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Match analysis

NetherlandsEerste Divisie

FC Eindhoven vs Jong AZ

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Eerste Divisie fixture.

Full time3:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

13'
Sven Blummel⚽
Normal Goal → Terrence Douglas
15'
Sven Simons🟨
Yellow Card
22'
Clint Essers🔄
Substitution 1 → Niek Munsters
27'
Jasper Hartog⚽
Normal Goal → Kasper Boogaard
31'
Kevin van Veen🟨
Yellow Card
46'
Kevin van Veen🔄
Substitution 2 → Rangelo Janga
46'
Sem Dekkers🔄
Substitution 1 → Rayan Atikallah
49'
Terrence Douglas🟨
Yellow Card
53'
Rayan Atikallah🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Terrence Douglas⚽
Normal Goal → Tyrese Simons
65'
Mathijs Menu🟨
Yellow Card
68'
Mathijs Menu⚽
Normal Goal → Wassim Bouziane
75'
Sven Simons🔄
Substitution 3 → Dyon Dorenbosch
76'
Thijs Muller🔄
Substitution 4 → Boris van Schuppen
76'
Jasper Hartog🔄
Substitution 2 → Deacon van der Klaauw
77'
Wassim Bouziane🔄
Substitution 3 → Anthony Smits
79'
Rangelo Janga
Penalty
79'
Anthony Smits🟨
Yellow Card
80'
Kevin Toppenberg🔄
Substitution 4 → Bendegúz Kovács
83'
Bogdan Budko🔄
Substitution 5 → Rio Robbemond
89'
Sven Blummel🔄
Substitution 5 → Edoly Lukoki Mateso

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal2
12Total Shots7
1Blocked Shots1
8Shots insidebox4
4Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls13
6Corner Kicks5
1Offsides2
43Ball Possession57
3Yellow Cards3
2Goalkeeper Saves1
335Total passes461
263Passes accurate389
79Passes %84

Tipster previews (6)

Value VinnyWon

Goal Fest Expected: Over 2.5 Goals the Smart Play

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+13.6%

When two sides with leaky defences and improving attacks collide, the maths points to one outcome: goals. FC Eindhoven and Jong AZ meet on Friday night, and the numbers scream value on the over. Let's cut through the noise. FC Eindhoven sit 14th but are riding a wave of positive…

PajimonWon

Eindhoven to Braai the Young Guns?

The pickFC Eindhoven win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.38
Model EV
+7.1%

Alright, my football-loving mates, let's get straight into it. We've got a proper Eerste Divisie clash between FC Eindhoven and Jong AZ this Friday, and the data tells a story that's more interesting than a cold beer on a hot day. FC Eindhoven are sitting 14th, but don't let…

Mr CertaintyWon

Goal-Fest Expected as Leaky Defenses Collide

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
75%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+25.3%

Two sides with glaring defensive issues meet in what promises to be a high-scoring Eerste Divisie affair. FC Eindhoven, sitting 14th, hosts 17th-placed Jong AZ in a match where the underlying numbers scream goals. My hyper-cautious nature typically avoids risks, but the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

FC Eindhoven

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Jong AZ

4W 0D 6L1.20 pts/game

Per game

FC Eindhoven at home vs Jong AZ away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Eerste Divisie

Overall edge
+30FC Eindhoven
Venue edge
+75Jong AZ
Rating period
Match snapshot
FC Eindhoven versus Jong AZ: long term Elo, before the match
FC EindhovenHomeRatingJong AZAway
Strength
1,429Overall1,399
1,397Match venue1,472
1,397At home1,411
1,514Away1,472
Attack & defence
1,459Attack1,486
1,441Defence1,425
1,429Home attack1,466
1,480Away attack1,528
1,427Home defence1,448
1,503Away defence1,461
Match profile
2,170Goal environment2,238
1,885Home goals1,897
1,785Away goals1,842
1,478Possession1,516
Specialist ratings
1,486Set-piece attack1,491
1,486Set-piece defence1,491
1,502Close games1,431
1,418Winning margin1,383

Match venue compares FC Eindhoven at home with Jong AZ away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven1:1

Starting XI

1Jort BorgmansG
25Terrence DouglasD
2Tyrese SimonsM
21Thijs MullerF
33John NeeskensD
8Sven SimonsM
9Kevin van VeenF
24Owen RenfrumD
5Daan HuismanM
22Clint EssersD
7Sven BlummelM

Jong AZJong AZ1:1

Starting XI

1Kiyani ZeggenG
5Bogdan BudkoD
8Kasper BoogaardM
11Wassim BouzianeM
9Sem van DuijnF
4Billy van DuijlD
6Nick TwiskM
10Kevin ToppenbergM
3Mathijs MenuD
7Jasper HartogM
2Sem DekkersD