Dordrecht vs Willem II Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper chat about this Eerste Divisie clash between Dordrecht and Willem II. It's the final day of the season, 24th April 2026, and the form books are telling a very clear story here.

Willem II are absolutely flying. Look at the last 10 games: 7 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses. That's a 70% win rate. More importantly, check their away form. In their last 4 away games, they won all of them. They're scoring 3 goals per game on the road and only conceding 0.25. That is proper graft and goals. They sit 3rd in the table with 65 points, fighting for the top spots.

Dordrecht, on the other hand, are struggling. Last 10 games: 1 win, 4 draws, 5 losses. They're scoring less than a goal a game (0.90) and leaking nearly two (1.80). At home, they've only won 20% of their games. They sit 10th in the table with 47 points. It's a tough ask for them.

Head-to-head history backs the visitors too. In the last 10 meetings, Willem II have won 6 times, while Dordrecht have only managed 1 win. The last time they met, Willem II won 2-0. Dordrecht's defence is porous, with only 10% clean sheets, while Willem II keep a clean sheet in 50% of their games. Shot accuracy also favours the visitors, with Willem II hitting 39.1% compared to Dordrecht's 29.4%.

The goal expectancy numbers are interesting. Willem II are expected to score 2.20 goals, while Dordrecht are expected to score just 0.53. That points to a Willem II victory.

So, where's the value? The bookies have Willem II to win at 2.60. That implies a 38.5% chance. But looking at their away form (100% win rate in last 4) and overall form (70% win rate), I'd put their actual chance much higher, around 60%. That's a solid edge.

I'm going with the away win. It's the safest play here. Dordrecht's defence is leaking goals, and Willem II's attack is firing. Final call: Willem II to win.