Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 18:00
Eerste Divisie
Netherlands
Netherlands
Full Time
1:2
HT: 0 - 1

Match Timeline

25'
Devin Haen🔄
Substitution 1 → Armin Culum
32'
Nicolás Rossi🟨
Yellow Card
43'
Thomas Verheydt
Penalty
46'
Lawson Sunderland🔄
Substitution 1 → Seung-gyun Bae
46'
Thomas Verheydt🔄
Substitution 2 → Siegert Baartmans
65'
Mica Pinto🔄
Substitution 2 → Lorenzo Codutti
65'
Nicolás Rossi🔄
Substitution 3 → Marouane Afaker
69'
Jan Plug🟨
Yellow Card
73'
Marouane Afaker🟨
Yellow Card
78'
Nick Venema
Normal Goal → Jurre van Aken
82'
Daniel van Vianen🔄
Substitution 4 → Stéphano Carrillo
83'
Calvin Twigt
Normal Goal → Armin Culum
85'
Stéphano Carrillo🟨
Yellow Card
85'
Finn Stam🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Mounir El Allouchi🔄
Substitution 3 → Nathan Tjoe-A-On
90+5'
Nathan Tjoe-A-On🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal1
9Total Shots10
1Blocked Shots3
7Shots insidebox8
2Shots outsidebox2
14Fouls7
4Corner Kicks7
0Offsides1
50Ball Possession50
4Yellow Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves1
432Total passes445
356Passes accurate352
82Passes %79

Starting Lineups

DordrechtDordrecht1:1

Starting XI

63Celton BiaiG
25Jan PlugD
5Mica PintoM
29Nicolás RossiF
7Nick VenemaF
3Sem ValkD
6Daniel van VianenM
18Robin van AstenF
2Jurre van AkenD
8Lawson SunderlandM
20Yoon Do-youngM

Willem IIWillem II1:1

Starting XI

1Thomas DidillonG
22Per van LoonD
20Mounir El AllouchiM
28Thomas VerheydtF
4Justin HoogmaD
6Gijs BesselinkM
9Devin HaenF
30Raffael BehounekD
8Calvin TwigtM
3Finn StamD
7Nick DoodemanM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Dordrecht
Dordrecht
Form: L-W-D-L-L
Willem II
Willem II
Form: W-W-W-W-L
Record
1 W
4 D
5 L
7 W
1 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
0.9
Scored
vs
1.9
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
0.6
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
10%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
70%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.0
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:2.2
Scored
Home:1.2
Away:3.0
Conceded
Home:0.8
Away:0.3

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1523
Average
1596
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1478
↓ Momentum (-46)
1604
↑ Momentum (+9)
Expected Outcome
27%
Home Win
31%
Draw
42%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1503
Attack
1506
1490
Defence
1609
Recent Form
1451
Attack
1467
1456
Defence
1641
Post-Match Changes
-11
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Dordrecht vs Willem II: Oracle's Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.60
Expected Value:+30.0%
Confidence:7

The winds of the Eerste Divisie blow strongly this season, yet wisdom remains constant. Dordrecht hosts Willem II on the 24th of April, 2026. The path to profit is not easy, but data guides the way. Listen closely, for the numbers speak a clear truth. Form does not lie. Willem II stands tall with seven victories in their last ten contests. They sit third in the standings, a dominant force with 65 points. Dordrecht, conversely, languishes in tenth place with 47 points. Only one victory in ten games marks their struggle. The gap in the table is significant, reflecting a disparity in quality and momentum. History favors the visitors. In ten meetings, Willem II has won six times. The last encounter ended 2-0. Dordrecht has won only once. This dominance is not merely luck; it is structural. Away form is crucial. Willem II has won their last four away games. They score freely on the road, averaging three goals per game, while their defense remains solid, conceding only 0.25 goals away from home. Dordrecht's home defense is porous, conceding 1.40 goals per game. Clean sheets are rare for the hosts, occurring in only 10% of matches. Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 50% of their games. The market prices the Away Win at 2.60. This implies a probability of 38.5%. However, the true probability, based on form and history, is closer to 50%. This discrepancy offers value to the wise bettor. The bookmakers have not fully priced in the visitors' recent away dominance. Key Points: - Willem II has won 7 of their last 10 games. - Dordrecht has only 1 win in their last 10 games. - Willem II has a 100% win rate in their last 4 away games. - H2H record heavily favors Willem II (6 wins vs 1 win). - Willem II's defense is significantly stronger than Dordrecht's. The path is clear. Willem II away win is the choice. Trust the data, trust the form. Victory awaits them. Do not ignore the trend.

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📝 Match Preview

Dordrecht vs Willem II: Betting Preview & Tips
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.60
Expected Value:+30.0%
Confidence:7

Listen closely, young bettor. The path to profit is not easy, but wisdom guides the way. Today, Dordrecht hosts Willem II in the Eerste Divisie. Careful you must be with your wagers, yes. Form does not lie, the data shows. Willem II, strong they are. Seven wins in their last ten games, a dominant force they have become. Dordrecht, weak they seem. Only one win in their last ten matches. In the standings, Willem II sits third with 65 points, while Dordrecht languishes in tenth with 47 points. A large gap, it is. Head-to-head history, Willem II dominates. Six wins against one win for Dordrecht in ten meetings. Goals, many there will be. Willem II's attack is potent, scoring 1.90 goals per game. Dordrecht's defense is leaky, conceding 1.80 goals per game. Yet, Willem II's defense is solid, conceding only 0.60 goals per game. Clean sheets, 50% for Willem II, only 10% for Dordrecht. Venue analysis, crucial it is. Dordrecht's home win rate is a meager 20%. Willem II's away win rate is perfect, 100% in their last four away games. Do not ignore the trend, you should. Odds suggest value, but be wise. Away Win at 2.60 implies a probability of 38.5%. Based on form, H2H, and table position, the true probability is closer to 50%. An edge of 11.5%, that is a good thing. Over 2.5 Goals at 1.57 offers no value, the fair probability is 60% while odds imply 63.7%. BTTS Yes at 1.50 also lacks value. The path is clear. Willem II away win is the choice. Do or do not bet, there is no try... but hedge your bets, you should. Trust the data, trust the form. Willem II, victory awaits them.

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📝 Match Preview

Dordrecht vs Willem II: Value Vinny's Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.60
Expected Value:+30.0%
Confidence:7

Odds don't lie — but bookies do. Today, we're hunting for that elusive edge in the Eerste Divisie. The matchup is Dordrecht hosting Willem II, and the data screams disparity. Dordrecht is in a deep slump. In their last 10 games, they've managed just one win, accumulating only 0.70 points per game. Their home defense is porous, conceding 1.40 goals per game at home, while their attack averages a meager 0.80 goals per game. They've only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 matches. Willem II, conversely, is on a tear. They've won 7 of their last 10 games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Their away form is terrifying: 100% win rate in their last 4 away fixtures. They average 3.00 goals scored per game away from home and have kept 50% clean sheets. The head-to-head record seals the deal: Willem II has won 6 of the last 10 meetings, including a 2-0 victory in their last encounter. The goal expectancy math is stark. Willem II's away goal expectancy is 2.20, while Dordrecht's home expectancy is only 0.53. This suggests a high-scoring affair, but let's look at the odds. The market prices Over 2.5 Goals at 1.57, implying a 63.7% chance. However, the fair probability is only 60%. That's negative EV for the bettor—the bookie has the edge there. The real value lies in the match outcome. Willem II's Away Win odds are 2.60, implying a 38.5% probability. Given Willem II's 70% win rate in their last 10 games and 100% away win rate recently, the true probability is likely closer to 50% or higher. This creates a significant positive Expected Value. The bookies are underestimating Willem II's dominance. We're not here to gamble on hope; we're here to exploit pricing errors. The data supports a strong Away Win. Dordrecht's poor form and leaky defense against Willem II's potent away attack make the Away Win the mathematical play. **Key Points:** - Willem II has won 7 of last 10 games; Dordrecht has won 1. - Willem II has a 100% win rate in last 4 away games. - Head-to-Head: Willem II leads 6 wins to 1. - Goal Expectancy: Away 2.20 vs Home 0.53. - Over 2.5 odds (1.57) offer negative EV compared to fair probability. - Away Win odds (2.60) offer significant value. **Summary:** The numbers point to a Willem II victory. The odds of 2.60 provide the value we hunt for. Recommended Bet: Away Win.

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📝 Match Preview

Dordrecht vs Willem II - Eerste Divisie Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.60
Expected Value:+17.0%
Confidence:7

Eish, look at this fixture! We've got Dordrecht hosting Willem II in the Eerste Divisie on 2026-04-24. As a tipster who loves football and winning, this one screams opportunity. Let's cut the chit-chat and look at the meat of the data. Dordrecht is struggling mightily. In their last 10 games, they've only managed 1 win, 4 draws, and 5 losses. Their points per game is a measly 0.70. At home, they've only won 20% of their last 5 games. They score an average of 0.80 goals per game at home but leak 1.40 goals. Their defense is leaking like a sieve, conceding 1.80 goals per game overall. On the flip side, Willem II is on absolute fire. They have 7 wins in their last 10 games. That's a 70% win rate! Their away form is scary good too—100% win rate in their last 4 away games. They score 3.00 goals per game away from home and only concede 0.25. That defense is tighter than a drum. The Head-to-Head record is where it gets spicy. In the last 10 meetings, Willem II has won 6 times, drawn 3, and lost just once. Dordrecht has only 1 win in that history. The last meeting ended 0-2 to Willem II. Looking at the odds, the bookies have the Away Win at 2.60. This implies a probability of roughly 38.5%. Given Willem II's 100% away win rate recently and Dordrecht's 20% home win rate, the true probability feels closer to 45-50%. That gives us a solid edge. So, what's the pick? We're backing the visitors. Willem II has the form, the H2H dominance, and the defensive stats to back it up. Dordrecht just doesn't have the firepower to stop them. Let's grab that value. Key Points: - Willem II has won 7 of their last 10 games. - Dordrecht has only 1 win in their last 10 games. - Willem II has a 100% win rate in their last 4 away games. - H2H record heavily favors Willem II (6 wins vs 1 win for Dordrecht). - Willem II's away goal expectancy is 2.20 vs Dordrecht's home expectancy of 0.53. Summary: Back Willem II to win. The stats don't lie, and the odds offer value.

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📝 Match Preview

Dordrecht vs Willem II Preview
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.60
Expected Value:+56.0%
Confidence:7

Right then, let's have a proper chat about this Eerste Divisie clash between Dordrecht and Willem II. It's the final day of the season, 24th April 2026, and the form books are telling a very clear story here. Willem II are absolutely flying. Look at the last 10 games: 7 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. That's a 70% win rate. More importantly, check their away form. In their last 4 away games, they won all of them. They're scoring 3 goals per game on the road and only conceding 0.25. That is proper graft and goals. They sit 3rd in the table with 65 points, fighting for the top spots. Dordrecht, on the other hand, are struggling. Last 10 games: 1 win, 4 draws, 5 losses. They're scoring less than a goal a game (0.90) and leaking nearly two (1.80). At home, they've only won 20% of their games. They sit 10th in the table with 47 points. It's a tough ask for them. Head-to-head history backs the visitors too. In the last 10 meetings, Willem II have won 6 times, while Dordrecht have only managed 1 win. The last time they met, Willem II won 2-0. Dordrecht's defence is porous, with only 10% clean sheets, while Willem II keep a clean sheet in 50% of their games. Shot accuracy also favours the visitors, with Willem II hitting 39.1% compared to Dordrecht's 29.4%. The goal expectancy numbers are interesting. Willem II are expected to score 2.20 goals, while Dordrecht are expected to score just 0.53. That points to a Willem II victory. So, where's the value? The bookies have Willem II to win at 2.60. That implies a 38.5% chance. But looking at their away form (100% win rate in last 4) and overall form (70% win rate), I'd put their actual chance much higher, around 60%. That's a solid edge. I'm going with the away win. It's the safest play here. Dordrecht's defence is leaking goals, and Willem II's attack is firing. Final call: Willem II to win.

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