Match Timeline
Riley McGreeπ¨
Jake Cooperπ¨D. Fryβ½J. Coburnβ½C. De NorreπM. TargettπM. IvanovicπJ. Coburnβ½C. BrittainπF. AzeezπB. MitchellπMatch Statistics
Starting Lineups
Middlesbrough1:1
Starting XI
Millwall1:1
Starting XI
Head-to-Head
π Team Form & Statistics
ELO comparison
Pre-match ratings
 MiddlesbroughHome | Rating |  MillwallAway |
|---|---|---|
| Strength | ||
| 1,570.6 | Overall | 1,603.4 |
| 1,571.3 | Match venue | 1,553.2 |
| 1,571.3 | At home | 1,559.7 |
| 1,551.2 | Away | 1,553.2 |
| Attack & defence | ||
| 1,495.3 | Attack | 1,501.9 |
| 1,597.7 | Defence | 1,592.5 |
| 1,469.9 | Home attack | 1,466.2 |
| 1,542.1 | Away attack | 1,465.4 |
| 1,621.3 | Home defence | 1,580 |
| 1,533.3 | Away defence | 1,580.8 |
| Match profile | ||
| 1,393.3 | Goal environment | 1,178.3 |
| 1,275 | Home goals | 1,378.3 |
| 1,618.3 | Away goals | 1,300 |
| 1,555.1 | Possession | 1,483.1 |
| Specialist ratings | ||
| 1,554.7 | Set-piece attack | 1,517.9 |
| 1,553.5 | Set-piece defence | 1,517.4 |
| 1,539.9 | Close games | 1,614.8 |
| 1,586.6 | Winning margin | 1,610.9 |
Match venue compares Middlesbrough at home with Millwall away. All ratings are within this league.
Higher goal environment ratings mean higher-scoring games, not necessarily a stronger team. A starting league rating is 1500.
Quick Links
π Match Preview
Hello friends! It's Umery Underdog here, sniffing out value where others miss it. Today we look at Middlesbrough vs Millwall in the Championship. The market sees Middlesbrough as the favourite at 1.73, but the data tells a different story. Millwall, the underdog at 4.33, shows incredible away form. In their last 5 away games, Millwall won 80% of them, scoring 2.00 goals per game. Meanwhile, Middlesbrough's home form is shaky, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 home games, scoring just 0.60 goals per game. The head-to-head record is even (4 wins each), but recent trends favour the visitors. Millwall has a 60% win rate in their last 10 games overall, compared to Middlesbrough's 40%. Goal expectancy also leans towards Millwall (1.30 vs 0.60). This is a classic case where the underdog is the stronger team. I'm backing the pups! The odds of 4.33 offer significant value given Millwall's away dominance. Confidence is high because the stats align. Let's hope the little dogs pull off the upset. Key Points: - Millwall Away Win Rate (Last 5): 80% - Middlesbrough Home Win Rate (Last 5): 20% - Millwall Away Goals/Game: 2.00 - Middlesbrough Home Goals/Game: 0.60 - Head-to-Head: Even (4-4-2) - Recommended Bet: Millwall to Win (Away Win) - Odds: 4.33 - Confidence: 70% - Probability of Success: 55%
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