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Match analysis

FranceLigue 1

Auxerre vs Rennes

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Ligue 1 fixture.

Full time0:3HT 0–3

Match Timeline

20'
M. Camara⚽
Normal Goal
22'
E. Lepaul⚽
Normal Goal → S. Szymanski
45'
M. Camara⚽
Normal Goal → M. Tamari
46'
L. Sy🔄
Substitution 1 → F. Oppegard
46'
C. Akpa🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Senaya
47'
Quentin Merlin🟨
Yellow Card
48'
N. Ahamada🔄
Substitution 3 → J. Casimir
48'
S. Mara🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Mensah
55'
Elisha Owusu🟨
Yellow Card
68'
M. Tamari🔄
Substitution 1 → L. Blas
68'
E. Lepaul🔄
Substitution 2 → B. Embolo
76'
Valentin Rongier🟨
Yellow Card
78'
A. Nordin🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Zabiri
78'
S. Szymanski🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Cisse
81'
Anthony Rouault🟨
Yellow Card
85'
Mahdi Camara🟨
Yellow Card
86'
K. Danois🔄
Substitution 5 → T. Devernois
88'
M. Camara🔄
Substitution 5 → H. Do Marcolino

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal3
11Total Shots12
2Blocked Shots2
7Shots insidebox7
4Shots outsidebox5
17Fouls22
4Corner Kicks5
1Offsides2
43Ball Possession57
1Yellow Cards4
3Goalkeeper Saves2
348Total passes472
253Passes accurate378
73Passes %80
0.65expected_goals0.98
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Value VinnyWon

Goal Expectancy Points to Over 2.5 Value

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+14.6%

Value Vinnie here, and I've got my calculators fired up for this Ligue 1 clash. Auxerre host Rennes in what the odds compilers think is a tight contest, but my numbers tell a different story—one that involves the net bulging more than the market expects. Auxerre are fighting for…

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceWon

The Force of Goals Strong in This Fixture Is

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.91
Model EV
+14.6%

Size matters not, look at the table you might. Sixteenth against sixth, a mismatch it appears. But deeper, the truth lies. At home, fight Auxerre does. Away, shadows cloud Rennes' path. Judge not by position alone, for wisdom in the recent form, hidden it is. Auxerre, resurgence…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Auxerre

2W 3D 5L0.90 pts/game

Rennes

5W 1D 4L1.60 pts/game

Per game

Auxerre at home vs Rennes away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Ligue 1

Overall edge
+129Rennes
Venue edge
+15Auxerre
Rating period
Match snapshot
Auxerre versus Rennes: long term Elo, before the match
AuxerreHomeRatingRennesAway
Strength
1,470Overall1,599
1,506Match venue1,490
1,506At home1,636
1,415Away1,490
Attack & defence
1,437Attack1,553
1,576Defence1,558
1,453Home attack1,586
1,439Away attack1,493
1,596Home defence1,616
1,491Away defence1,503
Match profile
1,522Goal environment1,698
1,475Home goals1,615
1,547Away goals1,583
1,481Possession1,506
Specialist ratings
1,503Set-piece attack1,511
1,502Set-piece defence1,511
1,459Close games1,488
1,482Winning margin1,625

Match venue compares Auxerre at home with Rennes away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AuxerreAuxerre1:1

Starting XI

16D. LeonG
92C. AkpaD
5K. DanoisM
10L. SinayokoF
24B. OkohD
42E. OwusuM
9S. MaraF
20S. DiomandeD
8N. AhamadaM
19D. NamasoF
27L. SyD

RennesRennes1:1

Starting XI

30B. SambaG
26Q. MerlinD
45M. CamaraM
70A. NordinM
9E. LepaulF
3L. BrassierD
21V. RongierM
17S. SzymanskiM
24A. RouaultD
11M. TamariM
18M. NagidaD