Swindon Town vs Notts County Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League Two clash between Swindon Town and Notts County. The Robins are sitting pretty in second place with 24 points from 12 games, while Notts County are mid-table in 12th with 18 points from their 12 matches.

Swindon have been banging in the goals at home, averaging 2.0 per game at their own patch, and they've won 80% of their last five home matches. They're a proper attack-minded side, scoring 1.9 goals per game overall this season. Mind you, they did get hammered 4-0 by Accrington in their last outing - a bit of a shocker considering Accrington are struggling near the bottom.

Notts County have been decent on their travels lately, winning two of their last three away games, but their overall away record tells a different story. They're only scoring 0.8 goals per game away from home and have lost 60% of their last five away matches. They did beat Barnet 1-0 in their last game though, so they're not completely useless on the road.

When these two have met at Swindon's place, it's been one-way traffic. Swindon have won 4 out of 5 home meetings against Notts, though Notts did nick a 2-0 win in the last encounter back in January.

Both teams like to have a go, with both teams scoring in 50% of Swindon's and Notts' recent games. Swindon's home games average 3.2 goals, while Notts' away matches average 2.2 goals.

The bookies have Swindon as slight favourites at 2.10, which seems about right given their home form and league position. Notts are 3.20 for the away win, with the draw at 3.50.

Looking at the stats, Swindon's home advantage looks massive here. They score twice as many goals at home as Notts do away, and their home record against Notts is proper tasty. Even with that recent 4-0 blip, you'd fancy them to get back on track in front of their own fans.

Key Points:

Swindon have won 80% of their last 5 home games

Notts County only score 0.8 goals per game away from home

Swindon have won 4 of 5 home meetings against Notts County

Both teams have scored in 50% of their recent matches

• Swindon average 2.0 goals per game at home this season

The Verdict:

I'm backing Swindon Town to get the job done here. Their home form is solid, they score for fun at their own place, and Notts struggle on the road. That 4-0 loss to Accrington was a proper shocker, but sometimes that's what a team needs to wake them up. At 2.10, there's decent value in the home win.