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Match analysis

ScotlandPremiership

Falkirk vs Hibernian

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

Full time4:1HT 2–0

Match Timeline

17'
B. Stewart⚽
Normal Goal → C. Miller
37'
Kanayochukwu Megwa🟨
Yellow Card
43'
B. Stewart⚽
Normal Goal → C. Miller
46'
J. Iredale🔄
Substitution 1 → T. Youan
47'
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga🟨
Yellow Card
59'
R. Bushiri⚽
Normal Goal → J. Obita
72'
Brad Spencer🟨
Yellow Card
73'
K. Megwa🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Molotnikov
75'
F. Yeats🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Marsh
79'
K. Wilson🔄
Substitution 2 → E. Ross
79'
C. Miller🔄
Substitution 3 → E. Williams
83'
B. Stewart⚽
Normal Goal → L. Marsh
84'
D. Barlaser🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Levitt
89'
G. Hanley⚽
Own Goal
90'
B. Spencer🔄
Substitution 4 → H. Cartwright
90'
B. Stewart🔄
Substitution 5 → B. Graham
90+4'
Louie Marsh🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal4
17Total Shots10
6Blocked Shots2
12Shots insidebox7
5Shots outsidebox3
14Fouls14
7Corner Kicks4
1Offsides0
52Ball Possession48
2Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
415Total passes392
328Passes accurate296
79Passes %76

Tipster previews (6)

Mr CertaintyLost

Defensive Stalemate Expected at Falkirk Stadium

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
68%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+22.4%

When Falkirk hosts Hibernian this weekend, the data points overwhelmingly toward a low-scoring affair. As a hyper-cautious analyst who only backs selections with a true probability exceeding 65%, I see one clear value bet that meets my stringent criteria. Falkirk's recent form…

Mr SimpleLost

Falkirk vs Hibs: A Case for the Under?

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.80
Model EV
+17.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this mid-table Premiership tussle. Falkirk host Hibernian, and if you're expecting a goal-fest, you might want to put your money back in your pocket. This one has 'cagey' written all over it. Falkirk are sitting 6th, five points behind…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Falkirk

3W 3D 4L1.20 pts/game

Hibernian

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Falkirk at home vs Hibernian away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premiership

Overall edge
+96Hibernian
Venue edge
+33Hibernian
Rating period
Match snapshot
Falkirk versus Hibernian: long term Elo, before the match
FalkirkHomeRatingHibernianAway
Strength
1,539Overall1,635
1,504Match venue1,537
1,504At home1,607
1,522Away1,537
Attack & defence
1,454Attack1,595
1,566Defence1,602
1,475Home attack1,611
1,469Away attack1,514
1,529Home defence1,570
1,534Away defence1,566
Match profile
1,487Goal environment1,673
1,495Home goals1,648
1,492Away goals1,525
1,502Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,516Set-piece attack1,501
1,515Set-piece defence1,501
1,530Close games1,510
1,543Winning margin1,671

Match venue compares Falkirk at home with Hibernian away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FalkirkFalkirk1:1

Starting XI

19S. BainG
3L. McCannD
21D. TaitM
29C. MillerM
16B. StewartF
5L. HendersonD
8B. SpencerM
14F. YeatsM
20C. AllanD
22K. WilsonM
2K. AdamsD

HibernianHibernian1:1

Starting XI

1R. SallingerG
15J. IredaleD
21J. ObitaM
17J. McGrathF
9K. BowieF
4G. HanleyD
22D. BarlaserM
10M. BoyleF
33R. BushiriD
14M. ChaiwaM
27K. MegwaM