Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 17:15
Full Time
4:1
HT: 3 - 0

Match Timeline

15'
Thomas Claes
Normal Goal → Stavros Gavriel
25'
Jeppe Erenbjerg
Normal Goal → Joseph Opoku
41'
Benoit Nyssen
Normal Goal
46'
Franck Surdez🔄
Substitution 1 → Dante Vanzeir
46'
Mathias Delorge🔄
Substitution 2 → Mohammed El Âdfaoui
46'
Leonardo Lopes🔄
Substitution 3 → Momodou Sonko
58'
Jean-Kévin Duverne🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Tiago Araújo🟨
Yellow Card
60'
Hyllarion Goore🔄
Substitution 4 → Aimé Omgba
68'
Stavros Gavriel🔄
Substitution 1 → Marley Aké
78'
Omri Gandelman
Normal Goal → Jean-Kévin Duverne
81'
Jeppe Erenbjerg
Normal Goal
83'
Jean-Kévin Duverne🔄
Substitution 5 → Tibe De Vlieger
85'
Tochukwu Nnadi🔄
Substitution 2 → Enrique Lofolomo

Match Statistics

8Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal7
15Total Shots14
3Blocked Shots2
13Shots insidebox7
2Shots outsidebox7
7Fouls16
3Corner Kicks12
4Offsides0
40Ball Possession60
0Yellow Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves4
357Total passes525
273Passes accurate438
76Passes %83
1.9expected_goals1.69
-1goals_prevented-1

Starting Lineups

Zulte WaregemZulte Waregem1:1

Starting XI

13Brent GabrielG
55Yannick CappelleD
8Thomas ClaesM
22Joseph OpokuM
18Anosike EmentaF
5Jakob KiilerichD
21Tochukwu NnadiM
24Jeppe ErenbjergM
3Anton TangheD
11Stavros GavrielM
19Benoit NyssenD

GentGent1:1

Starting XI

33Davy RoefG
44Siebe Van Der HeydenD
19Franck SurdezM
15Atsuki ItoF
45Hyllarion GooreF
3Maksim PaskotsiD
17Mathias DelorgeM
6Omri GandelmanF
29Jean-Kévin DuverneD
22Leonardo LopesM
20Tiago AraújoM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Zulte Waregem
Zulte Waregem
Form: W-W-W-L-L
Gent
Gent
Form: W-W-W-W-D
Record
3 W
3 D
4 L
5 W
3 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.3
Conceded
vs
1.1
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.7
Conceded
Home:0.9
Away:2.3
Scored
Home:1.7
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.0

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1442
Average
1594
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1454
↑ Momentum (+12)
1603
↑ Momentum (+9)
Expected Outcome
22%
Home Win
26%
Draw
52%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1505
Attack
1559
1443
Defence
1558
Recent Form
1509
Attack
1558
1482
Defence
1540
Post-Match Changes
+19
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Gent to Continue Dominance Against Zulte Waregem
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.55
Expected Value:+40.3%
Confidence:75

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this Belgian clash! Zulte Waregem host Gent tomorrow, and the numbers are telling a pretty clear story here, boet. Zulte have had a bit of a mixed bag lately - sure, they've picked up three wins in their last four, including a solid 2-0 victory over Antwerp and a 2-1 away win at Charleroi. But let's be honest, their home form has been pretty average with only a 28.57% win rate at their own patch. They're scoring 1.20 goals per game but also letting in 1.30, which isn't exactly fortress-like defending. Gent, on the other hand, are looking much sharper. They're sitting pretty in 4th place with 17 points, and their recent form has been proper impressive - four wins in their last five competitive matches. They put four past Cercle Brugge, smashed three past Dender, and took down Antwerp 2-1 away. What's really catching my eye is their away form - 50% win rate on the road, scoring 1.75 goals per game away from home. The head-to-head tells us even more - Gent have dominated this fixture with 6 wins to Zulte's 3 in 9 meetings. At Zulte's ground, it's even worse for the hosts with just 1 win in 4 attempts. Seven of those nine meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams have scored in six of them. Gent are just playing better football right now - better possession (55.6% vs 47.5%), better shot accuracy (41.6% vs 33.9%), and they're creating more chances. With Zulte's defense conceding 1.30 per game and Gent's attack firing on all cylinders, this looks like Gent's game to lose. The odds of 2.55 for an away win look like proper value to me. Gent are in form, travel well, and have the historical edge. Sometimes the simplest bet is the best one, and this one's pretty straightforward.

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Incoming When Gent Visits Waregem
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.67
Expected Value:+13.6%
Confidence:75

Alright, my fellow goal-lovers, The Big O is here to deliver the goods! This Sunday showdown between Zulte Waregem and Gent has all the ingredients for a spectacular scoring bonanza, and I'm here for it! Let's talk numbers, because numbers don't lie! Gent comes into this match in red-hot form, averaging a juicy 1.70 goals per game and an even more impressive 1.75 goals on their travels. That's the kind of away performance that gets my heart racing! Meanwhile, Zulte Waregem might not be setting the world alight with their home scoring (just 1.00 per game at their own patch), but they're certainly not shy about letting goals in at the other end - conceding 1.30 per game overall. Now, here's where it gets really exciting for us Over enthusiasts. The head-to-head history between these two is absolutely glorious! Out of their last 9 meetings, SEVEN have gone Over 2.5 goals. That's a 77.8% hit rate, my friends! We're talking scores like 2-4, 2-6, and even a recent 2-0 result that still keeps the average high. Both teams have found the net in 6 of those 9 encounters too. Gent's recent form reads like a goal-fest menu: 4-2 at Cercle Brugge, 3-0 against Dender, 2-1 over Charleroi. They're absolutely purring right now! Zulte, while inconsistent, have shown they can contribute to the party with results like their 2-1 loss to Genk and that entertaining 3-1 defeat to Westerlo. With both teams scoring in 60-70% of their recent matches and the historical trends screaming "GOALS," this match has Big O written all over it. The bookies are offering 1.67 for Over 2.5, but based on the data, I'm seeing much better value here. This isn't just a bet - it's an invitation to goal paradise! **Key Points:** - Head-to-head: 77.8% of last 9 meetings went Over 2.5 goals - Gent averaging 1.75 away goals per game - Both teams scoring in 60-70% of recent matches - Combined average goals per game: 2.90 - Gent in excellent scoring form with multiple high-scoring wins - Zulte conceding 1.30 goals per game creates opportunities **Summary:** Look, when you've got a team like Gent who's averaging nearly two goals per game on the road facing a side that concedes more than they score at home, you know we're in for a treat. The historical data backs this up completely, and the current form suggests both teams will be looking to attack. This is exactly the kind of match that makes The Big O's job easy - the value is clear, the trends are strong, and the goals are coming! Load up on Over 2.5 and let's enjoy the show!

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📝 Match Preview

Waregem Ready to Bite Back Against Gent
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.60
Expected Value:+4.0%
Confidence:65

Hello fellow underdog enthusiasts! Today I'm sniffing out some delightful value in this Jupiler Pro League clash between Zulte Waregem and Gent. While the table might suggest Gent has the edge (4th vs 8th), I see a little puppy with plenty of fight left in them! Zulte Waregem have been showing some real teeth at home recently, with two fantastic clean sheet victories - a 2-0 triumph over Antwerp and another 2-0 win against OH Leuven. These aren't just any wins; they're statement performances that show this team can lock things down when it matters most. Their recent form has been improving too, with three wins in their last ten games showing they're no pushovers. Now, I know what you're thinking - Gent has been impressive with five wins in their last ten and that attacking firepower (17 goals scored). But here's where it gets interesting for us underdog backers: the odds are incredibly close at 2.60 for Waregem and 2.55 for Gent. The market is basically saying "this could go either way," which is music to my ears! Waregem's home record might not set the world alight (28.57% win rate), but they've been tightening up defensively at their own patch. Plus, they've had more rest time (22 days vs Gent's 16), which could be crucial in what promises to be a tight affair. The head-to-head record does favor Gent historically, but recent form and home advantage tell a different story. With both teams scoring regularly (60% for Waregem, 70% for Gent in their recent games), we could be in for an entertaining match where the home side has every chance of springing a surprise. Remember, we're not looking for the obvious choice - we're hunting for value where others fear to tread. And at 2.60, Waregem represents exactly that kind of opportunity!

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📝 Match Preview

Gent's Force Strong Away From Home
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.55
Expected Value:+47.9%
Confidence:65

In the grand tapestry of the Jupiler Pro League, two paths converge. Zulte Waregem, sitting eighth with 14 points, seeks to find their footing at home. Gent, fourth with 17 points, arrives with the momentum of a true contender. The recent form tells a story of divergence. Zulte Waregem has shown sparks of life with victories over Antwerp (2-0), Charleroi (2-1), and OH Leuven (2-0), yet shadows remain with defeats against Genk (3-2), St. Truiden (0-2), and Club Brugge (0-1). Their home fortress has been breached often, with only a 28.57% win rate on their own soil. Gent, however, marches to a different rhythm. Five wins in their last ten encounters speak of consistency. Victories against Charleroi (2-1), Cercle Brugge (4-2), Dender (3-0), and Antwerp (2-1) demonstrate an attacking prowess that few can contain. Their away form reveals true strength - a 50% win rate on foreign territory, scoring 1.75 goals per game. The head-to-head record whispers truths that odds cannot hide. In nine meetings, Gent has emerged victorious six times, with Zulte Waregem managing only three triumphs. At home, Zulte Waregem has won but once against Gent in four attempts. The goals flow freely in these encounters - 2.67 per game for Gent, 1.67 for Zulte Waregem, with over 2.5 goals in 78% of their battles. The force of statistics points toward Gent. Their superior away record, stronger recent form, and historical dominance create a compelling narrative. While Zulte Waregem's recent clean sheets against Antwerp and OH Leuven show defensive improvement, Gent's attacking machine, averaging 1.70 goals per game, may prove too powerful. Remember, young bettor: "Patience you must have, my young padawan." The wise choice often reveals itself through careful observation, not impulse. Here, the data illuminates a clear path. Key Points: - Gent boasts superior away form with 50% win rate compared to Zulte Waregem's 28.57% home win rate - Head-to-head record heavily favors Gent (6 wins to 3) with Zulte Waregem winning only 25% at home - Gent scores 1.75 away goals per game vs Zulte Waregem's 1.00 home goals per game - Both teams show improving form trends, but Gent's recent results are more convincing - Historical encounters average 4.34 total goals per game, suggesting potential for goals The path of wisdom leads to Gent. Their form, their away strength, and their dominance in this particular matchup create a value opportunity that the discerning eye cannot ignore.

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📝 Match Preview

Gent's Away Form Creates Value Against Waregem
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:2.55
Expected Value:+12.2%
Confidence:75

Let's cut through the noise and look at the numbers. The bookmakers have priced this contest remarkably tight, but the mathematical reality tells a different story. Gent sits 4th in the table with 17 points, boasting a 50% win rate from their last 10 matches, while Zulte Waregem languishes in 8th with just 14 points and a paltry 30% win rate. The away form differential is particularly striking. Gent hasn't lost in their last four away matches, winning half of them with a stellar 50% win rate on the road. Zulte Waregem, meanwhile, manages only a 28.57% win rate at home, drawing nearly as often as they win (42.86%). Head-to-head history reinforces Gent's superiority. Of nine previous meetings, Gent has won six, including three of four visits to Zulte Waregem. The goal expectancy model gives Gent a clear advantage (1.30 vs 1.00), and their recent attacking form backs this up - they're averaging 1.70 goals per game compared to Waregem's 1.20. Waregem's recent three-game winning streak might catch the eye, but let's examine the quality: victories came against 15th-placed OH Leuven, 10th-placed Charleroi, and 13th-placed Antwerp. Gent, by contrast, has been dispatching teams with relative ease, including a 4-2 thrashing of Cercle Brugge and wins against Antwerp and Charleroi. The market has underestimated Gent's edge here. At 2.55 for an away win, we're getting excellent value on a side that dominates this fixture historically and arrives in superior form with better underlying metrics.

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