Tue, 28 Oct 2025, 19:30
Serie B
Italy
Italy
Full Time
2:1
HT: 1 - 0

Match Timeline

9'
Fabio Ruggeri🟨
Yellow Card
34'
C. Shpendi
Penalty
46'
F. AbiusoπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ M. Finotto
53'
T. Berti⚽
Normal Goal β†’ S. Balde
58'
F. RuggeriπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ S. Zanon
58'
F. Di StefanoπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ E. Torregrossa
63'
S. BastoniπŸ”„
Substitution 1 β†’ M. Castagnetti
63'
S. BaldeπŸ”„
Substitution 2 β†’ J. Blesa
68'
Emanuele Adamo🟨
Yellow Card
71'
N. BelloniπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ M. Cicconi
74'
M. Finotto⚽
Normal Goal β†’ F. Melegoni
75'
E. AdamoπŸ”„
Substitution 3 β†’ M. Guidi
80'
N. SchiaviπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ T. Rubino
86'
T. BertiπŸ”„
Substitution 4 β†’ T. Arrigoni
86'
C. ShpendiπŸ”„
Substitution 5 β†’ M. Olivieri

Match Statistics

3Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
12Total Shots9
4Blocked Shots3
9Shots insidebox6
3Shots outsidebox3
13Fouls8
5Corner Kicks4
1Offsides0
42Ball Possession58
1Yellow Cards1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
426Total passes605
349Passes accurate522
82Passes %86

Starting Lineups

CesenaCesena1:1

Starting XI

33Jonathan KlinsmannG
26Matteo PiacentiniD
99Gianluca FrabottaM
9Cristian ShpendiF
19Giovanni ZaroD
70Matteo FrancesconiM
29Siren DiaoF
15Andrea CiofiD
14Tommaso BertiM
10Simone BastoniM
17Emanuele AdamoM

CarrareseCarrarese1:1

Starting XI

1Marco BleveG
3Marco ImperialeD
7NiccolΓ² BelloniM
9Fabio AbiusoF
4JuliΓ‘n IllanesD
8Filippo MelegoniM
28Filippo DistefanoF
26Fabio RuggeriD
18Nicolas SchiaviM
17Emanuele ZuelliM
13Devid Eugene BouahM

Head-to-Head

πŸ“ˆ Team Form & Statistics

Cesena
Cesena
Form: W-W-L-L-D
Carrarese
Carrarese
Form: W-D-W-D-D
Record
5 W
3 D
2 L
β€’
3 W
5 D
2 L
Goals Per Game
1.4
Scored
vs
1.6
Scored
1.1
Conceded
vs
1.3
Conceded
Betting Indicators
Clean Sheets
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
80%
BTTS
50%
Home/Away Performance
Scored
Home:0.8
Away:1.8
Conceded
Home:1.0
Away:1.2
Scored
Home:1.8
Away:1.4
Conceded
Home:1.2
Away:1.4

⚑ Elo Ratings

Long Term Elo Rating
1538
Average
1554
Average
Short Term Elo Rating
1509
↓ Momentum (-29)
1599
↑ Momentum (+44)
Expected Outcome
31%
Home Win
34%
Draw
35%
Away Win
Attack & Defence Elo
Long Term
1485
Attack
1516
1562
Defence
1541
Recent Form
1456
Attack
1559
1573
Defence
1553
Post-Match Changes
+10
Rating Change
0
Rating Change
Elo ratings measure team strength based on match results and opponent quality. Higher ratings indicate stronger teams.

πŸ“ Match Preview

Cesena's Home Woes vs Carrarese's Draw Kings
Recommendation:DRAW
Odds:3.20
Expected Value:+28.0%

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B scrap between Cesena and Carrarese. On paper, you'd think Cesena sitting third in the table should have this sorted, but dig a bit deeper and there's a right old story unfolding. Cesena are having a proper Jekyll and Hyde season. Away from home, they're absolutely brilliant - winning 83% of their last 6 away games and picking up big wins against the likes of Venezia and Sampdoria. But at their own gaff? It's a different story entirely. They haven't won a single home match in their last 4 attempts, drawing 3 and losing 1. They're only averaging 0.75 goals per game at home, which is frankly shocking for a team in the top half. Carrarese, on the other hand, are the draw kings on their travels. They've drawn 60% of their away games this season and are hard to break down. They've just put three past Venezia and looked solid against a decent Modena side. They average 1.4 goals away from home and keep things tight at the back. The head-to-head suggests Cesena usually have the edge at home (75% win rate), but that was a different Cesena side. Current form tells a very different story. Cesena are shipping goals and struggling to score at home, while Carrarese are grinding out results on the road. When you look at the recent results, Cesena's 1-2 home loss to Reggiana and those three home draws tell you everything you need to know. They're just not clicking in front of their own fans. Carrarese's away record of 1W-3D-1L shows they're no pushovers on their travels. The stats back this up - Cesena have both teams scoring in 80% of their games, but they're not finding the net enough at home. Carrarese are more measured away from home, keeping things tight and picking up points. This has got stalemate written all over it, especially with Cesena's home form being so dodgy recently.

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

Cesena vs Carrarese: Home Struggles Meet Resilient Visitors
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+5.1%

Alright folks, let's fire up the braai and break down this Serie B clash! Cesena might be sitting pretty in 3rd place with 17 points, but their home form has been as weak as a vegetarian's argument - zero wins in their last four home games! They're only managing 0.75 goals per game at home, which is worrying stuff. Carrarese, sitting 6th with 14 points, have been the tough nuts to crack this season - only one loss in nine league games! They've been scoring freely too, netting 1.6 goals per game overall. Their away form shows they're no pushovers either, with three draws in five away trips. Looking at recent results, Cesena grabbed a 1-0 win against Sudtirol and a 2-1 victory over Spezia, but those were both away games. At home, they've been drawing 1-1 with Palermo and Virtus Entella, and lost 1-2 to Reggiana. Not exactly the form of a team that should be favorites at home! Carrarese have been finding the net regularly - that 3-2 win over Venezia was proper entertainment, and they put three past Juve Stabia too. They might draw a lot (five draws already), but they know where the goal is. The head-to-head shows Cesena usually dominate at home (3-0-1 record), but current form tells a different story. Both teams tend to concede, and with Cesena scoring in 80% of their games and Carrarese finding the net in most away matches, we could see both teams get on the scoresheet here. The odds have Cesena as favorites at 2.00, but given their home struggles, that looks questionable. Carrarese at 4.00 might be worth a punt for the brave, but the safer play looks to be both teams scoring at 1.91.

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

Goal Fest Expected When Cesena Hosts Carrarese
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+10.8%

Alright folks, The Big O here, and I'm getting excited about this Serie B showdown! We've got third-placed Cesena hosting sixth-placed Carrarese in what promises to be an absolute thriller for us goal lovers. Now, I know what you're thinking - Cesena's recent home form looks about as exciting as watching paint dry. Their last four home games have produced scores like 1-2, 1-1, 1-1, and 0-0. But here's the juicy part that gets my Big O senses tingling: Cesena has seen both teams score in a whopping 80% of their recent matches! That's the kind of consistency I love to see. Carrarese comes into this unbeaten in their last four games, and they've been averaging 1.6 goals per game this season. On the road, they're still finding the net at 1.4 goals per game. Their recent away matches have been goal-filled affairs too - 2-2 draws against Pescara and Empoli show they're not shy about contributing to the scoreboard. The head-to-head history between these two is music to my ears. Five of their last eight meetings have gone Over 2.5 goals, and recent encounters have produced scores like 2-3, 2-1, and 2-1. Both teams seem to bring out the attacking instincts in each other. Cesena might be struggling to win at home lately, but they're still averaging 1.4 goals scored per game overall. Combine that with Carrarese's away scoring record and Cesena's tendency to concede (1.1 per game), and we've got all the ingredients for a goal fest. The stats are screaming at me to take the Both Teams to Score market here. With Cesena's 80% BTTS rate and Carrarese's consistent away scoring, those 1.91 odds look mighty tempting for this Big O! **Key Points:** - Cesena has both teams scoring in 80% of recent matches - Carrarese averages 1.6 goals scored per game this season - Head-to-head: 5 of 8 meetings went Over 2.5 goals - Carrarese unbeaten in last 4 games - Recent H2H scores include 2-3, 2-1, 2-1 - plenty of goal action **Summary:** I'm all over the Both Teams to Score - Yes market here. The value looks solid at 1.91, and the statistical trends support this play. Cesena's high BTTS rate combined with Carrarese's away scoring form makes this a perfect Big O special!

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

Carrarese Ready to Bite Higher-Ranked Cesena
Recommendation:AWAY_WIN
Odds:4.00
Expected Value:+20.0%

Oh, what a delightful little matchup we have here! While everyone's looking at 3rd-placed Cesena as the clear favorite, my underdog senses are tingling with excitement for Carrarese. Let me tell you why these puppies have a real chance to upset the odds! First, let's talk about Cesena's surprising home struggles. Despite sitting pretty in 3rd place, they've managed a whopping 0% home win rate in their last 4 matches at their own den! That's right - zero wins, with draws against Palermo and Virtus Entella, plus losses to Reggiana. They're scoring just 0.75 goals per game at home recently. For a team chasing promotion, that's hardly intimidating! Now, let's look at our plucky underdogs Carrarese. They've only lost ONE game all season in Serie B, and that was way back in August! Their recent form shows they're hitting their stride too - scoring 3 goals in each of their last two home games against Venezia and Juve Stabia. On the road, they've been tough nuts to crack, losing just 1 of their last 5 away matches. The head-to-head record tells an interesting story too. While Cesena has historically dominated at home, Carrarese won the most recent meeting 2-0. These teams are much more evenly matched than the league table suggests! What really gets my tail wagging is the value here. At 4.00 odds, Carrarese are being written off, but their defensive solidity (only 13 goals conceded in 10 games) and improving attack suggest they're more than capable of getting a result. Cesena might be higher in the table, but their home form has been woeful, and that's the kind of weakness us underdog lovers dream of finding! This is exactly the type of bet where long-term value hides - when the market overreacts to league position while ignoring current form and situational factors. Carrarese have been the draw specialists this season with 5 draws already, but I think they're ready to turn some of those into wins against a vulnerable home side.

Read Full Preview β†’

πŸ“ Match Preview

Cesena vs Carrarese: BTTS Value Analysis
Recommendation:BOTH_TEAMS_TO_SCORE_YES
Odds:1.91
Expected Value:+29.9%

This Serie B clash presents an intriguing puzzle between two teams in solid league positions but with contrasting recent forms. Cesena sits third in the table with 17 points, yet their home form raises serious concerns - they've managed just 0 wins in their last 4 home matches, drawing three and losing one. Their attacking output at home has been particularly concerning, averaging only 0.75 goals per game on their own patch. Carrarese, meanwhile, occupies sixth place with 14 points and has shown remarkable consistency on their travels. Their away form reads 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss from their last 5 road trips, while scoring 1.4 goals per game away from home. This suggests they'll pose a significant threat to Cesena's defensive setup. The recent results paint a clear picture of both teams' vulnerabilities. Cesena's last 10 matches show an 80% rate of both teams scoring, with games like 3-1 losses to Frosinone and 1-2 defeats to Reggiana demonstrating their defensive frailties. Carrarese's recent encounters include high-scoring affairs like 3-2 victories over Venezia and 3-4 defeats to Avellino, indicating they're both capable of scoring and conceding. Statistically, Cesena concedes an average of 1.10 goals per game while scoring 1.40, while Carrarese averages 1.30 conceded and 1.60 scored. These numbers, combined with Cesena's poor home attacking record and Carrarese's decent away scoring form, create a scenario where both teams finding the net appears highly probable. The head-to-head record slightly favors Cesena at home (3-0-1), but current form suggests this historical advantage may not translate to a clean sheet. Given both teams' tendencies to concede and the statistical patterns emerging from their recent matches, the both teams to score market offers the most compelling value. Key Points: - Cesena has struggled at home recently (0W-3D-1L in last 4 home games) - Both teams have defensive vulnerabilities (Cesena 1.10 conceded/game, Carrarese 1.30 conceded/game) - Cesena's last 10 matches show 80% both teams scored rate - Carrarese scores 1.4 goals per game away from home - Recent high-scoring games from both sides suggest offensive potential Summary: The data strongly indicates both teams will score in this encounter. Cesena's defensive record combined with Carrarese's away scoring form, plus the high BTTS rate in recent matches, provides sufficient confidence for this selection.

Read Full Preview β†’