Shrewsbury vs Grimsby Prediction

Shrewsbury vs Grimsby: Home Fortresses Meet Travel Troubles

Preview

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League Two scrap between Shrewsbury and Grimsby. On paper, you'd think Grimsby have the edge sitting 12th with 26 points, while Shrewsbury are propping up the bottom half in 20th with just 17. But football's not played on paper, is it?

Here's the thing - Shrewsbury have actually been decent at home lately. They've won 75% of their last 4 home games, keeping it tight at the back with only 0.75 goals conceded per game at their place. They've had some proper tidy results too - 1-0 wins against Newport and Crawley, plus a 2-0 victory over Cambridge. That's not bad for a team struggling near the bottom.

Grimsby, on the other hand, have been shocking on their travels. Zero wins in their last 3 away games! They might be scoring 2 goals per game away from home, but they're also leaking 2.33 per game. That's some proper dodgy defending that could get punished.

Both teams seem to love a goal-fest though. Shrewsbury have seen both teams score in 70% of their recent games, while Grimsby aren't far behind at 60%. When these two met earlier this season, it ended 3-1 to Grimsby, so goals are definitely on the cards.

The recent form tells an interesting story too. Shrewsbury picked up a decent 1-1 draw at Sutton Utd in the FA Cup, while Grimsby smashed Wealdstone 4-0. But in the league, Grimsby have lost 2 of their last 3, including a 1-2 defeat at home to Tranmere.

With Shrewsbury's solid home record and Grimsby's defensive woes on the road, plus both teams' tendency to both score and concede, this has all the makings of an entertaining affair.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.67
+EV
+8.6%
Estimated Chance65%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN