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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Accrington ST vs Tranmere

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–0

Match Timeline

16'
Shaun Whalley⚽
Normal Goal
35'
Aaron McGowan🔄
Substitution 1 → Lee O'Connor
46'
Alex Henderson🔄
Substitution 1 → Conor Grant
55'
Shaun Whalley🔄
Substitution 2 → Freddie Sass
61'
Nohan Kenneh🔄
Substitution 2 → Billy Blacker
62'
Sam Finley🔄
Substitution 3 → Richard Smallwood
63'
Charlie Whitaker⚽
Normal Goal → Josh Davison
64'
Cameron Norman🟨
Yellow Card
65'
Paddy Madden
Missed Penalty
67'
Seamus Conneely🔄
Substitution 3 → Tyler Walton
71'
Lee O'Connor🔄
Substitution 4 → Jayden Joseph
78'
Billy Blacker🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Isaac Heath🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
15Total Shots9
6Blocked Shots3
9Shots insidebox5
6Shots outsidebox4
5Fouls13
4Corner Kicks2
4Offsides0
40Ball Possession60
1Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
275Total passes421
130Passes accurate252
47Passes %60

Tipster previews (6)

Umery UnderdogLost

Underdog Alert: Accrington Ready to Bite Back

The pickAccrington ST win

Chance
47%
Odds
2.38
Model EV
+11.9%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! Two teams near the bottom of League Two, but I've got my eye on the little puppy at home - Accrington ST! Sure, they're sitting 22nd in the table, but don't let that fool you. This team has some serious bite when they want to! Let me…

PajimonWon

Bottom of the Table Battle - Goals on the Cards?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+12.4%

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and look at this proper League Two scrap! Two teams stuck in the mud at the bottom of the table, but don't let that fool you - this could be a cracker! Accrington ST are rock bottom of League Two with just 12 points from 13 games, but they…

The Big "O"Lost

Goal Fest Expected When Accrington Hosts Tranmere

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.00
Model EV
+16.0%

Alright, my fellow goal-loving enthusiasts! The Big O here, and I'm practically salivating at this matchup. When you see Tranmere's away form, you know we're in for a treat - they're averaging a whopping 2.4 goals scored AND 2.4 goals conceded on their travels! That's not…

Mr SimpleWon

Bottom-Of-The-Table Battle With Goals On The Cards

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+3.8%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this relegation six-pointer between two teams who've been struggling more than a one-legged man in an arse-kicking contest. Accrington are propping up the entire league with just 12 points, while Tranmere aren't much better off in 18th…

Value VinnyWon

Bottom-Of-The-Table Battle Hides Goal Value

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
60%
Odds
1.73
Model EV
+3.8%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Two teams struggling at the wrong end of League Two, but that's where the value often hides. Accrington sits 22nd with 12 points, while Tranmere occupies 18th with 15 - both teams averaging around 1 point per game…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Accrington ST

3W 1D 6L1.00 pts/game

Tranmere

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Per game

Accrington ST at home vs Tranmere away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+63Tranmere
Venue edge
+60Accrington ST
Rating period
Match snapshot
Accrington ST versus Tranmere: long term Elo, before the match
Accrington STHomeRatingTranmereAway
Strength
1,404Overall1,467
1,477Match venue1,417
1,477At home1,499
1,414Away1,417
Attack & defence
1,397Attack1,477
1,507Defence1,491
1,446Home attack1,439
1,402Away attack1,462
1,532Home defence1,564
1,486Away defence1,437
Match profile
1,675Goal environment1,357
1,680Home goals1,407
1,495Away goals1,450
1,499Possession1,499
Specialist ratings
1,514Set-piece attack1,471
1,513Set-piece defence1,472
1,465Close games1,490
1,396Winning margin1,478

Match venue compares Accrington ST at home with Tranmere away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Accrington STAccrington ST1:1

Starting XI

13Oliver WrightG
14Benn WardD
30Isaac HeathM
10Alex HendersonF
8Paddy MaddenF
5Farrend RawsonD
6Liam CoyleM
7Shaun WhalleyF
17Devon MatthewsD
28Seamus ConneelyM
2Donald LoveM

TranmereTranmere1:1

Starting XI

13Joe MurphyG
3Patrick BroughD
11Omari PatrickM
7Charlie WhitakerF
10Josh DavisonF
5Nathan SmithD
42Nohan KennehM
18Connor JenningsF
30Aaron McGowanD
8Sam FinleyM
2Cameron NormanM