Paris FC vs Rennes Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this mid-table scrap between Paris FC and Rennes. Both sides are knocking around the same part of the table with just a point between 'em, so we should be in for a proper battle.

Paris FC have been a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde side at home this season. They're banging in 2.2 goals per game on their own patch, which is decent going, but they're also letting in 2.0 at the other end. It's basically like watching a basketball match sometimes! Look at their recent home games - that 3-3 draw with Lyon was absolute chaos, and they beat Metz 3-2 earlier in the season. They're not shy about having a go, but their back door's always swinging open.

Rennes, on the other hand, have become the draw specialists of Ligue 1. Six draws in their last 10 games tells its own story, doesn't it? Away from home, they've drawn four of their last five - they're like that mate who never wants to commit to anything! But here's the thing - they're still getting goals. They've scored in 80% of their recent games and conceded in 80% too. That 2-2 draw with Toulouse last time out shows exactly what they're about.

When you dig into the numbers, both teams have seen both teams score in 80% of their recent matches. That's not a coincidence, that's a pattern. Paris FC's home games are averaging over 4 goals, and Rennes' away matches are seeing nearly 4 goals per game too. The goal expectancy for this one is sitting at 3.9 goals, which tells you everything you need to know.

The bookies have got BTTS at 1.62, and given how both these teams play, that looks like proper value to me. Neither side knows how to keep a clean sheet consistently, but both have enough firepower to trouble the scoreboard.

Key Points:

• Both teams have BTTS in 80% of recent games

• Paris FC home games: 2.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game

• Rennes away: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded per game

• Rennes have drawn 80% of last 5 away games

• Goal expectancy suggests 3.9 goals in this match

Given the attacking intent and defensive frailties on both sides, I'm expecting goals at both ends. Paris FC will fancy their chances at home, but Rennes are stubborn opponents who always seem to find a way to score even when they're not at their best.