SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Preußen Münster Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle down at the bottom of the 2. Bundesliga. SpVgg Greuther Fürth are hosting Preußen Münster in what's shaping up to be a proper six-pointer, though judging by Fürth's recent form, they might need more than six points to sort themselves out!

The home side are in absolute shambles at the moment. Sitting 16th in the table with just 10 points, they've managed only two wins in their last ten games. Their home form is frankly embarrassing - zero wins from their last five at their own patch, scoring a measly 0.6 goals per game while shipping 2.4. They haven't kept a single clean sheet all season, and recent results make for grim reading: a 6-0 hammering at Elversberg, 4-1 at home to Karlsruher, and 2-1 defeats to Paderborn and Kaiserslautern. The only bright spark was that 5-4 thriller at Magdeburg, but when you're conceding four at home, you know something's wrong.

Münster aren't exactly world-beaters, but they're in a healthier position. They sit 10th with 14 points and have won four of their last ten. Their away form isn't great - only one win in four on the road - but they're generally more solid than Fürth. They've got a decent recent win against Holstein Kiel (2-1) and while they did lose 4-1 at Kaiserslautern, they've shown they can score goals.

Here's the thing though - both teams are defensively suspect. Fürth are leaking goals like a sieve, while Münster are conceding 2.25 per game on their travels. Both teams have been scoring regularly too - Münster have found the net in 80% of their recent games. The head-to-head record shows both previous meetings ended with both teams scoring and over 2.5 goals.

Given Fürth's defensive horror show at home and Münster's ability to score (and concede) on the road, this looks like a game where both teams will get on the scoresheet. Fürth might be desperate for points at home, but their defence simply can't be trusted.

Key Points:

• Fürth have zero home wins in five attempts this season

• Fürth haven't kept a clean sheet in 10 games

• Both teams scored in both previous H2H meetings

• Münster have scored in 8 of their last 10 games

• Fürth conceding 2.4 goals per home game

• Münster conceding 2.25 goals per away game

The way I see it, both defences are generous enough to ensure both teams get on the scoresheet. Fürth's home form is shocking, but they're still scoring occasionally, and Münster's away record suggests they'll both score and concede.