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Match analysis

Germany2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Preußen Münster

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this 2. Bundesliga fixture.

Match Timeline

-5'
Pelle Boevink🟨
Yellow Card
22'
Yassine Bouchama🟨
Yellow Card
30'
Noel Futkeu⚽
Goal cancelled
46'
Y. Bouchama🔄
Substitution 1 → C. Makridis
52'
Mikkel Kirkeskov🟨
Yellow Card
57'
Luca Bolay🟨
Yellow Card
57'
M. Kirkeskov🔄
Substitution 2 → L. Bolay
66'
L. Reich🔄
Substitution 1 → J. Dehm
70'
R. Preissinger🔄
Substitution 3 → T. Paetow
77'
Torge Paetow🟨
Yellow Card
80'
N. Futkeu🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Keller
80'
B. Hrgota🔄
Substitution 3 → O. Sillah
80'
Z. Sertdemir🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Meyerhofer
80'
L. Lokotsch🔄
Substitution 5 → O. Vilhelmsson
90'
J. Dehm⚽
Normal Goal
90+1'
Mathias Olesen🟨
Yellow Card
90+7'
F. Klaus🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Srbeny

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal3
3Shots off Goal3
7Total Shots12
2Blocked Shots6
2Shots insidebox6
5Shots outsidebox6
9Fouls12
4Corner Kicks7
6Offsides3
44Ball Possession56
2Yellow Cards4
3Goalkeeper Saves1
363Total passes472
275Passes accurate378
76Passes %80

Tipster previews (4)

Umery UnderdogLost

Münster's Mission: Can the Underdogs Pounce?

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
70%
Odds
1.50
Model EV
+5.0%

Oh, what a delightful underdog story we have brewing here! While the bookmakers might see SpVgg Greuther Fürth as slight favorites at home, my heart skips a beat for the overlooked Preußen Münster. Let me tell you why these puppies have more bite than you might think! Looking at…

Mr CertaintyLost

Defensive Struggles Point to Both Teams Scoring

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
72%
Odds
1.50
Model EV
+8.0%

This bottom-half clash presents a fascinating study in defensive vulnerability. SpVgg Greuther Fürth sits 16th in the table with just 10 points, while Preußen Münster occupies 10th place with 14 points. However, the league positions don't tell the full story of what we can…

Value VinnyLost

Mathematical Value Found in Münster Away Win

The pickPreußen Münster win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.80
Model EV
+26.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers. The bookmakers have priced this contest as a near coin flip, but the statistical reality tells a different story. SpVgg Greuther Fürth sits 16th with a measly 10 points from 11 games, while Preußen Münster occupies…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2W 1D 7L0.70 pts/game

Preußen Münster

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home vs Preußen Münster away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within 2. Bundesliga

Overall edge
+41Preußen Münster
Venue edge
+69SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Rating period
Match snapshot
SpVgg Greuther Fürth versus Preußen Münster: long term Elo, before the match
SpVgg Greuther FürthHomeRatingPreußen MünsterAway
Strength
1,449Overall1,490
1,526Match venue1,456
1,526At home1,511
1,421Away1,456
Attack & defence
1,474Attack1,485
1,441Defence1,521
1,514Home attack1,475
1,432Away attack1,477
1,475Home defence1,555
1,462Away defence1,491
Match profile
1,887Goal environment1,525
1,718Home goals1,485
1,668Away goals1,540
1,491Possession1,520
Specialist ratings
1,495Set-piece attack1,479
1,496Set-piece defence1,480
1,494Close games1,480
1,430Winning margin1,492

Match venue compares SpVgg Greuther Fürth at home with Preußen Münster away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth1:1

Starting XI

43Silas PrüfrockG
27Gian-Luca ItterD
40David AbrangaoM
9Noel FutkeuF
10Branimir HrgotaF
5Reno MünzD
37Julian GreenM
30Felix KlausF
33Maximilian DietzD
8Mathias OlesenM
2Lukas ReichM

Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1:1

Starting XI

1Johannes SchenkG
2Mikkel KirkeskovD
20Jorrit HendrixM
7Zidan SertdemirM
13Lars LokotschF
3Paul JaeckelD
21Rico PreißingerM
17Oliver Batista MeierF
22Jannis HeuerD
5Yassine BouchamaM
27Jano ter HorstD