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Match analysis

PortugalPrimeira Liga

Estrela vs Estoril

Tipster previews, form, Elo ratings and the best odds for this Primeira Liga fixture.

Full time0:5HT 0–1

Match Timeline

3'
J. Carvalho⚽
Normal Goal → J. Holsgrove
45'
Abraham Marcus🟥
Red Card
46'
Bernardo Schappo🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Montoia
46'
I. Stoica🔄
Substitution 2 → Jovane
51'
Y. Begraoui⚽
Normal Goal → J. Carvalho
54'
Y. Begraoui
Penalty
64'
A. Marques⚽
Normal Goal → J. Carvalho
66'
J. Carvalho🔄
Substitution 1 → Ferro
66'
K. Boma🔄
Substitution 2 → A. Tsoungui
66'
A. Marques🔄
Substitution 3 → Pizzi
67'
A. Sola🔄
Substitution 3 → Robinho
67'
J. Meireles🔄
Substitution 4 → Alisson Souza
67'
R. Sanchez🔄
Substitution 4 → Peixinho
70'
Y. Begraoui⚽
Normal Goal → P. Amaral
73'
Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho🟨
Yellow Card
78'
J. Holsgrove🔄
Substitution 5 → N. Lominadze
80'
Otavio🔄
Substitution 5 → A. Chernev
81'
Jandro Orellana🟨
Yellow Card
84'
Peixinho🟨
Yellow Card
90+2'
Jovane Cabral🟨
Yellow Card

Match Statistics

2Shots on Goal6
3Shots off Goal2
6Total Shots11
1Blocked Shots3
1Shots insidebox9
5Shots outsidebox2
16Fouls12
1Corner Kicks4
1Offsides1
40Ball Possession60
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
350Total passes546
281Passes accurate475
80Passes %87
0.22expected_goals2.29
0goals_prevented0

Tipster previews (6)

Yoda Mc Yoda FaceLost

In the Stars, Goals Are Written

The pickBTTS Yes

Chance
65%
Odds
1.70
Model EV
+10.5%

A clash of mid-table souls, this is. Estrela in 12th, Estoril in 9th, separated by a single point. Close, they are. Yet, in the recent tales told by the scorelines, a clearer picture emerges. Defend, neither can with great conviction. Attack, both possess in fleeting moments…

Mr SimpleWon

Mid-Table Mayhem: Why This Clash Screams Goals

The pickOver 2 5

Chance
58%
Odds
1.90
Model EV
+10.2%

Alright, gather 'round. We've got a proper mid-table scrap here in the Primeira Liga. Estrela in 12th, Estoril in 9th, separated by just a single point. On paper, it's a coin flip. But when you dig into the numbers, one thing jumps out: goals. And lots of 'em. Let's start with…

Form & key stats

Last 10 matches, all competitions

Estrela

3W 4D 3L1.30 pts/game

Estoril

4W 2D 4L1.40 pts/game

Per game

Estrela at home vs Estoril away

Bold green marks the stronger number on each row. Both-teams-scored is shown without a side.

Elo ratings

Before the match · within Primeira Liga

Overall edge
+67Estoril
Venue edge
+30Estrela
Rating period
Match snapshot
Estrela versus Estoril: long term Elo, before the match
EstrelaHomeRatingEstorilAway
Strength
1,499Overall1,566
1,485Match venue1,455
1,485At home1,558
1,457Away1,455
Attack & defence
1,453Attack1,573
1,525Defence1,499
1,491Home attack1,529
1,390Away attack1,539
1,527Home defence1,551
1,506Away defence1,445
Match profile
1,488Goal environment1,648
1,530Home goals1,562
1,458Away goals1,587
1,496Possession1,501
Specialist ratings
1,454Set-piece attack1,488
1,456Set-piece defence1,488
1,475Close games1,524
1,509Winning margin1,586

Match venue compares Estrela at home with Estoril away. Green marks the higher rating; a new team starts at 1500.

Match profile rows describe the game, not team strength: a higher goal environment means higher-scoring matches.

Starting Lineups

EstrelaEstrela1:1

Starting XI

40Renan RibeiroG
83OtavioD
63Alex SolaM
10Ianis StoicaM
98KikasF
14Bernardo SchappoD
19Paulo MoreiraM
18Jorge MeirelesM
30Luan PatrickD
99Abraham MarcusM
17Jefferson EncadaD

EstorilEstoril1:1

Starting XI

1Joel RoblesG
24Pedro AmaralD
12João CarvalhoM
9Alejandro MarquésF
25Felix BacherD
10Jordan HolsgroveM
14Yanis BegraouiF
44Kévin BomaD
6Jandro OrellanaM
2Ricard SánchezD
99Rafik GuitaneM