Wed, 3 Dec 2025, 19:45
Premiership
Scotland
Scotland
Full Time
1:0
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

11'
D. Maeda⚽
Normal Goal
40'
C. RobertsonπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ R. Astley
44'
M. SaracchiπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ K. Tierney
58'
Yang Hyun-JunπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ S. Tounekti
58'
C. CongreveπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ B. Koumetio
58'
S. MurrayπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ A. Hay
58'
Y. DhandaπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ C. Jones
74'
J. WestleyπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ T. Yogane
80'
Luke McCowan🟨
Yellow Card
81'
L. McCowanπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ B. Nygren
81'
R. HatateπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ P. Bernardo
81'
C. DonovanπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ A. Ralston
83'
Callum McGregor🟨
Yellow Card
90+1'
Benjamin Nygren🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

6Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
17Total Shots4
4Blocked Shots0
10Shots insidebox2
7Shots outsidebox2
13Fouls4
6Corner Kicks0
4Offsides4
71Ball Possession29
3Yellow Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
687Total passes283
637Passes accurate211
93Passes %75

Starting Lineups

CelticCeltic1:1

Starting XI

1Kasper SchmeichelG
36Marcelo SaracchiD
41Reo HatateM
13Yang Hyun-JunF
5Liam ScalesD
42Callum McGregorM
38Daizen MaedaF
6Auston TrustyD
27Arne EngelsM
14Luke McCowanF
51Colby DonovanD

DundeeDundee1:1

Starting XI

1Jon McCrackenG
12Imari SamuelsD
10Finlay RobertsonM
15Simon MurrayF
3Clark RobertsonD
19Joe WestleyM
22Luke GrahamD
48Ethan HamiltonM
7Drey WrightD
21Yan DhandaM
20Cameron CongreveM

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Celtic
Celtic
Form: W-W-W-W-L
Dundee
Dundee
Form: W-L-L-L-L
Record
6 W
1 D
3 L
β€’
3 W
1 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.9
Scored
vs
1.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
2.0
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
40%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.8
Away:1.3
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:1.7
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:0.2
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:2.6

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1865
Strong
1445
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1896
↑ Momentum (+31)
1492
↑ Momentum (+47)
Expected Outcome
75%
Home Win
18%
Draw
7%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1752
Attack
1510
1692
Defence
1463
Recent Form
1777
Attack
1538
1706
Defence
1475
Post-Match Changes
+2
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Celtic's Home Fortress vs Dundee's Away Woes
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:1.70
Expected Value:+19.0%

This Premiership clash presents a clear mismatch between Celtic's formidable home form and Dundee's abysmal away record. Celtic sits second in the table with 29 points from 13 games, boasting a 75% win rate at home where they score an impressive 2.75 goals per game while conceding just 0.50. Their recent home performances include dominant victories over Kilmarnock (4-0) and Falkirk (4-0), plus a hard-fought 1-0 win at ST Mirren. Dundee, meanwhile, languishes in ninth place with just 12 points from 14 matches. Their away form is particularly alarming - they've lost all five of their recent away games, scoring a mere 0.20 goals per game while shipping 2.60. Their recent away defeats include heavy losses to Hibernian (2-0), Rangers (3-0), Heart Of Midlothian (4-0), and Falkirk (2-1). The head-to-head record heavily favors Celtic, who have won all five home meetings against Dundee. While Dundee did shock Celtic with a 2-0 victory in October, this appears to be an anomaly given their overall away struggles. Celtic's home attacking statistics are overwhelming - they average 22.33 shots and 8.33 shots on target at home, compared to Dundee's paltry 8.80 shots and 2.80 shots on target away. Celtic's recent form shows improvement with three consecutive wins, while Dundee's only recent victory came at home against ST Mirren (3-1). The statistical disparity is stark: Celtic averages 1.90 points per game overall compared to Dundee's 1.00, and this gap widens significantly when considering home vs away form. Key Points: - Celtic has perfect 5-0-0 home record vs Dundee historically - Dundee has 0% away win rate and scores only 0.20 goals per game away - Celtic concedes just 0.50 goals per game at home - Celtic's recent home form: 75% win rate with 2.75 goals scored per game - Dundee's away defense: 2.60 goals conceded per game - Celtic averages 22.33 shots per home game vs Dundee's 8.80 away Given Dundee's inability to score away from home and Celtic's solid home defense, the most logical outcome is Celtic winning without conceding. The statistics overwhelmingly support this scenario, making it the only bet that meets my strict criteria for probability above 65%.

Read Full Preview β†’