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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Swindon Town vs Notts County

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Match Timeline

3'
Conor Grant⚽
Normal Goal
19'
Aaron Drinan⚽
Normal Goal
21'
Rod McDonald🟨
Yellow Card
52'
Scott Robertson🟨
Yellow Card
62'
Alassana Jatta⚽
Normal Goal → Conor Grant
63'
Alassana Jatta🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Tyrese Hall🔄
Substitution 1 → Tom Iorpenda
67'
Alassana Jatta🔄
Substitution 2 → Matthew Dennis
74'
Joel McGregor🔄
Substitution 1 → Joe Snowdon
74'
Ollie Palmer🔄
Substitution 2 → Paul Glatzel
74'
Tom Nichols🔄
Substitution 3 → Billy Bodin
75'
Jodi Jones🔄
Substitution 3 → Keanan Bennetts
75'
Scott Robertson🔄
Substitution 4 → Oliver Norburn
76'
Oliver Norburn🟨
Yellow Card
78'
Aaron Drinan⚽
Normal Goal → Paul Glatzel
81'
Nick Tsaroulla🔄
Substitution 5 → Maziar Kouhyar
82'
Jamie Knight-Lebel🔄
Substitution 4 → Filozofe Mabete
84'
Darren Oldaker🔄
Substitution 5 → Princewill Ehibhatiomhan
90+3'
Billy Bodin🟨
Yellow Card
90+8'
Filozofe Mabete🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

5Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal3
11Total Shots8
2Blocked Shots0
4Shots insidebox6
7Shots outsidebox2
10Fouls17
5Corner Kicks1
0Offsides2
53Ball Possession47
2Yellow Cards4
3Goalkeeper Saves3
451Total passes415
337Passes accurate310
75Passes %75

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Swindon's Home Fortress vs Notts' Travel Woes

The pickSwindon Town win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+15.5%

Alright boet, let's fire up the braai and break down this clash! Swindon Town are sitting pretty in 2nd place with 24 points from 12 games, while Notts County are lingering in 12th with 18 points. The stats tell a proper story here - Swindon are absolute beasts at home with an…

Value VinnyLost

Swindon's Home Fortress vs Notts County's Travel Woes

The pickSwindon Town win

Chance
62%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+30.2%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Swindon Town sits second in League Two with a formidable 80% home win rate, averaging 2.0 goals per game at their own patch. Notts County, meanwhile, struggles on the road with just a 40% away win rate and a paltry…

Mr SimpleLost

Robins Ready To Soar At Home

The pickSwindon Town win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+15.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County. The Robins are sitting pretty in second place with 24 points from 12 games, while Notts County are mid-table in 12th with 18 points from their 12 matches. Swindon have been…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Swindon Town

7W 0D 3L2.10 pts/game

Notts County

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

Per game

Swindon Town at home vs Notts County away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+42Swindon Town
Venue edge
+61Swindon Town
Rating period
Match snapshot
Swindon Town versus Notts County: long term Elo, before the match
Swindon TownHomeRatingNotts CountyAway
Strength
1,545Overall1,502
1,550Match venue1,488
1,550At home1,509
1,475Away1,488
Attack & defence
1,545Attack1,514
1,500Defence1,543
1,552Home attack1,529
1,500Away attack1,500
1,496Home defence1,539
1,490Away defence1,517
Match profile
1,822Goal environment1,867
1,630Home goals1,650
1,692Away goals1,717
1,509Possession1,512
Specialist ratings
1,506Set-piece attack1,484
1,506Set-piece defence1,485
1,509Close games1,417
1,549Winning margin1,532

Match venue compares Swindon Town at home with Notts County away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Swindon TownSwindon Town1:1

Starting XI

1Connor RipleyG
26Finley MunroeD
44Darren OldakerM
28Ollie PalmerF
16Thomas Wilson-BrownD
7Tom NicholsM
5Will WrightD
18Gavin KilkennyM
22Jamie Knight-LebelD
23Aaron DrinanM
33Joel McGregorD

Notts CountyNotts County1:1

Starting XI

1Kelle RoosG
4Jacob BedeauD
10Jodi JonesM
26Tyrese HallF
29Alassana JattaF
3Rod McDonaldD
18Matt PalmerM
11Conor GrantF
28Lewis MacariD
20Scott RobertsonM
25Nick TsaroullaM