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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Shrewsbury vs Grimsby

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time1:1HT 1–1

Match Timeline

38'
Charles Vernam
Penalty
45+2'
John Marquis⚽
Normal Goal → Sam Clucas
58'
Ismeal Kabia🔄
Substitution 1 → Chuks Aneke
64'
Kieran Green🔄
Substitution 1 → Evan Khouri
72'
Darragh Burns🟨
Yellow Card
73'
Anthony Scully🔄
Substitution 2 → Isaac England
78'
Sam Stubbs🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Chuks Aneke🟨
Yellow Card
86'
Charles Vernam🔄
Substitution 2 → Zak Gilsenan
86'
Darragh Burns🔄
Substitution 3 → Justin Amaluzor
90+5'
Harvey Rodgers🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal3
8Total Shots12
4Blocked Shots5
4Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox5
13Fouls13
2Corner Kicks6
0Offsides3
44Ball Possession56
2Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves0
269Total passes339
136Passes accurate228
51Passes %67

Tipster previews (6)

PajimonLost

Shrewsbury Home Advantage vs Grimsby Travel Woes

The pickShrewsbury win

Chance
38%
Odds
3.00
Model EV
+14.0%

Right then, let's get down to business with this League Two clash! Looking at the table, you might think Grimsby sitting 12th should have the edge over Shrewsbury down in 20th, but football's not played on paper, boet! The big story here is home vs away form. Shrewsbury have…

The Big "O"Lost

Goal Fest Expected as Shrewsbury Host Grimsby

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.85
Model EV
+11.0%

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm getting excited about this League Two showdown! When I see the stats for this match, I'm not just seeing a game - I'm seeing a goal-scoring party waiting to happen. Let's break it down. Shrewsbury might be struggling in the league (20th…

Umery UnderdogLost

Shrewsbury Ready to Bark Against Grimsby

The pickShrewsbury win

Chance
36%
Odds
3.00
Model EV
+8.0%

Oh, what a delightful underdog story we have brewing here! While the league table might suggest Grimsby holds the advantage, I'm absolutely thrilled by the potential for our little puppies at Shrewsbury to upset the odds. Let's look beyond those league positions for a moment…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

Battle of Light and Dark in League Two

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+8.6%

In the grand tapestry of League Two, two paths converge. Shrewsbury, though low in the table (20th with 17 points), find strength within their home sanctuary. A 75% win rate in their last four home games speaks of a fortress built on determination. The force is strong with them…

Value VinnyWon

Value Found in BTTS Market

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
67%
Odds
1.67
Model EV
+11.9%

Let's cut through the noise and focus on what the numbers tell us. Shrewsbury sit 20th in League Two with 17 points, while Grimsby occupy 12th with 26 points - a clear gap in league performance. However, the betting markets aren't always efficient, and that's where value hunters…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Shrewsbury

4W 3D 3L1.50 pts/game

Grimsby

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Shrewsbury at home vs Grimsby away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+10Shrewsbury
Venue edge
+112Shrewsbury
Rating period
Match snapshot
Shrewsbury versus Grimsby: long term Elo, before the match
ShrewsburyHomeRatingGrimsbyAway
Strength
1,485Overall1,475
1,614Match venue1,502
1,614At home1,455
1,459Away1,502
Attack & defence
1,454Attack1,488
1,529Defence1,481
1,495Home attack1,433
1,433Away attack1,508
1,625Home defence1,509
1,505Away defence1,476
Match profile
1,432Goal environment1,502
1,458Home goals1,450
1,473Away goals1,552
1,482Possession1,527
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,532
1,493Set-piece defence1,531
1,542Close games1,500
1,463Winning margin1,472

Match venue compares Shrewsbury at home with Grimsby away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

ShrewsburyShrewsbury1:1

Starting XI

12Will BrookG
4Tom AndersonD
6Sam ClucasM
11Anthony ScullyF
27John MarquisF
26Sam StubbsD
7Tommy McDermottM
9George LloydF
2Luca HooleD
14Taylor PerryM
20Ismeal KabiaM

GrimsbyGrimsby1:1

Starting XI

1Christy PymG
16Reece StauntonD
20George McEachranM
30Charles VernamM
9Jaze KabiaF
17Cameron McJannettD
7Jamie WalkerM
24Douglas TharmeD
4Kieran GreenM
5Harvey RodgersD
18Darragh BurnsM