Moreirense vs FC Porto Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this little number! We've got the league leaders Porto rolling into town to face Moreirense, who've been a right handful at home this season.

First things first, Porto are absolutely flying top of the table with 22 points from 8 games - not a single loss all season. They're scoring for fun too, banging in 2.1 goals per game while barely letting anyone score (just 0.4 conceded per game). Their away form is proper tasty as well - 83% win rate on their travels, scoring 2.33 goals per away game.

Moreirense ain't no mugs though, sitting pretty in 5th with 15 points. Here's the interesting bit - they've got a 100% home record this season! Five wins from five at their gaff, scoring 2 goals per game and only letting in 0.6. But here's the rub - they've lost their last two games on the bounce, including a 3-0 hammering by Sporting.

When these two have met, it's been one-way traffic. Porto's won 7 out of 9 meetings, including a 3-1 win last time out. Moreirense's only managed one home win against Porto in 5 attempts.

Porto did just lose 2-0 to Nottingham Forest in the Europa League, and they've only had 4 days rest compared to Moreirense's 8. But let's be honest, they're still Porto and they're still top of the league for a reason.

Looking at the numbers, Porto keeps clean sheets 70% of the time, while Moreirense struggles to score against the big boys. That recent 3-0 loss to Sporting tells you everything you need to know about what happens when they face top quality.

Key Points:

• Porto unbeaten in the league (7W, 1D, 0L) and top of the table

• Moreirense perfect at home this season (5W from 5)

• Porto dominates head-to-head: 7 wins from 9 meetings

• Porto scores 2.33 goals per away game, concedes only 0.5

• Moreirense lost last two games, including 3-0 to Sporting

• Porto has 70% clean sheet rate this season

The way I see it, Porto's quality should shine through here. They're scoring for fun and keeping it tight at the back. Moreirense's home record is impressive, but they've not faced anyone of Porto's quality at home yet this season.