Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 12:30
Full Time
1:1
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

16'
Josh Coburn🟨
Yellow Card
41'
Jack Clarke⚽
Normal Goal → Azor Matusiwa
46'
Macaulay Langstaff🔄
Substitution 1 → Mihailo Ivanović
50'
Josh Coburn⚽
Normal Goal → Camiel Neghli
53'
Ivan Azón🟨
Yellow Card
68'
Dan Neil🔄
Substitution 1 → Jack Taylor
68'
Kasey McAteer🔄
Substitution 2 → Jaden Philogene-Bidace
68'
Luke Cundle🔄
Substitution 2 → Barry Bannan
72'
Ivan Azón🔄
Substitution 3 → George Hirst
72'
Anis Mehmeti🔄
Substitution 4 → Chuba Akpom
83'
Billy Mitchell🔄
Substitution 3 → Derek Mazou-Sacko
83'
Camiel Neghli🔄
Substitution 4 → Tom Watson
86'
Derek Mazou-Sacko🟨
Yellow Card
87'
Jack Clarke🔄
Substitution 5 → Sindre Walle Egeli

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal7
17Total Shots13
9Blocked Shots3
12Shots insidebox8
5Shots outsidebox5
5Fouls13
9Corner Kicks8
1Offsides1
64Ball Possession36
1Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
449Total passes244
342Passes accurate152
76Passes %62
1.38expected_goals1.67
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

IpswichIpswich1:1

Starting XI

28Christian WaltonG
18Ben JohnsonD
6Dan NeilM
47Jack ClarkeM
31Ivan AzónF
24Jacob GreavesD
5Azor MatusiwaM
33Anis MehmetiM
26Dara O'SheaD
20Kasey McAteerM
19Darnell FurlongD

MillwallMillwall1:1

Starting XI

13Anthony PattersonG
3Zak SturgeD
8Billy MitchellM
10Camiel NeghliM
19Josh CoburnF
5Jake CooperD
25Luke CundleM
17Macaulay LangstaffM
6Caleb TaylorD
11Femi AzeezM
4Tristan CramaD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Ipswich
Ipswich
Form: W-D-D-W-W
Millwall
Millwall
Form: L-W-W-W-W
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
•
7 W
1 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.8
Scored
vs
2.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
vs
0.8
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.5
Away:2.0
Conceded
Home:0.5
Away:1.7
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:2.3
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:0.5

ELO comparison

Pre-match ratings

Rating period
Match snapshot
Ipswich versus Millwall: long term ELO, before the match
IpswichHomeRatingMillwallAway
Strength
1,632.8Overall1,602
1,641.8Match venue1,550
1,641.8At home1,559.7
1,525.9Away1,550
Attack & defence
1,586.2Attack1,503.4
1,584.5Defence1,587.8
1,574.6Home attack1,466.2
1,531.2Away attack1,464.9
1,597.2Home defence1,580
1,517.1Away defence1,576.1
Match profile
1,606.7Goal environment1,180
1,590Home goals1,378.3
1,516.7Away goals1,301.7
1,531.1Possession1,484.8
Specialist ratings
1,552.4Set-piece attack1,517.3
1,550.9Set-piece defence1,516.8
1,573.8Close games1,616.6
1,653.7Winning margin1,608.9

Match venue compares Ipswich at home with Millwall away. All ratings are within this league.

Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.

📝 Match Preview

Ipswich vs Millwall: The Big O Preview
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+33.7%
Confidence:70

Life's too short for nil-nil, and this Championship clash screams goals! Ipswich Town are hosting Millwall in a battle of the top four, both teams sitting on 68 points. As The Big O, I'm here to hunt for value in the Over markets, and the data suggests the nets will move. Ipswich have been solid at home, averaging 1.50 goals scored per game and conceding just 0.50. Millwall are even more potent on the road, averaging 2.25 goals scored per game away. When you combine those scoring rates, we're looking at a combined average of 3.75 goals, which is well above the 2.5 threshold. The head-to-head record is the real clincher. Out of their last 9 meetings, 7 matches saw Over 2.5 Goals. That's a 77% hit rate. While their most recent meeting ended 0-0, the broader history favors the goals. Plus, both teams have high shot volumes—Millwall averaging 12.60 shots and Ipswich 13.60 shots in their last 10 games. The odds for Over 2.5 Goals are sitting at 1.91. Given the H2H trend and the scoring averages, the market price seems a bit low. I'm confident the goals will come, and life is too short for a boring draw. Key Points: * Ipswich Home Goals/Game: 1.50 * Millwall Away Goals/Game: 2.25 * H2H Over 2.5 Rate: 77% (7/9 matches) * Combined Expected Goals: ~3.75 based on averages * Market Odds: 1.91 The Big O Verdict: Over 2.5 Goals.

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