Cesena vs Carrarese Prediction

Right then, let's have a proper look at this Serie B scrap between Cesena and Carrarese. On paper, you'd think Cesena sitting third in the table should have this sorted, but dig a bit deeper and there's a right old story unfolding.

Cesena are having a proper Jekyll and Hyde season. Away from home, they're absolutely brilliant - winning 83% of their last 6 away games and picking up big wins against the likes of Venezia and Sampdoria. But at their own gaff? It's a different story entirely. They haven't won a single home match in their last 4 attempts, drawing 3 and losing 1. They're only averaging 0.75 goals per game at home, which is frankly shocking for a team in the top half.

Carrarese, on the other hand, are the draw kings on their travels. They've drawn 60% of their away games this season and are hard to break down. They've just put three past Venezia and looked solid against a decent Modena side. They average 1.4 goals away from home and keep things tight at the back.

The head-to-head suggests Cesena usually have the edge at home (75% win rate), but that was a different Cesena side. Current form tells a very different story. Cesena are shipping goals and struggling to score at home, while Carrarese are grinding out results on the road.

When you look at the recent results, Cesena's 1-2 home loss to Reggiana and those three home draws tell you everything you need to know. They're just not clicking in front of their own fans. Carrarese's away record of 1W-3D-1L shows they're no pushovers on their travels.

The stats back this up - Cesena have both teams scoring in 80% of their games, but they're not finding the net enough at home. Carrarese are more measured away from home, keeping things tight and picking up points.

This has got stalemate written all over it, especially with Cesena's home form being so dodgy recently.