U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Liga MX clash between two sides who are having a right old time of it this season. Pumas are sitting in 10th with 14 points, while San Luis are just behind them in 11th on 13 points. Both teams are struggling to find any consistency, and frankly, it's making for some interesting betting angles.

Looking at recent form, Pumas have been a bit of a mixed bag. They grabbed a decent 1-1 draw away at Monterrey (who're flying high in 4th), but then got turned over 3-1 by FC Juarez. They did show some spark with that 4-1 hammering of Mazatlán, and another creditable 1-1 draw against league leaders Toluca. But they've also shipped three goals in a couple of games, which tells you their defence isn't exactly watertight.

San Luis haven't been much better, mind you. They've only managed one draw in their last ten games, which tells you all you need to know about their consistency. They did keep a clean sheet in a 2-0 win over Atlas, but then followed it up with losses to Mazatlán and Pachuca. That 4-1 away win at Santos Laguna shows they can turn it on when they fancy it, but can they do it on the road against Pumas?

Now here's where it gets interesting for us punters. The head-to-head between these two is absolutely brilliant for goals. Nine meetings, zero draws, and seven of them have gone over 2.5 goals. Both teams have found the net in six of those nine encounters. Recent meetings have been absolute crackers - 3-2, 3-0, 1-3, 3-2, 3-1. There's no love lost here, and both sides seem to forget about defending when they play each other.

Both teams are scoring and conceding at a fair old rate this season. Pumas are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game, while San Luis are hitting 1.5 for and 1.5 against. Crucially, both sides have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games. That's a pattern I like.

Pumas have got that home advantage, and historically they've done well against San Luis on their own patch (3 wins from 4 home meetings). But with both teams being so inconsistent and both having defensive issues, I'm not convinced about backing a winner here.

What I am convinced about is goals. Both teams need the points, both teams can score, and both teams can concede. The head-to-head suggests this'll be an open affair, and the recent form backs that up. Both teams to score at 1.75 looks like proper value to me.

Key Points:

• Both teams struggling in bottom half of table

• Head-to-head shows 7/9 games over 2.5 goals

• Both teams score in 70% of recent games

• No draws in 9 previous meetings

• Pumas strong home record vs San Luis historically

Both teams have shown they can score but also leak goals, and when these two meet, defences seem to go out the window. With both needing points and the historical trend of high-scoring games, I'm backing both teams to find the net.