Sun, 12 Apr 2026, 13:00
Segunda Liga
Portugal
Portugal
Full Time

Match Timeline

7'
Jarleysom Amurim🟨
Yellow Card
36'
Welat Cagro🟨
Yellow Card
54'
Welat Cagro🔄
Substitution 1 → Danio Djassi
54'
Mesaque Dju🔄
Substitution 2 → Dauda Mohammed
60'
João Reis🟨
Yellow Card
67'
Vladan Danilović🔄
Substitution 1 → Ibrahima Guirassy
72'
Samuel Lobato🟨
Yellow Card
81'
Marco Cruz🔄
Substitution 2 → Enrique Peña Zauner
81'
Martín Tejón🔄
Substitution 3 → Francisco Gomes
85'
João Reis🔄
Substitution 3 → Marlon Junior
88'
Danio Djassi🔄
Substitution 4 → Welinton Junior
90'
Simo Bouzaidi🟨
Yellow Card
90'
Adrián Butzke🔄
Substitution 4 → Preslav Borukov
90'
Igor Julião🔄
Substitution 5 → Xavi Grande
90+8'
Samy🟨
Yellow Card
90+11'
Simo Bouzaidi
Penalty

Match Statistics

1Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards0

Starting Lineups

MaritimoMaritimo1:1

Starting XI

12Samuel SilvaG
23Paulo HenriqueD
8Marco CruzM
10Martín TejónM
3Adrián ButzkeF
5Noah MadsenD
18Vladan DanilovićM
28Carlos DanielM
44Romain CorreiaD
21Simo BouzaidiM
2Igor JuliãoD

PortimonensePortimonense1:1

Starting XI

26Maycon CleitonG
16Thauan LaraD
47Welat CagroM
17João ReisM
19Mesaque DjuF
6SamyD
8Samuel LobatoM
18MamedeM
37SararáD
31Edney HenriqueM
32Jarleysom AmurimD

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Maritimo
Maritimo
Form: D-W-W-W-L
Portimonense
Portimonense
Form: W-W-L-L-L
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
2 W
2 D
6 L
Goals Per Game
1.2
Scored
vs
1.1
Scored
0.8
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
50%
BTTS
60%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:0.6
Away:1.0
Scored
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1533
Average
1464
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1570
↑ Momentum (+37)
1391
↓ Momentum (-73)
Expected Outcome
41%
Home Win
31%
Draw
28%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1459
Attack
1452
1620
Defence
1493
Recent Form
1451
Attack
1400
1646
Defence
1498
Post-Match Changes
+10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Maritimo vs Portimonense - Under 2.5 Goals Preview
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:2.05
Expected Value:+12.8%
Confidence:7

Listen, you must. The league table, it says Maritimo is strong. First place, 57 points they hold. Portimonense, 16th, 30 points. But the table, it does not tell the whole story. History, it matters greatly. Ten meetings, five wins for Portimonense. At Maritimo's home, Portimonense has won three times. Only one win for Maritimo in these fixtures. The past, it repeats itself often. Goals, few there will be. Maritimo at home, 1.00 goals scored per game. Portimonense away, 1.20 goals scored per game. Combined, 2.20 goals expected. This number, it suggests Under 2.5. Recent form, it supports the low score. Maritimo, 40% clean sheets in last 10 games. Portimonense, 0% clean sheets, but they concede 1.60 away. Yet, the H2H average is 2.1 goals per match. Four of ten H2H matches went Over 2.5. Six went Under. The pattern, it is clear. Odds for Under 2.5, 2.05. Value, there is. Implied probability, 48.8%. True probability, higher it is. 55% or more, we estimate. Edge, 6%+ it offers. Confidence, 7/10 we feel. Do or do not bet, there is no try. But hedge your bets, you should. Maritimo's defense, improving it is. Portimonense's attack, improving it is. But the venue, it favors defense. Home goals conceded by Maritimo, 0.60 per game. Away goals conceded by Portimonense, 1.60 per game. The math, it adds up to a tight contest. Recent results show a trend of low scoring. Maritimo's last five home games: 0-0, 1-0, 2-1, 2-1, 1-0. Mostly Under 2.5. Portimonense's last five away games: 2-1, 2-1, 0-1, 2-3, 0-1. Mostly Under 2.5. The data, it speaks clearly. Under 2.5 Goals, the choice it is. The odds, they offer value. The risk, it is managed. Do not be greedy. One bet, stand on its own merit. Accumulators, avoid them. Patience, you must have. The goal environment, it suggests fewer goals. Trust the stats, you should. Under 2.5 Goals, the path is clear.

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