Fri, 7 Nov 2025, 19:45
Ligue 1
France
France
Full Time
0:1
HT: 0 - 0

Match Timeline

57'
Thibault De Smet🟨
Yellow Card
66'
D. Cisse🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Blas
66'
M. Meite🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Embolo
73'
J. Krasso🔄
Substitution 1 → W. Geubbels
74'
Mahdi Camara🟨
Yellow Card
79'
Maxime López🟨
Yellow Card
80'
M. Simon🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Cafaro
81'
B. Embolo
Normal Goal → V. Rongier
83'
E. Lepaul🔄
Substitution 3 → S. Fofana
86'
P. Lees-Melou🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Ollila
87'
T. De Smet🔄
Substitution 4 → N. Dicko
87'
A. Camara🔄
Substitution 5 → V. Marchetti
90+1'
M. Tamari🔄
Substitution 4 → P. Frankowski
90+2'
Anthony Rouault🟨
Yellow Card
90+3'
Otávio🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Ilan Kebbal🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

4Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal5
20Total Shots10
7Blocked Shots2
14Shots insidebox7
6Shots outsidebox3
9Fouls13
8Corner Kicks9
4Offsides2
52Ball Possession48
4Yellow Cards2
2Goalkeeper Saves4
442Total passes398
362Passes accurate328
82Passes %82
1.98expected_goals0.75
0goals_prevented0

Starting Lineups

Paris FCParis FC1:1

Starting XI

16Obed NkambadioG
28Thibault De SmetD
27Moses SimonM
11Jean-Philippe KrassoF
6OtávioD
33Pierre Lees MelouM
17Adama CamaraD
21Maxime LópezM
5Moustapha MbowD
10Ilan KebbalM
31Samir Sophian CherguiD

RennesRennes1:1

Starting XI

30Brice SambaG
3Lilian BrassierD
11Mousa TamariM
39Mohamed Kader MeiteF
24Anthony RouaultD
6Djaoui CisséM
9Esteban LepaulF
97Jérémy JacquetD
21Valentin RongierM
45Mahdi CamaraM
26Quentin MerlinM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Paris FC
Paris FC
Form: W-D-L-L-W
Rennes
Rennes
Form: W-D-L-D-D
Record
4 W
2 D
4 L
2 W
6 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.8
Scored
vs
1.7
Scored
1.9
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
80%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.2
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:2.0
Away:1.8
Scored
Home:2.0
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:2.2

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1498
Average
1623
Good
Short Term Elo Rating
1496
↓ Momentum (-1)
1637
↑ Momentum (+14)
Expected Outcome
24%
Home Win
28%
Draw
48%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1535
Attack
1571
1500
Defence
1551
Recent Form
1574
Attack
1559
1506
Defence
1552
Post-Match Changes
-14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Paris Showdown: Goals Galore Expected
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+10.2%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this mid-table scrap between Paris FC and Rennes. Both sides are knocking around the same part of the table with just a point between 'em, so we should be in for a proper battle. Paris FC have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde side at home this season. They're banging in 2.2 goals per game on their own patch, which is decent going, but they're also letting in 2.0 at the other end. It's basically like watching a basketball match sometimes! Look at their recent home games - that 3-3 draw with Lyon was absolute chaos, and they beat Metz 3-2 earlier in the season. They're not shy about having a go, but their back door's always swinging open. Rennes, on the other hand, have become the draw specialists of Ligue 1. Six draws in their last 10 games tells its own story, doesn't it? Away from home, they've drawn four of their last five - they're like that mate who never wants to commit to anything! But here's the thing - they're still getting goals. They've scored in 80% of their recent games and conceded in 80% too. That 2-2 draw with Toulouse last time out shows exactly what they're about. When you dig into the numbers, both teams have seen both teams score in 80% of their recent matches. That's not a coincidence, that's a pattern. Paris FC's home games are averaging over 4 goals, and Rennes' away matches are seeing nearly 4 goals per game too. The goal expectancy for this one is sitting at 3.9 goals, which tells you everything you need to know. The bookies have got BTTS at 1.62, and given how both these teams play, that looks like proper value to me. Neither side knows how to keep a clean sheet consistently, but both have enough firepower to trouble the scoreboard. Key Points: - Both teams have BTTS in 80% of recent games - Paris FC home games: 2.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game - Rennes away: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded per game - Rennes have drawn 80% of last 5 away games - Goal expectancy suggests 3.9 goals in this match Given the attacking intent and defensive frailties on both sides, I'm expecting goals at both ends. Paris FC will fancy their chances at home, but Rennes are stubborn opponents who always seem to find a way to score even when they're not at their best.

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📝 Match Preview

Rennes Ready to Bark Upset in Paris
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:3.00
Expected Value:+5.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While most eyes might be on the home side, I'm sniffing out some serious value in our visiting puppies from Rennes. Let me tell you why these underdogs have caught my attention! Looking at the recent form, Rennes have been absolutely tenacious on their travels. In their last five away games, they've lost just once while drawing four times - that's the kind of resilience that makes my tail wag! They've held firm against Lens (3rd place) and shared points with Toulouse, showing they're not afraid of anyone's backyard. Paris FC have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde at home lately. Sure, they've had some brilliant moments like that stunning 0-1 victory at Monaco, but they've also shipped goals freely (2.00 per game at home) and looked vulnerable against teams they should be beating. That 5-2 thumping by Marseille still stings, I imagine! What really gets me excited is Rennes' recent form. That 4-1 demolition of Strasbourg shows these pups have some serious bite when they decide to go for it. And while they might not win every game, they're incredibly hard to beat - just 2 losses in 10 matches speaks volumes about their character. The stats tell an interesting story too. Both teams love to score (80% BTTS rate), and Rennes actually average more shots on target away from home (4.00) than Paris FC manage at home (4.60). With both sides likely to find the net, it could come down to who wants it more - and I'm backing the underdogs with that fighting spirit! Key Points: • Rennes have lost just 1 of their last 5 away matches • Both teams have 80% Both Teams To Score rates in recent games • Rennes are unbeaten in 3 of their last 4 matches • Paris FC concede 2.00 goals per game at home • Rennes recently beat Strasbourg 4-1, showing their attacking potential The odds makers might have underestimated these traveling pups. At 3.00, Rennes represent fantastic value for a team that's so difficult to beat. They may not win every game, but they certainly know how to avoid defeat - and on a good day, they're more than capable of snatching all three points!

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Incoming When Paris FC Hosts Rennes
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.73
Expected Value:+7.3%

Get ready for some serious goal action, folks! The Big O is getting excited about this Ligue 1 clash, and for good reason. Both Paris FC and Rennes have been serving up goal feasts recently, and this match has all the ingredients for another high-scoring spectacular. Paris FC's home form reads like a goal enthusiast's dream - they're averaging a whopping 4.20 total goals per game at their own patch (2.20 scored, 2.00 conceded). Their recent results tell the story perfectly: that thrilling 3-3 draw with Lyon, a 2-3 loss to Strasbourg, and a 3-2 victory over Metz. These boys simply don't do boring football! With an 80% Both Teams To Score rate, they're practically guaranteeing action at both ends. Rennes might be draw specialists on the road (80% draws away from home), but they're not boring draws - we're talking 2-2 thrillers against Toulouse, Auxerre, Le Havre, and Nantes. Their away defensive record is particularly generous, conceding 2.20 goals per game on their travels. Combine that with their ability to find the net (1.40 away goals per game), and you've got a recipe for goal madness. The stats are screaming "OVER" here. Both teams have identical 80% BTTS rates, the expected goals total sits at 3.90, and neither side can keep a clean sheet to save their lives. Paris FC's home games average over 4 goals, while Rennes' away matches average 3.6. When you see numbers like these, you know The Big O is getting interested! The market has Over 2.5 at 1.73, which looks mighty generous given the goal expectations and recent form. Both teams are coming into this in decent scoring touch too - Paris FC netted against Monaco, while Rennes just put four past Strasbourg. This has all the makings of a classic end-to-end affair where defenses take a holiday and attackers have their day in the sun. Key Points: - Paris FC home games average 4.20 total goals per game - Rennes away games average 3.60 total goals per game - Both teams have 80% Both Teams To Score rates - Neither team can keep clean sheets (20% and 10% rates respectively) - Recent high-scoring form: 3-3, 2-3, 3-2 for Paris FC; multiple 2-2 draws for Rennes - Expected goals total: 3.90 The Big O's Verdict: This match has GOALS written all over it. Both teams are defensively generous but offensively capable, playing styles that should complement each other perfectly for an open, attacking game. With the stats backing up the goal-fest potential, I'm backing the Over 2.5 market with confidence.

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📝 Match Preview

Paris FC vs Rennes: High-Scoring Encounter Expected
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+21.5%

This Ligue 1 clash between Paris FC and Rennes presents a fascinating study in attacking vulnerability and defensive inconsistency. Both sides sit in the middle of the table, separated by just one point, but their recent form tells a story of teams that consistently find the net but also regularly concede. Paris FC enters this match with mixed recent results, highlighted by an impressive 0-1 victory away at Monaco but also showing defensive frailty in a 3-3 home draw against Lyon. Their home record shows they can be potent attackers, averaging 2.20 goals per game at their own ground, though they also concede at a rate of 2.00 goals per game in front of their home fans. Rennes has been one of the draw specialists in Ligue 1 this season, with six draws from their opening 11 matches. Their away form is particularly notable - they haven't won any of their last five away games, drawing four and losing one. However, they consistently find ways to score, averaging 1.40 goals per game on the road while also conceding 2.20 goals per game away from home. The most compelling statistical pattern emerges when examining both teams' recent matches. Paris FC has seen both teams score in 80% of their last 10 games, while Rennes shows an identical 80% BTTS rate over the same period. This consistency suggests a fundamental characteristic of both sides - they possess enough attacking quality to score against most opponents while lacking the defensive solidity to keep clean sheets. Recent results reinforce this pattern. Paris FC's last five matches have seen both teams score in four of them, including high-scoring affairs like the 3-3 draw with Lyon and a 3-2 victory over Metz. Rennes similarly has been involved in goal-filled encounters, with their last five matches all featuring both teams finding the net, including a 4-1 home win against Strasbourg and several 2-2 draws. The goal expectancy data further supports this trend, with Paris FC expected to score around 2.20 goals and Rennes around 1.70 goals. Both figures comfortably exceed one goal, making it statistically likely that both teams will score in this encounter. Given the defensive vulnerabilities of both sides and their consistent attacking output, the most probable outcome appears to be a match where both teams find the back of the net.

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📝 Match Preview

Value Found in BTTS Market for Paris FC vs Rennes Clash
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+5.3%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. Paris FC sits 11th with 14 points, while Rennes occupies 10th with 15 points - essentially deadlocked in the Ligue 1 table. But the real story lies in their recent form and underlying patterns that the bookmakers might be underpricing. Paris FC's recent results show a team capable of scoring against quality opposition. They've netted in 8 of their last 10 matches, including impressive performances like the 3-3 draw with Lyon and a 1-0 victory at Monaco. At home, they're averaging 2.2 goals per game, though their defense remains leaky with 2.0 goals conceded per home fixture. The 3-2 loss to Strasbourg and 5-2 defeat to Marseille highlight their defensive vulnerabilities. Rennes presents a fascinating case study. They've been draw specialists lately with 6 draws in their last 10 matches, but their away form tells a different story. Crucially, they've failed to win any of their last 5 away matches, drawing 4 and losing 1. Their defensive record on the road is particularly concerning - 2.2 goals conceded per away game with just a 10% clean sheet rate. The 4-0 hammering at Lorent shows they can be exposed defensively. The statistical patterns align perfectly here. Both teams have seen BTTS in 80% of their recent matches. Paris FC's home attack (2.2 goals/game) versus Rennes' away defense (2.2 goals conceded/game) creates a clear mathematical expectation. Conversely, Rennes' away attack (1.4 goals/game) should find success against Paris FC's porous home defense (2.0 goals conceded/game). The goal expectancy model projects 2.20 goals for Paris FC and 1.70 for Rennes, suggesting an open, high-scoring encounter. With both teams showing consistent offensive output and defensive frailties, the Both Teams to Score market offers genuine value that the odds compilers have missed.

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