Accrington ST vs Tranmere Prediction

Bottom of the Table Battle - Goals on the Cards?

Preview

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and look at this proper League Two scrap! Two teams stuck in the mud at the bottom of the table, but don't let that fool you - this could be a cracker!

Accrington ST are rock bottom of League Two with just 12 points from 13 games, but they showed they can still mix it with the big boys when they smashed second-place Swindon Town 4-0 at home. Problem is, they're about as consistent as my cousin's diet plans - they follow up that big win with losses to Fleetwood (2-1) and Newport (0-1). At home, they're winning 40% of games but losing 60%, which is not exactly the form you want when you're trying to climb out of the relegation zone.

Tranmere are only slightly better off in 18th place, and they've become the draw specialists of League Two with 6 draws already this season. But here's the thing - when they travel, it's like they leave their defense at home! They're scoring 2.4 goals per game on the road but also conceding 2.4. Just look at their recent away trips: 4-1 win at Bristol Rovers, 2-1 win at Barrow, and a 3-3 thriller at Bromley. These lads don't do boring 0-0s!

The head-to-head tells us everything we need to know - these matches are usually goal fests. 7 out of their last 9 meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, and both teams have scored in 6 of those. Last time they met, it ended 3-3, and before that Tranmere smashed them 4-1.

With Tranmere's away games averaging nearly 5 goals per game combined, and Accrington's hit-or-miss form, I'm expecting both teams to find the net here. The stats don't lie - Tranmere are scoring for fun away from home, and Accrington have shown they can score against anyone on their day.

Key Points:

• Tranmere averaging 2.4 goals scored AND conceded away from home

• Accrington beat 2nd place Swindon 4-0 but lost to lower teams

• 7/9 H2H meetings went over 2.5 goals

• Both teams scored in 6/9 previous meetings

• Tranmere's away games have both teams scoring 80% of the time

This has all the makings of a proper bottom-of-the-table shootout. Both teams need points, both teams leak goals, and Tranmere especially love an open game on the road. Time to back both teams to score and enjoy the goals!

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.73
+EV
+12.4%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN