Sat, 6 Dec 2025, 19:00
Ligue 2
France
France
Full Time

Match Timeline

36'
E. Annan🔄
Substitution 1 → B. Old
52'
Anto Sekongo🟨
Yellow Card
64'
M. Essimi🔄
Substitution 1 → A. Daho
71'
N. El Jamali🔄
Substitution 2 → J. Duffus
73'
Mahmoud Jaber🟨
Yellow Card
74'
E. Bardeli
Normal Goal → A. Zossou
84'
A. Zossou🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Linguet
84'
A. Sekongo🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Kante
89'
M. Jaber🔄
Substitution 3 → A. Moueffek
90+3'
Igor Miladinović🟨
Yellow Card
90+6'
Mathys Niflore🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal6
6Total Shots13
0Blocked Shots2
6Shots insidebox7
0Shots outsidebox6
8Fouls11
4Corner Kicks3
1Offsides1
35Ball Possession65
2Yellow Cards2
5Goalkeeper Saves2
365Total passes698
301Passes accurate635
82Passes %91

Starting Lineups

DunkerqueDunkerque1:1

Starting XI

60Mathys NifloreG
21Geoffrey KondoD
6Pape DiongM
77Aristide ZossouM
9Thomas RobinetF
22Victor MayelaD
20Enzo BardeliM
23Vincent SassoD
8Anto SekongoM
2Alec GeorgenD
10Marco EssimiM

Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1:1

Starting XI

30Gautier LarsonneurG
19Ebenezer AnnanD
5Mahmoud JaberM
22Zuriko DavitashviliM
31Nadir El JamaliF
3Mickael NadeD
10Florian TardieuM
6Maxime BernauerD
28Igor MiladinovićM
8Dennis AppiahD
7Irvin CardonaM

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Dunkerque
Dunkerque
Form: W-D-D-D-W
Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne
Form: W-W-W-W-L
Record
5 W
4 D
1 L
6 W
0 D
4 L
Goals Per Game
2.3
Scored
vs
3.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
vs
1.7
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
70%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:2.5
Away:2.2
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:0.7
Scored
Home:4.6
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.6
Away:1.8

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1538
Average
1586
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1584
↑ Momentum (+45)
1637
↑ Momentum (+51)
Expected Outcome
29%
Home Win
33%
Draw
38%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1510
Attack
1551
1579
Defence
1566
Recent Form
1555
Attack
1582
1599
Defence
1540
Post-Match Changes
+14
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Battle of Contrasting Forces at Dunkerque
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+5.3%

In the grand tapestry of Ligue 2, two paths converge. One, the steady hand of Dunkerque, consistent yet drawing too many battles. The other, Saint Etienne, the explosive force who knows only victory or defeat, no middle ground. The home side, sitting ninth with 21 points, has mastered the art of not losing. Only one defeat in their last ten encounters speaks of resilience. Their defensive wall stands strong - merely eight goals conceded in ten games, with four clean sheets to their name. Yet the 2.30 goals scored per game average tells of attacking intent, particularly potent on their home turf where 2.5 goals flow per match. Recent victories against Reims (2-1) and RED Star FC 93 (3-0) show they can rise to meet stronger opponents. Saint Etienne, second in the standings with 29 points, presents a fascinating paradox. Six wins and four losses in ten games - no draws, no compromise. Their attack burns bright with 3.20 goals per game, but their defense bleeds 1.70 goals per contest. Away from home, their firepower diminishes to 1.80 goals per game, while conceding 1.80. The 3-2 triumph at league leaders Estac Troyes demonstrates their capability, yet the 4-0 humiliation at Annecy reveals their vulnerability. The head-to-head record offers little guidance, each side claiming one victory in two meetings. Dunkerque's 1-0 home win in their last encounter provides hope, but the form book suggests different patterns. Wisdom teaches us to look beyond the standings. Saint Etienne scores and concedes with abandon - 70% of their recent games saw both teams find the net. Dunkerque, while defensively sound, has seen both teams score in 50% of their matches. The statistical patterns point toward goals from both sides in this encounter. The Force of probability favors both teams scoring. Saint Etienne's attacking prowess meets Dunkerque's home advantage, while both defenses have shown they can be breached. In football, as in life, balance often prevails.

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📝 Match Preview

Both Teams To Score In This Goal-Fest?
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+10.2%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Saint Etienne. The lads from Dunkerque are sitting pretty in 9th, but don't let that fool you - they've been banging in the goals lately. Five wins, four draws, and just one loss in their last ten games? That's proper decent form, that is. They're averaging 2.3 goals per game and only letting in 0.8, which is solid as a rock. Saint Etienne, meanwhile, are perched up in 2nd place with 29 points, but they're a bit of a Jekyll and Hyde side, aren't they? Six wins in their last ten sounds great, but they've also chucked in four losses. They score for fun though - 3.2 goals per game is some serious firepower. The problem? They're also letting in 1.7 goals per game, which suggests their defence might be a bit leaky. Looking at recent results, Dunkerque put five past Abbeville in the cup and smashed RED Star FC 93 3-0 at home. They also nicked a 2-1 win at Reims, which shows they can do it on the road too. Saint Etienne have been involved in some absolute goal-fests - that 11-1 cup win was ridiculous, wasn't it? They also beat Estac Troyes 3-2 away, but then got stuffed 4-0 at Annecy. Classic Saint Etienne - brilliant one week, baffling the next. The head-to-head is basically non-existent with only two meetings, each team winning once. Last time they met at Dunkerque's place, the home side nicked it 1-0. When you look at the stats, both teams just love scoring. Dunkerque are hitting 2.5 goals per game at home, while Saint Etienne are managing 1.8 on their travels. Both teams have BTTS rates above 50% in recent matches, and when you see Saint Etienne's games recently, they're almost always goal-filled affairs. The bookies have got BTTS Yes at 1.62, which looks pretty tasty to me. Given both sides' recent form and their tendency to both score and concede, I reckon there's proper value here.

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📝 Match Preview

Both Teams To Score Value in Ligue 2 Clash
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+5.3%

Alright boet, let's get down to business with this Ligue 2 showdown! We've got Dunkerque sitting pretty in 9th place hosting the high-flying Saint Etienne in 2nd spot. Now, don't let those league positions fool you - this one's got goals written all over it! Dunkerque have been solid at home this season, netting 2.5 goals per game in front of their own fans. They've only lost once in their last 10 matches and have been keeping things tight at the back with just 0.8 goals conceded per game overall. But here's the thing - they've been drawing quite a bit lately, including 1-1 with Rodez and 2-2 with Boulogne. They can score, no doubt about it - just look at that 5-0 hammering of Abbeville and the 3-0 wins over RED Star and PAU! Now Saint Etienne, these ouens are playing some proper football! Scoring 3.2 goals per game is no joke, but they're also leaking goals at the back with 1.7 conceded per game. They're either winning big or losing badly - no draws in their last 10 matches! Away from home, they're still finding the net with 1.8 goals per game, but they're also letting in 1.8. That 0-4 loss at Annecy shows they can be vulnerable on the road. When these two met last season, Dunkerque won 1-0 at home, but that was ages ago in football terms. The stats are screaming goals here - Saint Etienne's away defense is like a braai without beer - just not right! And Dunkerque's home attack is firing on all cylinders. Both teams have been scoring and conceding regularly, with BTTS percentages of 50% for Dunkerque and 70% for Saint Etienne. With Saint Etienne's leaky away defense and Dunkerque's solid home attack, I'm backing both teams to find the back of the net here!

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📝 Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When High-Flying Saints Visit Dunkerque
Recommendation:OVER_2_5
Odds:1.80
Expected Value:+6.2%
Confidence:75

Oh baby, The Big O is getting excited about this one! We've got two teams who absolutely love finding the back of the net, and I'm expecting fireworks when these goal-hungry sides collide. Let's talk numbers, because that's how The Big O gets his thrills. Dunkerque have been absolutely rampant at home, averaging 2.50 goals per game on their own patch. They've put on some serious shows recently - that 6-2 demolition of Amiens was pure poetry in motion, and back-to-back 3-0 wins over RED Star and PAU showed they can be both prolific and dominant. But wait, it gets better! Saint Etienne are averaging a ridiculous 3.20 goals per game overall. Sure, their away form drops to 1.80, but have you seen their recent scores? An 11-1 cup romp (okay, against minnows, but still!), a 6-0 league thrashing of PAU, and a 3-2 victory over league leaders Estac Troyes. These guys don't do boring - they bring the action! The goal expectancy models are showing 3.55 total goals for this match, and The Big O loves that number. Both teams have been involved in plenty of high-scoring affairs, with Saint Etienne seeing BTTS in 70% of their recent games and Dunkerque at 50%. Now, I know what you're thinking - the head-to-head has been low-scoring. But that's only two games, and both teams have evolved significantly since then. Current form screams goals, goals, and more goals! With odds of 1.80 for Over 2.5, The Big O sees value here. The market's giving us a 55.6% implied probability, but my calculations put the real chance closer to 58-60% based on these attacking stats and recent performances. That's the kind of edge that gets The Big O's heart racing! This isn't just a bet - it's an invitation to goal-gasmic entertainment. Both teams have the firepower, and neither seems interested in defensive masterclasses. Bring on the goals!

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📝 Match Preview

Dunkerque Ready to Bite Against High-Flying Saint Etienne
Recommendation:HOME_WIN
Odds:2.62
Expected Value:+17.9%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone's looking up at 2nd place Saint Etienne, I've got my eyes firmly fixed on the plucky underdogs from Dunkerque. Let me tell you why these little puppies might just surprise the big dogs! Dunkerque have been absolutely brilliant recently, my friends! In their last 10 games, they've lost just once while picking up 5 wins and 4 draws. That's 1.90 points per game - even better than Saint Etienne's 1.80! At home, they've been scoring goals for fun (2.5 per game) and keeping things tight at the back (just 1.0 conceded per game). Just look at some of their recent performances: a stunning 3-0 home victory over 3rd place RED Star FC 93, a 2-1 win at 4th place Reims, and a 6-2 thrashing of Amiens. These aren't fluke results - they're beating good teams consistently! Now, about Saint Etienne... yes, they're sitting pretty in 2nd place, but have you seen their away form? They've been leaking goals like a sieve, conceding 1.8 per game on their travels. Remember that shocking 0-4 loss at 10th place Annecy? Or the 1-2 defeat at RED Star FC 93? This isn't the form of a team that should be overwhelming anyone away from home. The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced too - each team has won once, with Dunkerque taking the last home meeting 1-0. The market seems to recognize Dunkerque's quality, pricing them as slight favorites at 2.62 despite the huge gap in league positions. I see wonderful value here! Dunkerque are the true underdogs in terms of reputation and league standing, but their recent form and home advantage tell a different story. With their solid defense and potent attack at home, they're perfectly positioned to take points off the inconsistent visitors.

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📝 Match Preview

Value Found in Both Teams to Score Market
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.62
Expected Value:+10.2%

Let's cut through the noise and focus on what the numbers tell us. Saint Etienne arrives as league leaders in all but name, sitting second with 29 points, while Dunkerque occupies mid-table with 21. But the betting value isn't in the match outcome - it's in the goals market. The mathematical evidence is compelling. Dunkerque has been scoring freely at home, netting 2.50 goals per game in their own stadium. Their recent form shows potency: a 6-2 demolition of Amiens, a 3-0 victory over RED Star FC 93, and a 5-0 cup triumph. They've found the net in 9 of their last 10 matches. Saint Etienne, despite their lofty position, have been defensively vulnerable on their travels, conceding 1.80 goals per away game. Their recent results include a 4-0 loss at Annecy and a 3-2 defeat to Le Mans. However, they've also shown explosive firepower, putting 11 past Ecotay Moingt and 6 past PAU. The goal expectancy model projects 3.55 total goals, suggesting an open game. Both teams' recent patterns point toward goals: Dunkerque's home attack against Saint Etienne's away defense, and vice versa. The market has priced BTTS Yes at 1.62, implying 61.73% probability. My calculations suggest this outcome is closer to 68% likely - that's real betting value. Key Points: - Dunkerque scores 2.50 goals per home game - Saint Etienne concedes 1.80 goals per away game - Both teams have scored in 70% of Saint Etienne's recent games - Goal expectancy projects 3.55 total goals - BTTS Yes offers positive expected value at current odds The numbers don't lie here. With both attacks firing and defenses showing vulnerabilities, the smart money is on both teams finding the net.

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