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Match analysis

NetherlandsEerste Divisie

Willem II vs Cambuur

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.

Full time0:1HT 0–0

Match Timeline

22'
Jochem Nap🔄
Substitution 1 → Nicky Souren
24'
Alessandro Ciranni🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Remco Balk🔄
Substitution 2 → Ichem Ferrah
66'
Oscar Sjostrand🔄
Substitution 3 → Wiebe Kooistra
73'
Rik Mulders🔄
Substitution 4 → Iwan Henstra
73'
Jort van der Sande🔄
Substitution 5 → Kian Visser
74'
Samuel Bamba🔄
Substitution 1 → Armin Culum
74'
Mounir El Allouchi🔄
Substitution 2 → Anass Zarrouk
75'
Iwan Henstra🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Ichem Ferrah⚽
Normal Goal
90'
Nathan Tjoe-A-On🔄
Substitution 3 → Siegert Baartmans

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal5
15Total Shots13
4Blocked Shots4
8Shots insidebox9
7Shots outsidebox4
14Fouls8
6Corner Kicks4
1Offsides0
33Ball Possession67
1Yellow Cards1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
281Total passes587
208Passes accurate505
74Passes %86

Tipster previews (4)

Mr SimpleLost

Top of the Table Clash or Goal-Fest Guaranteed?

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
72%
Odds
1.57
Model EV
+13.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Friday night Eerste Divisie cracker. Willem II welcome high-flying Cambuur to their place, and on paper, it's a classic top versus mid-table scrap. Cambuur sit pretty in second, a whopping 12 points ahead of our hosts. But as we all…

Value VinnyLost

Goal Glut Expected as High-Scoring Trends Collide

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
70%
Odds
1.57
Model EV
+9.9%

The numbers don't lie, and today they're screaming for goals. Willem II welcome second-placed Cambuur in a clash that pits a formidable home defence against a prolific but vulnerable away attack. On paper, Cambuur's league position suggests dominance, but dig into the recent…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Willem II

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Cambuur

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Willem II at home vs Cambuur away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eerste Divisie

Overall edge
+67Cambuur
Venue edge
+18Willem II
Rating period
Match snapshot
Willem II versus Cambuur: long term Elo, before the match
Willem IIHomeRatingCambuurAway
Strength
1,544Overall1,611
1,591Match venue1,573
1,591At home1,599
1,540Away1,573
Attack & defence
1,491Attack1,545
1,554Defence1,536
1,534Home attack1,544
1,495Away attack1,539
1,562Home defence1,529
1,558Away defence1,528
Match profile
1,615Goal environment2,092
1,572Home goals1,878
1,543Away goals1,713
1,499Possession1,522
Specialist ratings
1,510Set-piece attack1,549
1,509Set-piece defence1,547
1,516Close games1,608
1,543Winning margin1,617

Match venue compares Willem II at home with Cambuur away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Willem IIWillem II1:1

Starting XI

1Thomas DidillonG
24Nathan Tjoe-A-OnD
19Uriel van AalstM
17Samuel BambaF
3Finn StamD
6Gijs BesselinkM
9Devin HaenF
30Raffael BehounekD
20Mounir El AllouchiM
7Nick DoodemanF
2Alessandro CiranniD

CambuurCambuur1:1

Starting XI

1Thijs JansenG
22Tomas GalvezD
10Mark DiemersM
11Oscar SjostrandF
6Jamal AmofaD
18Tony RölkeM
14Jort van der SandeF
4Ismaël BaoufD
46Jochem NapM
7Remco BalkF
16Rik MuldersD