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Match analysis

PortugalPrimeira Liga

Moreirense vs FC Porto

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Primeira Liga fixture.

Full time1:2HT 1–1

Match Timeline

18'
Alanzinho⚽
Normal Goal
43'
Alan🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Maracás🟨
Yellow Card
45'
Victor Froholdt
Penalty confirmed
45'
Samu
Penalty
45+6'
Borja Sainz🟨
Yellow Card
46'
B. Sainz🔄
Substitution 1 → William Gomes
58'
G. Veiga🔄
Substitution 2 → R. Mora
64'
Yan Maranhao🔄
Substitution 1 → Guilherme Schettine
69'
André Ferreira🟨
Yellow Card
73'
Kiko🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Martinez
73'
Pepê🔄
Substitution 3 → D. Gul
74'
F. Moura🔄
Substitution 4 → D. Prpic
82'
C. Teguia🔄
Substitution 3 → Rodri
82'
Alanzinho🔄
Substitution 4 → G. Batista
83'
Samu🔄
Substitution 5 → Y. Karamoh
88'
D. Gul⚽
Normal Goal → J. Kiwior

Match Statistics

1Shots on Goal7
4Shots off Goal6
8Total Shots16
3Blocked Shots3
3Shots insidebox11
5Shots outsidebox5
15Fouls13
2Corner Kicks7
0Offsides5
39Ball Possession61
3Yellow Cards1
5Goalkeeper Saves0
301Total passes483
230Passes accurate418
76Passes %87
0.23expected_goals1.86
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Umery UnderdogLost

Moreirense Ready to Bite Back Against Porto

The pickMoreirense win

Chance
18%
Odds
10.50
Model EV
+89.0%

Oh, what a delightful matchup we have here! While everyone will be flocking to back the league leaders FC Porto, my attention is firmly fixed on the little puppies from Moreirense who have been absolutely sensational at home this season. Let's talk about that home form, shall…

The Big "O"Won

Porto's Attack Promises Big O's Delight

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
60%
Odds
1.88
Model EV
+12.8%

Alright, goal lovers! The Big O is getting excited about this Primeira Liga showdown, and I've got my eyes firmly set on the nets bulging. Let's talk about why this match has all the ingredients for an absolute goal fest! First up, Moreirense might be sitting pretty in 5th…

PajimonLost

Porto's Defense Too Strong for Moreirense

The pickBTTS No

Chance
68%
Odds
1.65
Model EV
+12.2%

Right then, let's fire up the braai and get stuck into this one! Porto are sitting pretty at the top of the table like a boerewors sizzling perfectly, while Moreirense are having a decent crack in 5th. But when you look closer, this looks like a mismatch of note. Porto have been…

Mr CertaintyWon

Porto's Dominance Points to Away Victory

The pickFC Porto win

Chance
78%
Odds
1.35
Model EV
+5.3%

The data presents a clear picture of FC Porto's superiority in this Primeira Liga encounter. Porto sits atop the table with an impressive 22 points from 8 matches, maintaining an unbeaten record with 7 wins and 1 draw. Their defensive record is exceptional, conceding only 4…

Mr SimpleLost

Porto's Perfect Run vs Moreirense's Home Fortress

The pickBTTS No

Chance
65%
Odds
1.65
Model EV
+7.2%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this little number! We've got the league leaders Porto rolling into town to face Moreirense, who've been a right handful at home this season. First things first, Porto are absolutely flying top of the table with 22 points from 8 games …

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Moreirense

6W 0D 4L1.80 pts/game

FC Porto

8W 1D 1L2.50 pts/game

Per game

Moreirense at home vs FC Porto away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Primeira Liga

Overall edge
+254FC Porto
Venue edge
+166FC Porto
Rating period
Match snapshot
Moreirense versus FC Porto: long term Elo, before the match
MoreirenseHomeRatingFC PortoAway
Strength
1,571Overall1,825
1,598Match venue1,764
1,598At home1,853
1,467Away1,764
Attack & defence
1,514Attack1,650
1,541Defence1,742
1,511Home attack1,674
1,447Away attack1,617
1,583Home defence1,735
1,515Away defence1,692
Match profile
1,417Goal environment1,948
1,457Home goals1,872
1,460Away goals1,577
1,498Possession1,508
Specialist ratings
1,493Set-piece attack1,526
1,493Set-piece defence1,525
1,561Close games1,724
1,578Winning margin1,855

Match venue compares Moreirense at home with FC Porto away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

MoreirenseMoreirense1:1

Starting XI

13André FerreiraG
27KikoD
8Mateja StjepanovićM
7Cedric TeguiaM
99Yan MaranhãoF
26MaracásD
20Bernardo MartinsM
11AlanM
44MarceloD
2Diogo TravassosM
76Dinis PintoD

FC PortoFC Porto1:1

Starting XI

99Diogo CostaG
74Francisco MouraD
10Gabri VeigaM
17Borja SainzF
4Jakub KiwiorD
22Alan VarelaM
9Samu AghehowaF
5Jan BednarekD
8Victor FroholdtM
11PepêF
20Alberto CostaD