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Match analysis

FranceLigue 1

Nice vs Lyon

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Full time3:2HT 2–1

Match Timeline

5'
M. Bard⚽
Normal Goal → S. Diop
26'
Clinton Mata🟨
Yellow Card
29'
P. Sulc⚽
Normal Goal → R. Kluivert
33'
Mohamed-Ali Cho
Penalty cancelled
35'
S. Diop⚽
Normal Goal → J. Boga
55'
H. Boudaoui⚽
Normal Goal → J. Clauss
64'
Charles Vanhoutte🟨
Yellow Card
66'
Dante🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Bah
68'
Abner Vinicius🔄
Substitution 1 → N. Tagliafico
68'
A. Karabec🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Ghezzal
73'
M. Cho🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Louchet
73'
S. Diop🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Sanson
73'
J. Boga🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Gouveia
77'
Clinton Mata🔄
Substitution 3 → M. Niakhate
77'
T. Morton🔄
Substitution 4 → T. Tessmann
77'
M. Fofana🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Moreira
90'
P. Sulc⚽
Normal Goal
90+6'
Moussa Niakhaté🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal7
1Shots off Goal7
5Total Shots29
0Blocked Shots15
5Shots insidebox16
0Shots outsidebox13
9Fouls11
1Corner Kicks16
2Offsides0
31Ball Possession69
1Yellow Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves1
256Total passes544
193Passes accurate472
75Passes %87
0.6expected_goals3.04
-1goals_prevented-1

Tipster previews (5)

PajimonLost

Lyon to Feast on Struggling Nice

The pickLyon win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.90
Model EV
+59.5%

Ag man, this one looks like a mismatch! Nice are having a worse time than a vegetarian at a braai. Sitting 12th in the table with only 8 points from 7 games, they've been leaking goals like a sieve - conceding 1.8 per game and keeping just ONE clean sheet in their last 10…

Umery UnderdogLost

Lyon: The Overlooked Underdog with Bite

The pickLyon win

Chance
42%
Odds
2.80
Model EV
+17.6%

Oh, what a delightful treat we have here! The market has served up a classic underdog opportunity that makes my tail wag with excitement. Despite Lyon sitting pretty in 4th place with 15 points while Nice languish in 12th with just 8 points, the bookmakers have made Lyon the…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

Lyon's Force Strong Against Struggling Nice

The pickLyon win

Chance
55%
Odds
2.80
Model EV
+54.0%

In the grand scheme of Ligue 1, much difference one finds between these two sides. Lyon, sitting fourth with 15 points, has found their path to victory. Nice, twelfth with but 8 points, wanders in the wilderness of inconsistency. The recent form tells a tale of two destinies…

Mr SimpleWon

Leaky Nice Host High-Flying Lyon

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.62
Model EV
+5.3%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one down the pub. Nice are struggling something rotten at the moment, sitting 12th in the table with just 8 points from 7 games. Their recent form is shocking - 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses in their last 10 matches. They're leaking…

Value VinnyLost

Lyon's Value Play Against Struggling Nice

The pickLyon win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.80
Model EV
+26.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookmakers have priced this match all wrong, and that's where value hunters like me thrive. Nice comes into this fixture in dreadful form. Their last 10 games tell a brutal story: just 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Nice

2W 2D 6L0.80 pts/game

Lyon

7W 0D 3L2.10 pts/game

Per game

Nice at home vs Lyon away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 1

Overall edge
+48Lyon
Venue edge
+44Nice
Rating period
Match snapshot
Nice versus Lyon: long term Elo, before the match
NiceHomeRatingLyonAway
Strength
1,614Overall1,661
1,649Match venue1,605
1,649At home1,663
1,564Away1,605
Attack & defence
1,555Attack1,591
1,587Defence1,588
1,534Home attack1,610
1,533Away attack1,561
1,653Home defence1,573
1,551Away defence1,558
Match profile
1,400Goal environment2,267
1,457Home goals1,912
1,443Away goals1,855
1,503Possession1,508
Specialist ratings
1,531Set-piece attack1,511
1,530Set-piece defence1,510
1,557Close games1,615
1,622Winning margin1,681

Match venue compares Nice at home with Lyon away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

NiceNice1:1

Starting XI

80Y. DioufG
4DanteD
26M. BardM
7J. BogaF
37K. PeprahD
24C. VanhoutteM
10S. DiopF
33A. MendyD
6H. BoudaouiM
25M. ChoF
92J. ClaussM

LyonLyon1:1

Starting XI

1D. GreifG
16Abner ViniciusD
8C. TolissoM
11M. FofanaM
20M. SatrianoF
21R. KluivertD
23T. MortonM
10P. SulcM
22Clinton MataD
7A. KarabecM
98A. Maitland-NilesD