Skip to main content

Match analysis

NetherlandsEerste Divisie

Jong Utrecht vs De Graafschap

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.

Match Timeline

6'
Ibrahim El Kadiri⚽
Normal Goal → Bouke Boersma
9'
Bouke Boersma⚽
Normal Goal
37'
Jesse van de Haar⚽
Normal Goal → Oualid Agougil
39'
Jason Meerstadt🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Rowan Besselink🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Miliano Jonathans🔄
Substitution 1 → Markus Jensen
57'
Bouke Boersma🔄
Substitution 1 → Dimitris Theodoridis
57'
Kaya Symons🔄
Substitution 2 → Levi Schoppema
62'
Jesse van de Haar🔄
Substitution 2 → Noa Dundas
67'
Othniël Raterink🔄
Substitution 3 → Fedde de Jong
67'
Ibrahim El Kadiri🔄
Substitution 4 → Jevon Simons
73'
Joshua Mukeh🔄
Substitution 3 → Tijn den Boggende
73'
Rafik El Arguioui🔄
Substitution 4 → Neal Viereck
79'
Tijn den Boggende🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Zidane Iqbal🔄
Substitution 5 → Shedrach Ebite
85'
Arjen Van Der Heide⚽
Normal Goal
85'
Arjen Van Der Heide🔄
Substitution 5 → Thomas Kok
90+1'
Wessel Kooy⚽
Normal Goal → Oualid Agougil

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal6
11Shots off Goal4
25Total Shots12
6Blocked Shots2
20Shots insidebox8
5Shots outsidebox4
7Fouls23
5Corner Kicks4
2Offsides0
56Ball Possession44
1Yellow Cards2
4Goalkeeper Saves6
458Total passes369
375Passes accurate286
82Passes %78

Tipster previews (2)

Value VinnyWon

De Graafschap Value Away from Home

The pickDe Graafschap win

Chance
56%
Odds
1.97
Model EV
+10.3%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. De Graafschap sit third in the table with 31 points from 18 games, while Jong Utrecht languish in 13th with just 23 points. That's not just a gap - it's a chasm of quality that the odds compilers might be…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Jong Utrecht

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

De Graafschap

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Per game

Jong Utrecht at home vs De Graafschap away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eerste Divisie

Overall edge
+188De Graafschap
Venue edge
+105De Graafschap
Rating period
Match snapshot
Jong Utrecht versus De Graafschap: long term Elo, before the match
Jong UtrechtHomeRatingDe GraafschapAway
Strength
1,369Overall1,557
1,389Match venue1,494
1,389At home1,598
1,290Away1,494
Attack & defence
1,388Attack1,556
1,417Defence1,511
1,389Home attack1,569
1,347Away attack1,518
1,461Home defence1,542
1,366Away defence1,489
Match profile
2,122Goal environment2,087
1,687Home goals1,760
1,935Away goals1,827
1,486Possession1,509
Specialist ratings
1,468Set-piece attack1,517
1,469Set-piece defence1,517
1,447Close games1,514
1,344Winning margin1,576

Match venue compares Jong Utrecht at home with De Graafschap away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht1:1

Starting XI

1Mees EppinkG
5Viggo PlantingaD
8Oualid AgougilM
11Emirhan DemircanM
9Jesse van de HaarF
14Joshua MukehD
6Zidane IqbalM
10Rafik El ArguiouiM
3Wessel KooyD
7Miliano JonathansM
2Massien GhaddariD

De GraafschapDe Graafschap1:1

Starting XI

1Ties WieggersG
21Kaya SymonsD
8Teun GijselhartM
11Ibrahim El KadiriF
18Stijn BultmanD
10Reuven NiemeijerM
28Bouke BoersmaF
3Rowan BesselinkD
24Jason MeerstadtM
26Arjen Van Der HeideF
4Othniël RaterinkD