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Match analysis

ScotlandPremiership

Falkirk vs Dundee

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Premiership fixture.

Full time1:0HT 0–0

Match Timeline

55'
B. Broggio⚽
Normal Goal
65'
F. Lissah🟨
Yellow Card
73'
K. Adams🟨
Yellow Card
76'
L. Marsh🔄
Substitution 3 → F. Yeats
76'
H. Cartwright🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Spencer
76'
E. Ross🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Miller
78'
S. Murray🔄
Substitution 1 → S. Wright
78'
J. Cotterill🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Jones
80'
C. Congreve🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Samuels
80'
K. Adams🔄
Substitution 4 → L. McCann
89'
T. Yogane🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Bevan
89'
B. Broggio🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Allan
90+3'
N. Hogarth🟨
Yellow Card
90+5'
Y. Dhanda
Missed Penalty → Y. Dhanda
90+5'
Y. Dhanda🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal5
16Total Shots14
8Blocked Shots5
10Shots insidebox9
6Shots outsidebox5
14Fouls4
4Corner Kicks4
0Offsides2
50Ball Possession50
2Yellow Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves2
392Total passes370
313Passes accurate304
80Passes %82
1.01expected_goals0.66
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonWon

Falkirk to Fire Up the Braai with Home Win Over Dundee

The pickFalkirk win

Chance
68%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+17.6%

Listen up, my braai buddies and football fanatics! We've got a proper Scottish Premiership clash here between Falkirk and Dundee, and I'm smelling a home victory that'll have us cracking open a cold one. Let's break down why Falkirk should be putting three points on the board…

Umery UnderdogLost

Dundee's Dark Horse Potential at Falkirk

The pickDundee win

Chance
22%
Odds
5.50
Model EV
+21.0%

When the Premiership's sixth-placed side hosts the tenth, the natural assumption is a comfortable home win. But as your friendly underdog tipster, I'm here to sniff out the hidden value where others see a foregone conclusion. The data tells a more nuanced story, and for those…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Falkirk

5W 2D 3L1.70 pts/game

Dundee

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Per game

Falkirk at home vs Dundee away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Premiership

Overall edge
+93Falkirk
Venue edge
+94Falkirk
Rating period
Match snapshot
Falkirk versus Dundee: long term Elo, before the match
FalkirkHomeRatingDundeeAway
Strength
1,558Overall1,466
1,518Match venue1,424
1,518At home1,451
1,528Away1,424
Attack & defence
1,470Attack1,433
1,569Defence1,503
1,493Home attack1,494
1,469Away attack1,406
1,533Home defence1,466
1,537Away defence1,490
Match profile
1,495Goal environment1,797
1,503Home goals1,642
1,492Away goals1,655
1,504Possession1,471
Specialist ratings
1,510Set-piece attack1,427
1,510Set-piece defence1,429
1,540Close games1,456
1,574Winning margin1,464

Match venue compares Falkirk at home with Dundee away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

FalkirkFalkirk1:1

Starting XI

1Nicky HogarthG
28Filip LissahD
21Dylan TaitM
23Ethan RossM
16Barney StewartF
5Liam HendersonD
17Henry CartwrightM
30Louie MarshM
15Lewis NeilsonD
11Ben BroggioM
2Keelan AdamsD

DundeeDundee1:1

Starting XI

1Jon McCrackenG
7Drey WrightD
48Ethan HamiltonM
17Tony YoganeM
15Simon MurrayF
22Luke GrahamD
24Joel CotterillM
4Ryan AstleyD
21Yan DhandaM
16Brad HallidayD
20Cameron CongreveM