Thu, 23 Oct 2025, 03:05
Liga MX
Mexico
Mexico
Full Time

Match Timeline

1'
João Pedro Galvão🟨
Yellow Card
16'
José Caicedo🟨
Yellow Card
24'
Álvaro Angulo🟨
Yellow Card
30'
Rodrigo Dourado🟨
Yellow Card
61'
Santiago Trigos🔄
Substitution 1 → Pedro Vite
61'
Santiago López🔄
Substitution 2 → José Juan Macías
65'
José Caicedo🔄
Substitution 3 → Ulises Rivas
74'
Sebastián Pérez Bouquet🔄
Substitution 1 → Miguel Alonso García
78'
Sébastien Salles-Lamonge
Normal Goal
81'
Pablo Bennevendo🔄
Substitution 4 → Rodrigo Lopez
83'
Juan Manuel Sanabria🟨
Yellow Card
88'
Juanpe🔄
Substitution 2 → Daniel Guillen

Match Statistics

0Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal6
6Total Shots13
1Blocked Shots2
2Shots insidebox9
4Shots outsidebox4
8Fouls14
1Corner Kicks6
2Offsides0
62Ball Possession38
2Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves0
553Total passes318
480Passes accurate248
87Passes %78

Starting Lineups

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - PumasUnknown

Starting XI

1Keylor NavasG
2Pablo BennevendoD
6Nathan SilvaD
5Rubén DuarteD
77Álvaro AnguloD
8José CaicedoM
20Santiago TrigosM
22Alan MedinaM
28Adalberto CarrasquillaM
17Jorge RuvalcabaM
30Santiago LópezF

Atletico San LuisAtletico San LuisUnknown

Starting XI

1Andrés SánchezG
2Román TorresD
3Robson BambuD
6JuanpeD
31Eduardo ÁguilaD
13Rodrigo DouradoM
19Sébastien Salles-LamongeM
7Benjamín GaldamesM
26Sebastián Pérez BouquetM
8Juan Manuel SanabriaM
9João Pedro GalvãoF

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Form: D-L-W-D-L
Atletico San Luis
Atletico San Luis
Form: W-L-L-L-W
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
3 W
1 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.5
Scored
1.7
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1569
Average
1524
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1543
↓ Momentum (-26)
1527
↑ Momentum (+3)
Expected Outcome
38%
Home Win
33%
Draw
29%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1493
Attack
1511
1533
Defence
1480
Recent Form
1443
Attack
1481
1507
Defence
1490
Post-Match Changes
-18
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Pumas vs San Luis: Goal Fest Expected
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+36.5%

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and look at this Liga MX clash! Pumas hosting San Luis in what looks like another bottom-of-the-table battle, but don't let that fool you - these two know how to find the net when they meet! Pumas are sitting 10th with 14 points, and while their overall form hasn't been brilliant (3 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses in last 10), they've been decent at home lately. Unbeaten in their last two home games, they're averaging 2 goals scored at home while conceding 1.50. They showed they can compete with the big boys, drawing 1-1 with Monterrey and Toluca recently. San Luis are just below them in 11th with 13 points, and their away form is proper dodgy - only 40% win rate away from home. But here's the thing: they score goals! Averaging 2 goals per game on the road, they've put 4 past Santos Laguna and 2 past Puebla in recent away trips. Their defense leaks though, conceding 1.60 per away game. Now for the good stuff - the head-to-head! These two have faced off 9 times, and it's been a goal fest. 7 out of 9 matches went Over 2.5 goals - that's nearly 78%! Recent encounters have been crackers: 3-2, 3-0, 1-3, 3-2, 3-1. Pumas dominate at home against San Luis with a 75% win rate, but the goals keep flowing regardless. Both teams are averaging 70% BTTS in their recent form, and when you combine Pumas' home scoring (2.00) with San Luis' away scoring (2.00), you're looking at nearly 4 expected goals per game. The stats don't lie here - this fixture has goals written all over it. Key Points: - 7 of 9 H2H matches went Over 2.5 goals (77.8%) - Combined expected goals: 3.55 per game - Pumas unbeaten in last 2 home games - San Luis averaging 2 goals scored away from home - Both teams showing 70% BTTS in recent form - Pumas have 75% home win rate vs San Luis The value is clear here - with the history of high-scoring games between these two and both teams' tendency to both score and concede, backing Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 looks like the smart play. Time to get the beers cold!

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📝 Match Preview

San Luis Ready to Pounce on Pumas in Underdog Showdown
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:4.50
Expected Value:+17.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! Two teams sitting near the bottom of the Liga MX table, but I've got my eye on the little puppy that could - Atletico San Luis! While the bookmakers have Pumas as the clear favorites at 1.80, I see some serious value in our underdog friends at 4.50. Let's look at the facts, shall we? Both teams are having a bit of a rough season, with Pumas sitting 10th and San Luis just one point behind in 11th. But here's where it gets interesting - San Luis has been scoring goals for fun on their travels, averaging 2.00 goals per game away from home! That's more than Pumas manage at their own ground. The head-to-head history tells us this is always a competitive affair. While Pumas lead overall 5-4, the matches have been absolute goal fests - 7 out of 9 have gone over 2.5 goals. And get this - San Luis recently put four past Santos Laguna in an away victory, showing they've got the bite to match their bark when playing on the road. Pumas have been inconsistent at best, with just 3 wins in 13 games and a defense that's been leaking goals (1.70 per game). Their recent form shows draws against Monterrey and Toluca, but also losses to teams they should be beating. San Luis might only have 1 point from their last 5 matches, but sometimes that's exactly when an underdog is ready to spring a surprise! The odds of 4.50 seem to be overlooking their attacking potential and the fact that these two teams are much more evenly matched than the table suggests. Key Points: • San Luis averages 2.00 goals per game away from home • 7/9 head-to-head matches have gone over 2.5 goals • San Luis recently won 4-1 away at Santos Laguna • Both teams are separated by just 1 point in the table • Pumas have only 3 wins in 13 league games • The odds of 4.50 for San Luis represent potential value I'm backing our underdog friends here! San Luis has shown they can score goals and compete with anyone on their day. With both teams struggling for consistency, this could be the perfect moment for San Luis to pounce and grab a valuable away victory.

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📝 Match Preview

Pumas vs San Luis: Both Teams to Score Analysis
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+15.6%

This Liga MX clash between two bottom-half teams presents a clear betting opportunity based on defensive vulnerabilities and historical scoring patterns. U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 10th with 14 points, while Atletico San Luis are 11th with 13 points, separated by just one point in a tightly packed lower table. Recent form shows both teams struggling defensively. Pumas have managed only one clean sheet in their last 10 matches, conceding 1.7 goals per game. Their recent results include a 1-1 draw against Monterrey and a 3-1 loss to FC Juarez, highlighting their defensive frailties even against mid-table opposition. Atletico San Luis fare slightly better with two clean sheets in 10 games but still concede 1.5 goals per game, including recent losses to Mazatlán (2-1) and Pachuca (2-1). The head-to-head record strongly favors goals from both sides. In 9 previous meetings, both teams have scored in 6 matches (66.7%), with 7 of 9 games seeing over 2.5 goals. Pumas have a strong home record against San Luis (3-0-1), but even in those victories, goals were exchanged. Statistical trends reinforce this analysis. Both teams show 70% both teams to score rates in their last 10 matches. Goal expectancy data projects 1.80 goals for Pumas and 1.75 for San Luis, totaling 3.55 expected goals. Pumas score 2.0 goals per game at home, while San Luis average 2.0 goals away from home. The convergence of poor defensive records, high-scoring head-to-head history, and current both teams to score trends creates a high-probability scenario that meets my strict betting criteria.

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When Pumas Host San Luis
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.85
Expected Value:+20.3%

Alright, my fellow goal-loving enthusiasts! The Big O is here to deliver some explosive insights, and let me tell you, this matchup has all the ingredients for a spectacular scoring display! When we dive into the numbers, both teams are practically begging for goals to rain down. Pumas at home have been averaging a delicious 2.0 goals scored per game while conceding 1.5 - that's 3.5 total goals per home fixture on average! Meanwhile, San Luis on the road brings their own offensive firepower, scoring 2.0 and letting in 1.6 per away game. We're looking at a combined average of over 3.5 goals when these specific home/away scenarios meet. The recent form tells the same story. Pumas have been involved in some thrillers lately - that 4-1 demolition of Mazatlán and the 3-2 victory over Atlanta United show they can certainly find the net. San Luis isn't shy either, with that impressive 4-1 away win against Santos Laguna and a 3-2 loss to Queretaro proving they're always in the mix. But here's where it gets really exciting for us Over bettors - the head-to-head history is absolutely golden! Seven out of their last nine meetings have gone Over 2.5 goals, with recent encounters like 3-2, 3-0, 1-3, and 3-2 showing these teams simply can't help but score. Both teams have found the net in 6 of those 9 matchups, and with both sides currently sitting at 70% BTTS rates in their recent form, we're looking at another goal-fest in the making. The goal expectancy models are singing our tune too, projecting 3.55 total goals for this match. With both teams struggling defensively (Pumas conceding 1.7 per game, San Luis 1.5) and both capable of scoring, we've got the perfect recipe for an Over bet. Let's not forget the context - these are two teams sitting in the bottom half of the table with nothing to lose and everything to play for. That kind of desperation often leads to open, attacking football, which is exactly what The Big O loves to see! The odds at 1.85 for Over 2.5 look mighty tempting given all this evidence. Sometimes you just know when a match is destined to be a goal spectacular, and this one has all the hallmarks!

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📝 Match Preview

Pumas vs San Luis: A Battle of Bottom-Half Strugglers
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+10.3%

In the grand scheme of Liga MX, two teams find themselves adrift in the middle-lower reaches of the table. U.N.A.M. - Pumas, sitting 10th with 14 points, welcomes Atletico San Luis, just one point behind in 11th place. The Force of home advantage, strong it has been for Pumas historically against this opponent - a 75% win rate in their home stadium speaks volumes of past dominance. Yet the present tells a different tale. Pumas' recent form reveals a team capable of moments brilliance against the league's elite - draws against Monterrey (1-1) and Toluca (1-1) show they can compete with the best. But against lesser opposition, inconsistency creeps in. A 4-1 victory over Mazatlán demonstrates their attacking potential, yet a 3-1 defeat to FC Juarez exposes defensive vulnerabilities. Atletico San Luis travels with similar contradictions. Their victories come primarily against struggling teams - a 2-0 win over Atlas, 4-1 at Santos Laguna, 2-0 at Puebla. But step up in class, and they falter - losses to Pachuca (2-1), Mazatlán (2-1), and Club America (0-1) paint a clear picture. Away from home, however, their attack awakens, averaging 2.00 goals per game. The head-to-head history between these sides reveals goals, and many of them. Seven of their nine encounters have seen over 2.5 goals, with both teams finding the net in six matches. The last meeting ended 3-2, continuing this high-scoring trend. Both teams arrive with leaky defenses - Pumas concede 1.70 goals per game, San Luis 1.50. Yet both possess attacking intent, averaging over 1.4 goals scored. The pattern of both teams scoring has emerged in 70% of their recent matches. In football, as in life, balance is key. Here, the balance between attack and defense tilts toward offense. The wisdom of the data points toward goals from both sides.

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📝 Match Preview

Pumas vs San Luis: Bottom-Half Battle With Goals Written All Over It
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.75
Expected Value:+22.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Liga MX clash between two sides who are having a right old time of it this season. Pumas are sitting in 10th with 14 points, while San Luis are just behind them in 11th on 13 points. Both teams are struggling to find any consistency, and frankly, it's making for some interesting betting angles. Looking at recent form, Pumas have been a bit of a mixed bag. They grabbed a decent 1-1 draw away at Monterrey (who're flying high in 4th), but then got turned over 3-1 by FC Juarez. They did show some spark with that 4-1 hammering of Mazatlán, and another creditable 1-1 draw against league leaders Toluca. But they've also shipped three goals in a couple of games, which tells you their defence isn't exactly watertight. San Luis haven't been much better, mind you. They've only managed one draw in their last ten games, which tells you all you need to know about their consistency. They did keep a clean sheet in a 2-0 win over Atlas, but then followed it up with losses to Mazatlán and Pachuca. That 4-1 away win at Santos Laguna shows they can turn it on when they fancy it, but can they do it on the road against Pumas? Now here's where it gets interesting for us punters. The head-to-head between these two is absolutely brilliant for goals. Nine meetings, zero draws, and seven of them have gone over 2.5 goals. Both teams have found the net in six of those nine encounters. Recent meetings have been absolute crackers - 3-2, 3-0, 1-3, 3-2, 3-1. There's no love lost here, and both sides seem to forget about defending when they play each other. Both teams are scoring and conceding at a fair old rate this season. Pumas are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, while San Luis are hitting 1.5 for and 1.5 against. Crucially, both sides have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games. That's a pattern I like. Pumas have got that home advantage, and historically they've done well against San Luis on their own patch (3 wins from 4 home meetings). But with both teams being so inconsistent and both having defensive issues, I'm not convinced about backing a winner here. What I am convinced about is goals. Both teams need the points, both teams can score, and both teams can concede. The head-to-head suggests this'll be an open affair, and the recent form backs that up. Both teams to score at 1.75 looks like proper value to me. Key Points: - Both teams struggling in bottom half of table - Head-to-head shows 7/9 games over 2.5 goals - Both teams score in 70% of recent games - No draws in 9 previous meetings - Pumas strong home record vs San Luis historically Both teams have shown they can score but also leak goals, and when these two meet, defences seem to go out the window. With both needing points and the historical trend of high-scoring games, I'm backing both teams to find the net.

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