Wolves vs Manchester United Prediction

The Force Awakens At Molineux

Preview

Hmmm, much to ponder in this encounter. The dark side surrounds Wolves, who find themselves at the bottom of the league with but 2 points from 14 games. A season without victory, they have suffered. In their last 10 matches, zero wins, two draws, eight defeats - a path of suffering indeed. Conceding 2.1 goals per game while scoring only 0.7, the balance of the Force is not with them.

Manchester United, however, stands in the light. Eighth in the league with 22 points, their form speaks of strength. Five wins, three draws, two losses in their last 10 games - much better this is. Scoring 1.8 goals per game, their attack flows like the Force itself. Yet even the strong have weaknesses, conceding 1.4 goals per game and keeping but one clean sheet in 10 matches.

Look at their recent battles, we must. United leads the head-to-head 5-3 in 8 meetings. At home, Wolves have won only once against United in four attempts (25%). The last meeting ended 1-0, but which side prevailed, the data does not reveal.

The numbers tell a story. United averages 14.4 shots per game to Wolves' 9.1. Their shots on target stand at 5.4 compared to Wolves' 2.8. Possession favors United at 52.3% against Wolves' 46.5%. The attacking intent is clear.

Yet wisdom teaches us to look deeper. Wolves have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 10 games - 100% of matches, they have conceded. United have kept only one clean sheet in their last 10 - 90% of matches, they have conceded. Both teams have shown vulnerability at the back.

In attack, Wolves have scored in 40% of their last 10 games, finding the net against Brighton and Tottenham. United have scored in 90% of their last 10 games, their attack flowing consistently.

The goal expectancy suggests 1.50 for Wolves and 2.00 for United - a total of 3.50 goals expected. The both teams to score market at 1.67 offers value, for the patterns of both teams' recent form suggest goals from both sides.

Remember, young padawan: form is temporary, but class is eternal. Yet in this case, the form of both defenses suggests both will breach the other's defenses.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.67
+EV
+8.6%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN