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Match analysis

SpainSegunda División

AD Ceuta FC vs Leganes

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Segunda División fixture.

Full time1:2HT 0–1

Match Timeline

4'
Marvel🟨
Yellow Card
20'
Rubén Peña🟨
Yellow Card
28'
Anuar🟨
Yellow Card
30'
R. Pena⚽
Normal Goal
42'
Yago Cantero🟨
Yellow Card
52'
A. Diawara⚽
Normal Goal
55'
Anuar🔄
Substitution 1 → K. Kone
59'
K. Zalazar🔄
Substitution 2 → C. Rodriguez
64'
D. Garcia🔄
Substitution 1 → O. Plano
74'
Jamelli🔄
Substitution 3 → Y. Bodiger
75'
K. de la Fuente🔄
Substitution 4 → M. Vallejo
75'
Youness🔄
Substitution 5 → J. Ortuno
81'
Duk🔄
Substitution 2 → S. Figueredo
81'
Marvel🔄
Substitution 3 → I. Miquel
88'
J. Cruz🔄
Substitution 4 → A. Millan
88'
R. Pena🔄
Substitution 5 → C. Guirao
90'
J. Soriano⚽
Own Goal

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal3
14Total Shots12
6Blocked Shots4
8Shots insidebox6
6Shots outsidebox6
15Fouls17
6Corner Kicks3
2Offsides0
62Ball Possession38
2Yellow Cards2
3Goalkeeper Saves1
471Total passes291
395Passes accurate217
84Passes %75

Tipster previews (5)

Umery UnderdogLost

Ceuta's Home Fortress Faces Leganes Challenge

The pickAD Ceuta FC win

Chance
45%
Odds
2.38
Model EV
+7.1%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! Little AD Ceuta FC, sitting pretty in 10th place, gets to welcome Leganes to their humble abode. Now, I know what you're thinking - Ceuta are the favorites according to the league table, but trust me, these odds of 2.38 make them our…

Value VinnyLost

Ceuta's Defensive Fortress Meets Value Opportunity

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
66%
Odds
1.60
Model EV
+5.6%

The numbers don't lie, and they're screaming value in the under 2.5 goals market for this Segunda División clash. AD Ceuta FC has transformed their home ground into a defensive fortress, conceding just 0.25 goals per game in front of their own fans. Their recent form tells the…

Mr SimpleLost

Ceuta's Home Fortress vs Traveling Leganes

The pickAD Ceuta FC win

Chance
46%
Odds
2.38
Model EV
+9.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this one! AD Ceuta FC welcome Leganes to what's been a proper fortress lately. The home side are sitting pretty in 10th with 18 points, while Leganes are down in 15th on 15 points. Ceuta have been absolutely solid at home, mate. We're…

PajimonLost

Ceuta's Fortress vs Leganes' Away Struggles

The pickUnder 2 5

Chance
65%
Odds
1.60
Model EV
+4.0%

Right then, let's get down to business! This one's got all the makings of a proper tactical battle. AD Ceuta FC have been rock solid at home this season, boasting a ridiculous 75% win rate on their own patch and conceding just 0.25 goals per game. That's the kind of defensive…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

AD Ceuta FC

6W 3D 1L2.10 pts/game

Leganes

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

AD Ceuta FC at home vs Leganes away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Segunda División

Overall edge
+4Leganes
Venue edge
+10Leganes
Rating period
Match snapshot
AD Ceuta FC versus Leganes: long term Elo, before the match
AD Ceuta FCHomeRatingLeganesAway
Strength
1,533Overall1,537
1,533Match venue1,542
1,533At home1,551
1,491Away1,542
Attack & defence
1,458Attack1,443
1,548Defence1,643
1,499Home attack1,473
1,462Away attack1,431
1,540Home defence1,607
1,506Away defence1,645
Match profile
1,483Goal environment1,225
1,485Home goals1,388
1,498Away goals1,337
1,502Possession1,503
Specialist ratings
1,492Set-piece attack1,492
1,492Set-piece defence1,492
1,542Close games1,485
1,527Winning margin1,554

Match venue compares AD Ceuta FC at home with Leganes away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1:1

Starting XI

13Guillermo VallejoG
3Jose MatosD
19Rubén DíezM
18Konrad de la FuenteF
24Yago CanteroD
5Youness LachhabM
9Marcos FernándezF
6Carlos HernándezD
8Kuki ZalazarM
7Aisar AhmedF
23AnuarD

LeganesLeganes1:1

Starting XI

1Juan SorianoG
2MarvelD
17Naim GarcíaM
10Juan CruzF
19Diego GarciaF
6Lalo AguilarD
24Amadou DiawaraM
11DukF
3Jorge SáenzD
8Seydouba CisseM
7Rubén PeñaM