normal Goal → D. Dalot
54'
J. Bellegarde🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Lopez
62'
M. Mount⚽
Normal Goal → B. Fernandes
69'
J. S. Larsen🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Arokodare
69'
N. Mazraoui🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Martinez
69'
A. Heaven🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Yoro
70'
Toti🔄
Substitution 3 → H. Bueno
70'
J. Arias🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Mane
78'
Casemiro🔄
Substitution 3 → K. Mainoo
80'
Amad Diallo
Penalty confirmed
81'
Yerson Mosquera🟨
Yellow Card
82'
B. Fernandes⚽
Normal Goal → B. Fernandes
84'
M. Mount🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Zirkzee
84'
D. Dalot🔄
Substitution 5 → P. Dorgu
86'
K. Hoever🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Tchatchoua
90+6'
Joshua Zirkzee🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal10
3Shots off Goal3
8Total Shots27
3Blocked Shots14
4Shots insidebox20
4Shots outsidebox7
17Fouls12
1Corner Kicks9
2Offsides3
36Ball Possession64
3Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves1
285Total passes532
205Passes accurate452
72Passes %85
0.41expected_goals4.1
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (3)

PajimonWon

United to Feast on Struggling Wolves

The pickManchester United win

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

Ag man, this one looks like a braai where one team brought the meat and the other forgot the fire! Wolves are absolutely kak this season - sitting dead last with only 2 points from 14 games. They haven't won a single match all season and have managed just 2 draws in 14 attempts…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

The Force Awakens At Molineux

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

Hmmm, much to ponder in this encounter. The dark side surrounds Wolves, who find themselves at the bottom of the league with but 2 points from 14 games. A season without victory, they have suffered. In their last 10 matches, zero wins, two draws, eight defeats - a path of…

Value VinnyWon

Mathematical Value Found in BTTS Market

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Wolves are statistically the worst team in the Premier League with just 2 points from 14 games, averaging a mere 0.20 points per game. They've managed zero wins in their last 10 matches, scoring only 7 goals while…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Wolves

0W 2D 8L0.20 pts/game

Manchester United

5W 3D 2L1.80 pts/game

Per game

Wolves at home vs Manchester United away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premier League

Overall edge
+180Manchester United
Venue edge
+105Manchester United
Rating period
Match snapshot
Wolves versus Manchester United: long term Elo, before the match
WolvesHomeRatingManchester UnitedAway
Strength
1,414Overall1,594
1,451Match venue1,556
1,451At home1,604
1,448Away1,556
Attack & defence
1,432Attack1,539
1,487Defence1,559
1,469Home attack1,527
1,429Away attack1,517
1,499Home defence1,569
1,500Away defence1,551
Match profile
1,588Goal environment1,905
1,557Home goals1,705
1,532Away goals1,700
1,493Possession1,509
Specialist ratings
1,452Set-piece attack1,492
1,454Set-piece defence1,492
1,452Close games1,564
1,405Winning margin1,604

Match venue compares Wolves at home with Manchester United away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

WolvesWolves1:1

Starting XI

31Sam JohnstoneG
24Toti GomesD
6David Möller WolfeM
27Jean-Ricner BellegardeF
9Jørgen Strand LarsenF
12Emmanuel AgbadouD
37Ladislav KrejčíM
10Jhon AriasF
15Yerson MosqueraD
7AndréM
26Ki-Jana HoeverM

Manchester UnitedManchester United1:1

Starting XI

31Senne LammensG
23Luke ShawD
2Diogo DalotM
7Mason MountF
10Matheus CunhaF
26Ayden HeavenD
8Bruno FernandesM
19Bryan MbeumoF
3Noussair MazraouiD
18CasemiroM
16Amad DialloM