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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Northampton vs Mansfield Town

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Match Timeline

18'
Rhys Oates⚽
Normal Goal → Will Evans
39'
Tyler Roberts🔄
Substitution 1 → George Maris
46'
Kyle Edwards🔄
Substitution 1 → Tom Eaves
53'
Jack Perkins⚽
Normal Goal → Cameron McGeehan
64'
Nathan Moriah-Welsh🔄
Substitution 2 → Lucas Akins
72'
Conor McCarthy🔄
Substitution 2 → Kamarai Swyer
74'
Tom Eaves
Penalty
82'
Jack Burroughs🔄
Substitution 3 → Elliott List
82'
Will Evans🔄
Substitution 3 → Dom Dwyer
82'
Kyle Knoyle🔄
Substitution 4 → Jordan Bowery
83'
Jordan Thorniley🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal5
11Total Shots12
3Blocked Shots5
10Shots insidebox5
1Shots outsidebox7
10Fouls11
5Corner Kicks4
2Offsides2
47Ball Possession53
1Yellow Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
302Total passes352
201Passes accurate251
67Passes %71

Tipster previews (6)

Umery UnderdogWon

Cobras Ready to Strike Against Stags

The pickNorthampton win

Chance
32%
Odds
3.25
Model EV
+4.0%

Oh, what a delightful underdog story we have brewing here! Northampton, sitting 16th in League One, welcome the 8th-placed Mansfield Town to their den, and I'm absolutely buzzing about the potential for our little puppies to bite back! Looking at the recent form, Northampton…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Mansfield's Wisdom Shines Through

The pickMansfield Town win

Chance
48%
Odds
2.30
Model EV
+10.4%

In the grand tapestry of League One, much we can learn from the patterns that emerge. Northampton, sitting 16th with 17 points, finds themselves on a troubling path. Their recent form speaks of struggle - but one victory in their last five matches, with defeats to Oldham (3-1)…

PajimonWon

Mansfield Look To Continue Good Form

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
55%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+7.2%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this League One clash! Northampton are sitting in 16th place with 17 points, while Mansfield Town are flying higher in 8th with 22 points. The table doesn't lie here, mans - Mansfield have been the better side this season…

Mr SimpleWon

Cobblers Stumble While Stags Gallop

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
58%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+13.1%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this League One scrap. Northampton are struggling a bit at the moment, sitting 16th and coming off three straight defeats. They've lost to Oldham 3-1, Luton 1-0, and Reading 1-0 - not exactly the form you want when you've got visitors…

Value VinnyWon

Value Found in BTTS Market at Sixfields

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
55%
Odds
1.95
Model EV
+7.2%

Let's cut through the noise and hunt for value. The bookmakers have priced this up, but my mathematical analysis reveals an opportunity they've overlooked. Northampton sit 16th with 17 points, while Mansfield occupy 8th with 22 points - a clear quality gap reflected in the…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Northampton

4W 1D 5L1.30 pts/game

Mansfield Town

4W 4D 2L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Northampton at home vs Mansfield Town away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+63Mansfield Town
Venue edge
+8Northampton
Rating period
Match snapshot
Northampton versus Mansfield Town: long term Elo, before the match
NorthamptonHomeRatingMansfield TownAway
Strength
1,437Overall1,501
1,479Match venue1,471
1,479At home1,507
1,415Away1,471
Attack & defence
1,384Attack1,511
1,552Defence1,500
1,412Home attack1,513
1,401Away attack1,492
1,576Home defence1,519
1,490Away defence1,477
Match profile
1,523Goal environment1,563
1,430Home goals1,527
1,593Away goals1,537
1,489Possession1,495
Specialist ratings
1,501Set-piece attack1,508
1,501Set-piece defence1,508
1,466Close games1,441
1,431Winning margin1,521

Match venue compares Northampton at home with Mansfield Town away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NorthamptonNorthamptonUnknown

Starting XI

34Ross FitzsimonsG
2Jack BurroughsD
3Conor McCarthyD
6Jordan WillisD
15Jordan ThornileyD
21Jack PerkinsD
8Cameron McGeehanM
23Terry TaylorM
14Tyrese FornahM
22Kyle EdwardsM
19Ethan WheatleyF

Mansfield TownMansfield TownUnknown

Starting XI

1Liam RobertsG
2Kyle KnoyleD
23Adedeji OshilajaD
20Frazer Blake-TracyD
3Stephen McLaughlinD
15Jamie McDonnellM
8Aaron LewisM
22Nathan Moriah-WelshM
29Tyler RobertsM
18Rhys OatesM
11Will EvansF