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Match analysis

EnglandLeague One

Cardiff vs Stockport County

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this League One fixture.

Match Timeline

10'
Kyle Wootton⚽
Normal Goal
27'
Ryan Wintle🟨
Yellow Card
40'
Yousef Salech🔄
Substitution 1 → Callum Robinson
45+2'
Kyle Wootton🟨
Yellow Card
45+7'
Joel Colwill⚽
Normal Goal → Ollie Tanner
49'
Joel Bagan🟨
Yellow Card
56'
Benoný Breki Andrésson🔄
Substitution 1 → Jack Diamond
68'
Joel Colwill🔄
Substitution 2 → Omari Kellyman
68'
Ollie Tanner🔄
Substitution 3 → Chris Willock
74'
Omari Kellyman🟨
Yellow Card
82'
Joseph Olowu🔄
Substitution 2 → Jid Okeke
82'
Oliver Norwood🔄
Substitution 3 → Ben Osborn
86'
Alex Robertson🔄
Substitution 4 → Isaak Davies
87'
Josh Stokes🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal2
14Total Shots11
4Blocked Shots7
10Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox4
11Fouls17
9Corner Kicks1
2Offsides2
61Ball Possession39
3Yellow Cards2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
479Total passes313
392Passes accurate221
82Passes %71

Tipster previews (5)

Value VinnyWon

Top-of-the-Table Tussle: Value Lies in the Unders

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
2.10
Model EV
+21.8%

The summit of League One hosts a fascinating clash as leaders Cardiff welcome fourth-placed Stockport County. On paper, this looks like a classic case of the league's best attack meeting one of its stingiest away defences. The numbers tell a compelling story, and for a value…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Cardiff

6W 2D 2L2.00 pts/game

Stockport County

6W 1D 3L1.90 pts/game

Per game

Cardiff at home vs Stockport County away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within League One

Overall edge
+10Cardiff
Venue edge
+11Cardiff
Rating period
Match snapshot
Cardiff versus Stockport County: long term Elo, before the match
CardiffHomeRatingStockport CountyAway
Strength
1,600Overall1,590
1,571Match venue1,560
1,571At home1,596
1,537Away1,560
Attack & defence
1,525Attack1,510
1,544Defence1,562
1,541Home attack1,528
1,491Away attack1,503
1,516Home defence1,544
1,548Away defence1,584
Match profile
1,495Goal environment1,508
1,515Home goals1,530
1,480Away goals1,478
1,536Possession1,515
Specialist ratings
1,500Set-piece attack1,519
1,500Set-piece defence1,519
1,589Close games1,583
1,604Winning margin1,579

Match venue compares Cardiff at home with Stockport County away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

CardiffCardiffUnknown

Starting XI

13Nathan TrottG
38Perry NgD
4Gabriel OshoD
12Calum ChambersD
3Joel BaganD
6Ryan WintleM
18Alex RobertsonM
11Ollie TannerM
27Joel ColwillM
45Cian AshfordM
22Yousef SalechF

Stockport CountyStockport CountyUnknown

Starting XI

1Ben HinchliffeG
5Joseph OlowuD
33Brad HillsD
15Ethan PyeD
2Josh Dacres-CogleyM
27Odin BaileyM
26Oliver NorwoodM
14Adetayo EdunM
22Benoný Breki AndréssonF
28Josh StokesF
19Kyle WoottonF