Northampton vs Mansfield Town Prediction

Mansfield Look To Continue Good Form

Preview

Right then, let's fire up the braai and look at this League One clash! Northampton are sitting in 16th place with 17 points, while Mansfield Town are flying higher in 8th with 22 points. The table doesn't lie here, mans - Mansfield have been the better side this season.

Northampton's recent form has been a bit rough, I'm not gonna lie. They've only picked up one win in their last five games, getting beaten 3-1 by Oldham, 1-0 by Luton, and 1-0 by Reading. They do score a decent 1.5 goals per game at home, but overall they're only averaging 1.0 goal per game. That's not gonna win you many matches, boet!

Mansfield, on the other hand, have been more consistent. They've only lost twice in their last ten games and are averaging 1.6 goals per game. They're creating more chances too - 12.67 shots per game compared to Northampton's 8.25. Their away form isn't amazing (25% win rate), but they still score 1.25 goals per game on the road.

Head-to-head, Mansfield has the edge with 5 wins to Northampton's 3 in 9 meetings. Northampton have actually won 2 of the 5 meetings at home, but Mansfield took 3. The last time these two met, Northampton nicked it 1-0.

Looking at the stats, Mansfield are stronger in attack and more consistent overall. Northampton struggle to score goals, and while they're decent at home, Mansfield's attacking numbers suggest they'll find the net. Both teams tend to concede too - Northampton let in 1.0 per game, Mansfield 1.3.

Key Points:

  • Mansfield sit 5 points clear of Northampton in the league table
  • Northampton have won just 1 of their last 5 matches
  • Mansfield average 1.6 goals scored vs Northampton's 1.0
  • Mansfield create more chances (12.67 vs 8.25 shots per game)
  • Head-to-head favors Mansfield (5 wins to 3)
  • Both teams concede regularly (1.0 and 1.3 goals per game respectively)

The way I see it, Mansfield's attacking threat should be too much for Northampton's defense, but Northampton might just nick one at home. Both teams to score looks like the smart money here - Mansfield are scoring freely while Northampton are decent enough at home to get on the scoresheet.

Match time
Recommended Bet
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE YES
Odds
1.95
+EV
+7.2%
Estimated Chance55%
Stake & Profit
Stake:-Profit:0.00
Outcome
OPEN