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Match analysis

EnglandLeague Two

Crawley Town vs Grimsby

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League Two fixture.

Full time0:2HT 0–2

Match Timeline

23'
J. Kabia⚽
Normal Goal → A. Cook
36'
H. Rodgers⚽
Normal Goal
41'
T. Richards🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Watson
47'
Jay Williams🟥
Red Card
60'
A. Adeyemo🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Copley
66'
Jaze Kabia🟨
Yellow Card
67'
C. Oduor🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Sweeney
68'
K. Green🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Walker
71'
H. McKirdy🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Pereira
71'
L. Richards🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Russell
81'
A. Cook🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Amaluzor
82'
Reece Staunton🟨
Yellow Card
88'
J. Kabia🔄
Substitution 4 → J. Svanthorsson

Match Statistics

0Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal5
7Total Shots16
2Blocked Shots6
4Shots insidebox12
3Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls12
3Corner Kicks9
2Offsides4
47Ball Possession53
0Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves0
291Total passes326
189Passes accurate237
65Passes %73

Tipster preview

Mr SimpleWon

Crawley Town vs Grimsby: Match Preview & Betting Tips

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
2.14
Model EV
+28.4%

Right then, let's get straight into the meat of it. Crawley Town are hosting Grimsby in League Two on 6th April 2026. The Rams are sitting pretty high at 10th with 62 points, while Crawley are down in 20th with 37 points. That's a big gap in the table, and the form book backs it…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Crawley Town

2W 5D 3L1.10 pts/game

Grimsby

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Crawley Town at home vs Grimsby away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League Two

Overall edge
+105Grimsby
Venue edge
+38Grimsby
Rating period
Match snapshot
Crawley Town versus Grimsby: long term Elo, before the match
Crawley TownHomeRatingGrimsbyAway
Strength
1,426Overall1,531
1,478Match venue1,516
1,478At home1,506
1,413Away1,516
Attack & defence
1,412Attack1,463
1,518Defence1,548
1,480Home attack1,459
1,400Away attack1,462
1,518Home defence1,540
1,493Away defence1,530
Match profile
1,720Goal environment1,470
1,582Home goals1,447
1,638Away goals1,523
1,532Possession1,531
Specialist ratings
1,464Set-piece attack1,548
1,465Set-piece defence1,547
1,422Close games1,566
1,420Winning margin1,522

Match venue compares Crawley Town at home with Grimsby away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

Crawley TownCrawley Town1:1

Starting XI

35J. ChapmanG
12L. RichardsD
7H. ForsterM
38T. AdeyemoF
2S. MaloneD
6M. AndersonM
13H. McKirdyF
5C. BarkerD
26J. WilliamsM
22A. AdeyemoD
32T. RichardsM

GrimsbyGrimsby1:1

Starting XI

31J. SmithG
16R. StauntonD
15G. D. TuriM
9J. Kabia4:1
39A. CookF
17C. McJannetD
29C. OduorM
2M. KacurriD
4K. GreenM
5H. RodgersD
18D. BurnsM