Sat, 22 Nov 2025, 15:00
Full Time

Match Timeline

32'
Y. Songo'o🟨
Yellow Card
33'
H. Panayiotou🟨
Yellow Card
41'
J. Daly🟨
Yellow Card
46'
G. Edwards🔄
Substitution 1 → G. Thomas
66'
J. Sims🔄
Substitution 1 → H. Greenslade
71'
J. Plant🔄
Substitution 2 → T. Campbell
72'
J. Cain🔄
Substitution 2 → M. Azeez
75'
L. McCormick🟨
Yellow Card
79'
T. Campbell
Missed Penalty → T. Campbell
86'
H. Panayiotou🔄
Substitution 3 → R. Aarons
90+4'
M. Williams🟨
Yellow Card

Head-to-Head

📈 Team Form & Statistics

Morecambe
Morecambe
Form: W-L-D-D-L
Yeovil Town
Yeovil Town
Form: L-L-L-D-L
Record
2 W
3 D
5 L
2 W
1 D
7 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
0.5
Scored
1.8
Conceded
vs
1.5
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
BTTS
60%
BTTS
30%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:1.3
Away:1.5
Conceded
Home:1.5
Away:2.0
Scored
Home:0.4
Away:0.6
Conceded
Home:1.4
Away:1.6

⚡ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1501
Average
1446
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1497
↓ Momentum (-4)
1430
↓ Momentum (-16)
Expected Outcome
39%
Home Win
32%
Draw
29%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1500
Attack
1383
1450
Defence
1513
Recent Form
1497
Attack
1363
1426
Defence
1507
Post-Match Changes
-3
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

📝 Match Preview

Bottom-Of-The-Table Battle At The Mazuma
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:2.25
Expected Value:+46.3%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this basement battle down at the Mazuma Stadium. Two sides struggling for form meet in what could be a proper six-pointer, though looking at the numbers, it might be more of a snoozefest! Morecambe come into this off the back of a decent 2-0 win over Brackley Town, which'll have given them a bit of confidence after getting hammered 4-2 by York in their previous game. The Shrimps have been finding the net reasonably often - 1.4 goals per game over their last 10 - but they're also shipping them at the other end with 1.8 conceded per game. At home, they've been a bit hit and miss, winning just 25% of their last four on their own patch. Yeovil, on the other hand, are in a right old mess going forward. Five goals in 10 games? That's proper relegation form that is! They've failed to score in seven of their last 10 matches, including blanks against Southend, Scunthorpe, and Wealdstone. Their away form is shocking too - 80% losses in their last five on the road. The Glovers are averaging just 0.5 goals per game overall, which is frankly pathetic at this level. Now, here's where it gets interesting. Historically, Morecambe have had Yeovil's number, winning five of the eight meetings between the two sides. But those games were generally high-scoring affairs, with seven of eight seeing over 2.5 goals. The problem is, this current Yeovil side couldn't score in a brothel with a fistful of fifties! Looking at the recent form, Morecambe have shown they can score against struggling sides - they put four past Boston United away and got two against Brackley. Yeovil, meanwhile, haven't scored in their last three games and have only managed one goal in their last five matches. That's not just bad, that's 'we might as well not bother turning up' bad. The goal expectancy numbers have Morecambe at 1.43 and Yeovil at 1.05, but I reckon those Yeovil numbers are generous given their recent displays. They've got zero momentum, zero confidence, and zero goals in their locker. Key Points: - Yeovil have scored just 5 goals in their last 10 matches (0.5 per game) - The Glovers have failed to score in 7 of their last 10 games - Morecambe kept a clean sheet in their last home game (2-0 vs Brackley) - Yeovil have lost 80% of their last 5 away matches - Historically high-scoring encounters, but current form suggests otherwise When you've got one side that can't buy a goal and another that's been shipping them but also capable of scoring, the both teams to score market looks all wrong to me. The bookies have BTTS No at 2.25, which seems cracking value when you consider Yeovil's attacking woes. They've got one of the worst attacks in the entire league and are coming off three straight blanks. Sometimes the stats tell a simple story, and this one's screaming 'Yeovil won't score'.

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📝 Match Preview

Yeovil's Attack Missing in Action
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:2.25
Expected Value:+39.5%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this bottom-of-the-table clash! Morecambe sitting 22nd with 16 points, while Yeovil are just above them in 18th with 20 points. Both sides are struggling more than a vegetarian at a braai, but one of them looks particularly toothless up front. Morecambe have shown some fight recently, picking up 4 points from their last 3 games. They kept a clean sheet in that 2-0 win over Brackley Town and even managed to score 2 against 4th-placed York in a 4-2 loss. Their 4-0 hammering of Boston United shows they can turn it on when they want. At home, they've been decent enough - scoring 1.25 per game and conceding 1.5. But Yeovil... ag man, their attack is worse than trying to start a fire in the rain! They've scored only 5 goals in their last 10 matches - that's 0.5 per game! And get this - they haven't scored in their last THREE matches! Lost 0-1 to Southend, 0-1 to Scunthorpe, and 0-2 to Wealdstone. Away from home, they're even worse, averaging just 0.6 goals per game. The head-to-head tells us Morecambe usually have their number - 5 wins out of 8 meetings, and at home it's 3 wins from 4. Historically these games have been high-scoring, but that was when both teams could actually find the net! Yeovil's recent form is shocking - 0 points from their last 9 available. They're creating about as much as a lazy lion on a hot day. Morecambe just need to turn up and they should have enough to keep another clean sheet here. Key Points: • Yeovil haven't scored in their last 3 matches • Yeovil averaging only 0.5 goals per game overall • Morecambe kept a clean sheet in their last home game (2-0 vs Brackley) • Yeovil's away attack is even worse (0.6 goals per game) • Morecambe have won 75% of home H2H meetings against Yeovil • Morecambe showing some fight with 4 points from last 3 games Look, I'm not usually one for backing defensive stuff - I'd rather watch goals than a chess match. But Yeovil's attack is so non-existent it's actually funny! They couldn't score if the goal was the size of a swimming pool. Morecambe at home should be able to keep them out easily enough.

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📝 Match Preview

Low-Scoring Affair Expected at Morecambe
Recommendation:UNDER_2_5
Odds:2.15
Expected Value:+46.2%

This National League clash between two struggling sides presents a clear betting opportunity based on recent statistical trends. Morecambe sits 22nd in the table with just 16 points from 19 games, while Yeovil Town isn't much better in 18th place with 20 points. The defining factor in this matchup is Yeovil Town's abysmal attacking record. In their last 10 games, they've managed only 5 goals, averaging just 0.5 goals per game. Their recent results tell the story: 0-1 loss to Southend, 0-1 defeat at Scunthorpe, 0-2 home loss to Wealdstone, and a 0-3 thrashing by Rochdale. In fact, Yeovil has failed to score in 7 of their last 10 matches. Morecambe's defensive record isn't stellar (1.8 goals conceded per game), but they're facing an attack that simply cannot convert chances. The home side has shown some attacking spark with 1.4 goals per game, but their recent form includes a 4-2 loss to York and a 3-0 home defeat to Southend. The head-to-head record historically favors Morecambe (5 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) and has been high-scoring, but current form overrides historical trends. Both teams are in poor shape, with Morecambe winning just 2 of their last 10 and Yeovil managing only 2 victories in the same period. Crucially, 7 of Yeovil's last 10 matches have ended with under 2.5 goals, while 5 of Morecambe's last 10 also stayed under this threshold. With Yeovil's attack virtually non-existent and both teams struggling for consistency, a low-scoring encounter appears highly probable. Key Points: - Yeovil Town has scored only 5 goals in their last 10 matches (0.5 per game) - Yeovil has failed to score in 7 of their last 10 games - 7 of Yeovil's last 10 matches ended with under 2.5 goals - Morecambe has won only 25% of their recent home games - Both teams sit in the bottom four of the National League table Summary: The statistics overwhelmingly point toward a low-scoring game, primarily driven by Yeovil Town's inability to find the net. Their attacking ineptitude makes the under 2.5 goals market the most logical betting opportunity, with the true probability significantly exceeding the odds suggest.

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📝 Match Preview

Battle of the Struggling Forces
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:2.25
Expected Value:+46.3%

In the depths of the National League, two forces gather, both seeking redemption from their struggles. Morecambe, positioned 22nd with but 16 points from 19 encounters, welcome Yeovil Town, who sit slightly above at 18th with 20 points. The path to salvation begins here. Recent form tells a tale of two different journeys. Morecambe have found moments of promise, scoring 14 goals in their last 10 matches (1.40 per game), though their defense remains troubled with 18 conceded. Their recent 2-0 victory over Brackley Town shows they can find the net, yet the 4-2 defeat to York reveals their vulnerability. Yeovil's story is one of attacking silence. In their last 10 matches, only 5 goals have found their way past opposing keepers - a mere 0.50 per game. Recent results paint a bleak picture: 0-1 to Southend, 0-1 at Scunthorpe, 0-2 against Wealdstone. The force of their attack has abandoned them. Historically, Morecambe have dominated this encounter with 5 victories from 8 meetings, including a 75% success rate on their home ground. Yet history is but a shadow when the present speaks so clearly. The venue offers Morecambe some comfort, where they have secured draws in half of their last 4 home games. Yeovil's travels have been particularly harsh, with 80% of away games ending in defeat and only 0.60 goals scored per journey. In football, as in life, patterns emerge. Yeovil have failed to score in 7 of their last 10 matches. When the attack cannot find its way, the result often follows. The odds offer value for those who see beyond the historical high-scoring encounters and focus on the current reality of Yeovil's offensive struggles.

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📝 Match Preview

Mathematical Value Found in Yeovil's Scoring Drought
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_NO
Odds:2.25
Expected Value:+17.0%

Let's cut through the noise and look at the cold, hard numbers here. Both sides are struggling near the basement of the National League, but there's a crucial statistical divergence that the market appears to be missing. Morecambe, sitting 22nd with 16 points, have at least shown some attacking intent recently. They've netted 14 times in their last 10 outings (1.40 per game) and have put up respectable scores like 2-0 against Brackley Town, 2-2 with Sutton Utd, and that impressive 4-0 demolition of Boston United. However, their defensive frailties are evident - they've shipped 18 goals in that same period. Yeovil Town, despite being four places higher in 18th, present a completely different statistical profile. Their attacking numbers are alarming: just 5 goals in 10 matches (0.50 per game), and more tellingly, only 1 goal in their last 5 matches. Their away form is particularly dire - 0.60 goals per game on the road with an 80% loss rate. Recent results like 0-1 vs Southend, 0-1 vs Scunthorpe, and 0-2 vs Wealdstone paint a picture of an attack that's completely dried up. The head-to-head record shows 7 out of 8 previous meetings saw both teams score, but that historical pattern is being given too much weight by the odds compilers. They're ignoring Yeovil's current statistical reality - this isn't the same Yeovil side that featured in those high-scoring encounters. Looking at the goal expectancy data (Home 1.43, Away 1.05), the market seems to be pricing Yeovil's scoring chances based on historical averages rather than their current form. When a team is averaging 0.5 goals per game and has scored once in five matches, the probability of them finding the net drops significantly below what the BTTS Yes odds of 1.57 (63.7% implied) suggest. The value here lies in betting against both teams scoring. Morecambe have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 10, and against a Yeovil side that's statistically one of the worst attacks in the league right now, another clean sheet is distinctly possible. The BTTS No market at 2.25 offers genuine mathematical value based on current form rather than outdated historical patterns.

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